CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Michigan State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)14th pct.
Offensive success rate54th pct.
Explosiveness4th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)17th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed30th pct.
Havoc rate23th pct.
Wisconsin
Offensive efficiency (PPA)43th pct.
Offensive success rate12th pct.
Explosiveness96th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)90th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed83th pct.
Havoc rate51th pct.
Michigan State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)20.9%
Passing16.2%
Rushing18.5%
Receiving24.4%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 11-10 · O/U 11-10 · avg. margin -7.6
Wisconsin · Returning production
Overall (PPA)31.0%
Passing-500.0%
Rushing31.8%
Receiving33.7%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 8-13 · O/U 6-15 · avg. margin -9.1
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings2026Michigan State 3–31 Wisconsin
2022Wisconsin 28–34 Michigan State
2019Michigan State 0–38 Wisconsin
2016Wisconsin 30–6 Michigan State
Venue & conditions
Camp Randall Stadium · Madison, WI
62°F · 10.7 mph wind · 13% precip. chance