CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
North Carolina
Offensive efficiency (PPA)35th pct.
Offensive success rate63th pct.
Explosiveness7th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)70th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed33th pct.
Havoc rate12th pct.
TCU
Offensive efficiency (PPA)28th pct.
Offensive success rate35th pct.
Explosiveness74th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)95th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed92th pct.
Havoc rate68th pct.
North Carolina · Returning production
Overall (PPA)27.8%
Passing9.5%
Rushing53.6%
Receiving32.8%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 7-15-1 · O/U 10-13 · avg. margin -3.4
TCU · Returning production
Overall (PPA)22.4%
Passing11.0%
Rushing31.3%
Receiving29.1%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-11-1 · O/U 13-11-1 · avg. margin +5.6
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings2026North Carolina 15–10 TCU
2025TCU 48–14 North Carolina
Venue & conditions
Aviva Stadium · Dublin · Neutral site
65°F · 8.9 mph wind · 100% precip. chance