CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Virginia
Offensive efficiency (PPA)75th pct.
Offensive success rate72th pct.
Explosiveness6th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)49th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed59th pct.
Havoc rate59th pct.
Florida State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)70th pct.
Offensive success rate56th pct.
Explosiveness93th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)9th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed21th pct.
Havoc rate30th pct.
Virginia · Returning production
Overall (PPA)9.5%
Passing1.1%
Rushing21.0%
Receiving8.7%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 15-9 · O/U 7-17 · avg. margin +2.8
Florida State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)40.1%
Passing12.5%
Rushing28.2%
Receiving65.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 8-15 · O/U 7-16 · avg. margin -4.0
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings2026Virginia 7–38 Florida State
2025Florida State 38–46 Virginia
2019Florida State 24–31 Virginia
Venue & conditions
Doak Campbell Stadium · Tallahassee, FL
85°F · 6.6 mph wind · 40% precip. chance