Edge Finder

Top 25 props by Edge Score: value after adjusting recent hit rates to the market's fair price (50), last-10 form against the price's break-even (25) and opponent defense (25)

25ranked props
Edge Score67-100 (Strong)50-66 (Good)34-49 (Moderate)0-33 (Weak)
1Precious Achiuwa

Precious Achiuwa

Over 9.5PTSvs MEM

Good66
L1080%EV-1.4%Odds-129Def#30TrendDK
Scout's Report

8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began. 3 teammates are out (Ben Simmons, Dylan Cardwell), so there are more minutes and shots to go around. With the vig taken out, DraftKings' own price works out to 53%; no sharper book has posted this line yet.

2Precious Achiuwa

Precious Achiuwa

Over 17.5PtsRebvs MEM

Good66
L1080%EV-1.1%Odds-113Def#29TrendDK
Scout's Report

8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began. 3 teammates are out (Ben Simmons, Dylan Cardwell), so there are more minutes and shots to go around. With the vig taken out, DraftKings' own price works out to 50%; no sharper book has posted this line yet.

3Quinten Post

Quinten Post

Over 6.5PTSvs SAC

Good66
L1070%EV-1.7%Odds-101Def#30TrendDK
Scout's Report

8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began. He's averaged only 19 minutes, so a short night can sink an Over quickly. With the vig taken out, DraftKings' own price works out to 47%; no sharper book has posted this line yet.

4Precious Achiuwa

Precious Achiuwa

Over 11.5PTSvs MEM

Good62
L1080%EV-5.4%Odds+135Def#30TrendDK
Scout's Report

8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began. 3 teammates are out (Ben Simmons, Dylan Cardwell), so there are more minutes and shots to go around.

5Daniss Jenkins

Daniss Jenkins

Over 14.5PtsRebvs PHI

Good61
L1070%EV-2.8%Odds-112Def#28TrendDK
Scout's Report

8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began. 2 teammates are out (Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren), so there are more minutes and shots to go around. His minutes have swung a lot (27 a game, give or take 7), so playing time decides this as much as form.

6Daniss Jenkins

Daniss Jenkins

Over 10.5PTSvs PHI

Good60
L1070%EV-2.8%Odds-128Def#28TrendDK
Scout's Report

8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began. 2 teammates are out (Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren), so there are more minutes and shots to go around. His minutes have swung a lot (27 a game, give or take 7), so playing time decides this as much as form.

7Precious Achiuwa

Precious Achiuwa

Over 4.5REBvs MEM

Good60
L10100%EV-3.0%Odds-528Def#28TrendDK
Scout's Report

At -528 you risk $528 to win $100: it has to land 84% of the time to break even, and the fair price with the vig removed is about 80%. 8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began. 3 teammates are out (Ben Simmons, Dylan Cardwell), so there are more minutes and shots to go around.

8Daniss Jenkins

Daniss Jenkins

Over 2.5ASTvs PHI

Good59
L10100%EV-3.4%Odds-421Def#26TrendDK
Scout's Report

At -421 you risk $421 to win $100: it has to land 81% of the time to break even, and the fair price with the vig removed is about 76%. 8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began. 2 teammates are out (Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren), so there are more minutes and shots to go around.

9Daniss Jenkins

Daniss Jenkins

Over 18.5PtsRebAstvs PHI

Good59
L1070%EV-3.4%Odds-121Def#29TrendDK
Scout's Report

8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began. 2 teammates are out (Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren), so there are more minutes and shots to go around. His minutes have swung a lot (27 a game, give or take 7), so playing time decides this as much as form.

10Precious Achiuwa

Precious Achiuwa

Over 7.5PTSvs MEM

Good57
L1090%EV-5.4%Odds-257Def#30TrendDK
Scout's Report

At -257 you risk $257 to win $100: it has to land 72% of the time to break even, and the fair price with the vig removed is about 66%. 8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began. 3 teammates are out (Ben Simmons, Dylan Cardwell), so there are more minutes and shots to go around.

11Precious Achiuwa

Precious Achiuwa

Over 14.5PTSvs MEM

Good57
L1050%EV-6.6%Odds+306Def#30TrendDK
Scout's Report

8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began. 3 teammates are out (Ben Simmons, Dylan Cardwell), so there are more minutes and shots to go around.

