CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
North Texas
Offensive efficiency (PPA)97th pct.
Offensive success rate80th pct.
Explosiveness94th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)27th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed24th pct.
Havoc rate62th pct.
Texas State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)95th pct.
Offensive success rate96th pct.
Explosiveness82th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)21th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed17th pct.
Havoc rate32th pct.
North Texas · Returning production
Overall (PPA)2.5%
Passing2.4%
Rushing2.8%
Receiving2.4%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 14-10 · O/U 17-7 · avg. margin +7.6
Texas State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)76.0%
Passing99.8%
Rushing48.0%
Receiving79.1%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 10-14 · O/U 12-12 · avg. margin +10.0
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings2026North Texas 35–49 Texas State
2024North Texas 28–30 Texas State
Venue & conditions
Bobcat Stadium (TX) · San Marcos, TX
95°F · 7.8 mph wind · 2% precip. chance