CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Texas State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)95th pct.
Offensive success rate96th pct.
Explosiveness82th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)21th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed17th pct.
Havoc rate32th pct.
San Diego State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)5th pct.
Offensive success rate2th pct.
Explosiveness60th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)36th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed8th pct.
Havoc rate7th pct.
Texas State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)76.0%
Passing99.8%
Rushing48.0%
Receiving79.1%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 10-14 · O/U 12-12 · avg. margin +10.0
San Diego State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)98.7%
Passing100.0%
Rushing100.0%
Receiving97.3%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 14-8 · O/U 9-13 · avg. margin -0.3
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings2026Texas State 29–31 San Diego State
Venue & conditions
Snapdragon Stadium · San Diego, CA
100°F · 10 mph wind · 1% precip. chance