CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Fresno State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)36th pct.
Offensive success rate33th pct.
Explosiveness59th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)66th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed43th pct.
Havoc rate41th pct.
San Diego State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)5th pct.
Offensive success rate2th pct.
Explosiveness60th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)36th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed8th pct.
Havoc rate7th pct.
Fresno State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)38.3%
Passing7.3%
Rushing16.6%
Receiving69.5%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 12-11-1 · O/U 8-16 · avg. margin +3.4
San Diego State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)98.7%
Passing100.0%
Rushing100.0%
Receiving97.3%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 14-8 · O/U 9-13 · avg. margin -0.3
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026Fresno State 23–26 San Diego State
2025San Diego State 23–0 Fresno State
2023Fresno State 18–33 San Diego State
2022San Diego State 28–32 Fresno State
2021Fresno State 30–20 San Diego State
2019Fresno State 7–17 San Diego State
Venue & conditions
Snapdragon Stadium · San Diego, CA
85°F · 11.6 mph wind · 1% precip. chance