CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Notre Dame
Offensive efficiency (PPA)96th pct.
Offensive success rate93th pct.
Explosiveness27th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)93th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed91th pct.
Havoc rate93th pct.
North Carolina
Offensive efficiency (PPA)35th pct.
Offensive success rate63th pct.
Explosiveness7th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)70th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed33th pct.
Havoc rate12th pct.
Notre Dame · Returning production
Overall (PPA)51.2%
Passing90.7%
Rushing12.3%
Receiving37.6%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 19-9 · O/U 15-13 · avg. margin +22.3
North Carolina · Returning production
Overall (PPA)27.8%
Passing9.5%
Rushing53.6%
Receiving32.8%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 7-15-1 · O/U 10-13 · avg. margin -3.4
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings2026Notre Dame 37–26 North Carolina
2022Notre Dame 45–32 North Carolina
2021North Carolina 34–44 Notre Dame
2020Notre Dame 31–17 North Carolina
2017Notre Dame 33–10 North Carolina
Venue & conditions
Kenan Stadium · Chapel Hill, NC
82°F · 11.2 mph wind · 33% precip. chance