CFB
ND -28.5·O/U 51.5

Where they rank

Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.

Michigan State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)14th pct.
Offensive success rate54th pct.
Explosiveness4th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)17th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed30th pct.
Havoc rate23th pct.
Notre Dame
Offensive efficiency (PPA)96th pct.
Offensive success rate93th pct.
Explosiveness27th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)93th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed91th pct.
Havoc rate93th pct.
Michigan State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)20.9%
Passing16.2%
Rushing18.5%
Receiving24.4%

Against the spread, last 3 seasons

ATS 11-10 · O/U 11-10 · avg. margin -7.6

Notre Dame · Returning production
Overall (PPA)51.2%
Passing90.7%
Rushing12.3%
Receiving37.6%

Against the spread, last 3 seasons

ATS 19-9 · O/U 15-13 · avg. margin +22.3

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings
2026Michigan State 10–27 Notre Dame
2017Notre Dame 38–18 Michigan State
2016Michigan State 36–28 Notre Dame

Venue & conditions

Notre Dame Stadium · Notre Dame, IN

77°F · 12.3 mph wind · 76% precip. chance