CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Mississippi State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)66th pct.
Offensive success rate76th pct.
Explosiveness49th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)31th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed12th pct.
Havoc rate59th pct.
Texas
Offensive efficiency (PPA)17th pct.
Offensive success rate44th pct.
Explosiveness20th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)81th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed93th pct.
Havoc rate90th pct.
Mississippi State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)33.9%
Passing-0.2%
Rushing87.3%
Receiving27.9%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-10 · O/U 13-10 · avg. margin -6.5
Texas · Returning production
Overall (PPA)72.1%
Passing85.4%
Rushing126.4%
Receiving55.0%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-15 · O/U 11-16-1 · avg. margin +13.7
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings2025Texas 45–38 Mississippi State
2024Mississippi State 13–35 Texas
Venue & conditions
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium · Austin, TX
84°F · 7.6 mph wind · 12% precip. chance