CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
North Carolina
Offensive efficiency (PPA)35th pct.
Offensive success rate63th pct.
Explosiveness7th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)70th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed33th pct.
Havoc rate12th pct.
Pittsburgh
Offensive efficiency (PPA)45th pct.
Offensive success rate46th pct.
Explosiveness29th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)86th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed94th pct.
Havoc rate72th pct.
North Carolina · Returning production
Overall (PPA)27.8%
Passing9.5%
Rushing53.6%
Receiving32.8%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 7-15-1 · O/U 10-13 · avg. margin -3.4
Pittsburgh · Returning production
Overall (PPA)39.7%
Passing58.6%
Rushing67.2%
Receiving24.0%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-11 · O/U 12-12 · avg. margin +4.0
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026North Carolina 21–17 Pittsburgh
2024Pittsburgh 34–24 North Carolina
2023North Carolina 41–24 Pittsburgh
2022Pittsburgh 24–42 North Carolina
2021North Carolina 23–30 Pittsburgh
2019North Carolina 27–34 Pittsburgh
Venue & conditions
Acrisure Stadium · Pittsburgh, PA
76°F · 12.4 mph wind · 5% precip. chance