CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
TCU
Offensive efficiency (PPA)28th pct.
Offensive success rate35th pct.
Explosiveness74th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)95th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed92th pct.
Havoc rate68th pct.
Baylor
Offensive efficiency (PPA)33th pct.
Offensive success rate7th pct.
Explosiveness95th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)93th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed89th pct.
Havoc rate91th pct.
TCU · Returning production
Overall (PPA)22.4%
Passing11.0%
Rushing31.3%
Receiving29.1%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-11-1 · O/U 13-11-1 · avg. margin +5.6
Baylor · Returning production
Overall (PPA)60.2%
Passing77.7%
Rushing67.7%
Receiving46.9%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 9-14 · O/U 13-9-1 · avg. margin +1.6
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026TCU 17–6 Baylor
2025Baylor 36–42 TCU
2024TCU 34–37 Baylor
2023Baylor 17–42 TCU
2022TCU 29–28 Baylor
2021Baylor 28–30 TCU
Venue & conditions
McLane Stadium · Waco, TX
66°F · 11.5 mph wind · 0% precip. chance