CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
South Alabama
Offensive efficiency (PPA)80th pct.
Offensive success rate53th pct.
Explosiveness87th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)7th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed1th pct.
Havoc rate62th pct.
Arkansas State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)46th pct.
Offensive success rate74th pct.
Explosiveness14th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)28th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed17th pct.
Havoc rate5th pct.
South Alabama · Returning production
Overall (PPA)78.6%
Passing95.1%
Rushing61.7%
Receiving80.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 9-13 · O/U 10-12 · avg. margin -0.9
Arkansas State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)30.0%
Passing7.2%
Rushing-246.3%
Receiving54.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-10 · O/U 10-13 · avg. margin -3.9
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026South Alabama 56–49 Arkansas State
2025Arkansas State 15–14 South Alabama
2024South Alabama 16–18 Arkansas State
2023Arkansas State 14–21 South Alabama
2022South Alabama 31–3 Arkansas State
2021Arkansas State 13–31 South Alabama
Venue & conditions
Centennial Bank Stadium · Jonesboro, AR
89°F · 7.1 mph wind · 1% precip. chance