CFB
UCF
4-3
@Sat, Oct 3 · 12:05 PM ET
#14 AP (▲6)
Houston
6-2
HOU -10.5·O/U 50.5

Where they rank

Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.

UCF
Offensive efficiency (PPA)29th pct.
Offensive success rate29th pct.
Explosiveness51th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)75th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed57th pct.
Havoc rate40th pct.
Houston
Offensive efficiency (PPA)94th pct.
Offensive success rate99th pct.
Explosiveness9th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)37th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed40th pct.
Havoc rate91th pct.
UCF · Returning production
Overall (PPA)24.8%
Passing3.9%
Rushing-16.8%
Receiving58.0%

Against the spread, last 3 seasons

ATS 7-15 · O/U 12-10 · avg. margin -2.9

Houston · Returning production
Overall (PPA)81.2%
Passing91.5%
Rushing522.6%
Receiving61.3%

Against the spread, last 3 seasons

ATS 13-10 · O/U 9-14 · avg. margin -3.4

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings
2026UCF 17–27 Houston
2025Houston 30–27 UCF
2023Houston 13–27 UCF
2020UCF 44–21 Houston
2019Houston 29–44 UCF
2016UCF 24–31 Houston

Venue & conditions

TDECU Stadium · Houston, TX

89°F · 9.8 mph wind · 32% precip. chance