12Cade Cunningham

Cade Cunningham

Over 1.53PMvs PHI

Good55
L1080%EV-3.6%Odds-187Def#25TrendDK
Scout's Report

8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began. 2 teammates are out (Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren), so there are more minutes and shots to go around. With the vig taken out, DraftKings' own price works out to 61%; no sharper book has posted this line yet.

13Daniss Jenkins

Daniss Jenkins

Over 4.5AstRebvs PHI

Good55
L1090%EV-3.7%Odds-650Def#30TrendDK
Scout's Report

At -650 you risk $650 to win $100: it has to land 87% of the time to break even, and the fair price with the vig removed is about 83%. 8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began. 2 teammates are out (Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren), so there are more minutes and shots to go around.

14Precious Achiuwa

Precious Achiuwa

Over 5.5PTSvs MEM

Good55
L1090%EV-3.9%Odds-583Def#30TrendDK
Scout's Report

At -583 you risk $583 to win $100: it has to land 85% of the time to break even, and the fair price with the vig removed is about 81%. 8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began. 3 teammates are out (Ben Simmons, Dylan Cardwell), so there are more minutes and shots to go around.

15Jerami Grant

Jerami Grant

Over 12.5PTSvs SAC

Good54
L1060%EV-3.7%Odds-105Def#27TrendDK
Scout's Report

8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began. With the vig taken out, DraftKings' own price works out to 48%; no sharper book has posted this line yet.

16Daniss Jenkins

Daniss Jenkins

Over 15.5PtsAstvs PHI

Good53
L1060%EV-4.6%Odds-110Def#29TrendDK
Scout's Report

8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began. 2 teammates are out (Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren), so there are more minutes and shots to go around. His minutes have swung a lot (27 a game, give or take 7), so playing time decides this as much as form.

17Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown

Over 1.53PMvs DET

Good53
L1070%EV+1.2%Odds-120Def#8TrendDK
Scout's Report

Joel Embiid is out, so the team's biggest shot-taker is off the floor and there are more touches for Brown. 7 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began. Second night of a back-to-back, which tends to trim minutes and production.

18Jerami Grant

Jerami Grant

Over 0.53PMvs SAC

Good53
L1090%EV-4.0%Odds-568Def#28TrendDK
Scout's Report

At -568 you risk $568 to win $100: it has to land 85% of the time to break even, and the fair price with the vig removed is about 81%. 8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began.

19Quinten Post

Quinten Post

Over 5.5PTSvs SAC

Good53
L1080%EV-7.2%Odds-148Def#30TrendDK
Scout's Report

8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began. He's averaged only 19 minutes, so a short night can sink an Over quickly.

20Jaylen Wells

Jaylen Wells

Over 5.5PTSvs SAC

Good52
L1090%EV-3.5%Odds-740Def#27TrendDK
Scout's Report

At -740 you risk $740 to win $100: it has to land 88% of the time to break even, and the fair price with the vig removed is about 85%. 8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began.

21Cade Cunningham

Cade Cunningham

Over 0.53PMvs PHI

Good51
L1090%EV-3.1%Odds-880Def#25TrendDK
Scout's Report

At -880 you risk $880 to win $100: it has to land 90% of the time to break even, and the fair price with the vig removed is about 87%. 8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began. 2 teammates are out (Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren), so there are more minutes and shots to go around.

22Jaylen Wells

Jaylen Wells

Over 1.53PMvs SAC

Good51
L1070%EV-5.8%Odds-138Def#28TrendDK
Scout's Report

Pinnacle's no-vig price puts this at 53%, below the 58% that DraftKings' -138 needs — the sharper market is less optimistic. 8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began.

23Jaylen Wells

Jaylen Wells

Over 11.5PTSvs SAC

Good50
L1050%EV-3.9%Odds+100Def#27TrendDK
Scout's Report

8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began. Pinnacle's no-vig price (48%) sits close to DraftKings' break-even (50%), so the price looks fair.

24Jaylen Wells

Jaylen Wells

Over 14.5PtsRebvs SAC

Good50
L1060%EV-4.4%Odds-108Def#24TrendDK
Scout's Report

8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began. With the vig taken out, DraftKings' own price works out to 49%; no sharper book has posted this line yet.

25Ty Jerome

Ty Jerome

Over 1.53PMvs SAC

Good50
L10100%EV-3.3%Odds-447Def#16TrendDK
Scout's Report

At -447 you risk $447 to win $100: it has to land 82% of the time to break even, and the fair price with the vig removed is about 77%. 8 of the 10 games in that sample are from last season, before the 2026-27 schedule began.