CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Louisville
Offensive efficiency (PPA)89th pct.
Offensive success rate82th pct.
Explosiveness98th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)43th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed41th pct.
Havoc rate43th pct.
NC State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)65th pct.
Offensive success rate58th pct.
Explosiveness65th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)17th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed23th pct.
Havoc rate52th pct.
Louisville · Returning production
Overall (PPA)34.8%
Passing0.0%
Rushing84.6%
Receiving18.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 10-13 · O/U 13-10 · avg. margin +7.2
NC State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)59.9%
Passing93.1%
Rushing101.5%
Receiving26.0%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 10-13-1 · O/U 13-11 · avg. margin -0.1
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026Louisville 28–31 NC State
2023Louisville 13–10 NC State
2022NC State 10–25 Louisville
2021Louisville 13–28 NC State
2019Louisville 34–20 NC State
2018NC State 52–10 Louisville
Venue & conditions
Carter-Finley Stadium · Raleigh, NC
84°F · 12.8 mph wind · 46% precip. chance