Jakob Poeltl

Jakob Poeltl

TORRaptors·Center·#19

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Jakob Poeltl has been steady, averaging 6.8 points over his last 5 games (6.9 L10). Rebounds is his strongest prop category tonight (100.0% L10 on Over 3.5). Assists presents more risk (0.0% L10).

Today’s Props

Over 3.5

AST+4600
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

7%

L20

5%

14

Over 2.5

AST+1850
Hit Rate10%
EV-16%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

20%

L20

25%

4

Over 1.5

AST-1500
Hit Rate50%
EV-11%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

45%

Over 11.5

AstReb+2450
Hit Rate10%
EV-17%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

7%

L20

10%

4

Over 9.5

AstReb+1100
Hit Rate20%
EV-14%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

25%

Over 8.5

AstReb-1350
Hit Rate20%
EV-12%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

30%

Over 7.5

AstReb-2150
Hit Rate40%
EV-9%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Over 1.5

BLK+2560
Hit Rate10%
EV-17%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

10%

L15

7%

L20

5%

8

Over 0.5

BLK-1790
Hit Rate80%
EV-10%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

73%

L20

65%

2

Under 8.5

PTS-1230

Pinnacle no-vig 53.5% vs DraftKings implied 55.2% at -123 → -3.0% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%
EV-3%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

45%

2

Over 8.5

PTS-1040

Pinnacle no-vig 46.5% vs DraftKings implied 51.0% at -104 → -8.8% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%
EV-9%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

55%

2

Over 5.5

PTS-3570
Hit Rate60%
EV-7%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

75%

Over 7.5

PTS-1600
Hit Rate50%
EV-11%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

65%

2

Over 9.5

PTS+1210
Hit Rate30%
EV-14%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

50%

4

Over 11.5

PTS+2230
Hit Rate10%
EV-17%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

20%

L20

30%

4

Over 14.5

PTS+5440
Hit Rate0%
EV-19%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

7%

L20

15%

12

Over 9.5

PtsAst-1480
Hit Rate40%
EV-11%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

60%

4

Over 14.5

PtsAst+2710
Hit Rate10%
EV-17%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

20%

4

Over 10.5

PtsAst-1090
Hit Rate30%
EV-13%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

55%

4

Under 15.5

PtsReb-1130
Hit Rate60%
EV-7%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

45%

2

Over 9.5

PtsReb-6400
Hit Rate70%
EV-5%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

75%

Over 14.5

PtsReb-1490
Hit Rate50%
EV-11%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

65%

Over 15.5

PtsReb-1170
Hit Rate40%
EV-7%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

55%

2

Over 19.5

PtsReb+2060
Hit Rate10%
EV-16%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

20%

4

Over 14.5

PtsRebAst-2410
Hit Rate60%
EV-9%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

70%

Under 17.5

PtsRebAst-1120
Hit Rate80%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

80%

L15

73%

L20

60%

4

Over 24.5

PtsRebAst+3660
Hit Rate10%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

15%

4

Over 19.5

PtsRebAst+1300
Hit Rate10%
EV-15%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

25%

4

Over 17.5

PtsRebAst-1170
Hit Rate20%
EV-6%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

40%

4

Over 4.5

REB-4570
Hit Rate80%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

67%

L20

70%

3

Over 6.5

REB-1460
Hit Rate30%
EV-7%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

30%

Under 6.5

REB+1100
Hit Rate70%
EV-7%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

70%

Over 3.5

REB-9800
Hit Rate100%
EV-3%

L6

100%

L8

100%

L10

100%

L15

80%

L20

85%

10

Over 10.5

REB+4350
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

5%

18

Over 9.5

REB+2840
Hit Rate0%
EV-17%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

5%

18

Over 8.5

REB+1820
Hit Rate20%
EV-16%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

15%

Over 7.5

REB+1130

Pinnacle no-vig 44.5% vs DraftKings implied 46.9% at +113 → -5.2% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate20%
EV-5%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

15%

Over 5.5

REB-2480
Hit Rate70%
EV-9%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

60%

3

Over 0.5

STL-2040
Hit Rate70%
EV-10%

L6

83%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

75%

4

Over 1.5

STL+2150
Hit Rate30%
EV-17%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

25%

2

Over 1.5

StlBlk-1600
Hit Rate70%
EV-11%

L6

83%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

55%

4

Over 2.5

StlBlk+1800
Hit Rate30%
EV-16%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

25%

3

Over 3.5

StlBlk+4250
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

0%

20

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 8.5 Points

11/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 15.5 Pts+Reb

11/20 hit

O 8.5 Points

11/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

14/20 hit

O 15.5 Pts+Reb

11/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

14/20 hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

14/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 0.5 Steals

15/20 hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

14/20 hit

50%

both hit

O 5.5 Rebounds

12/20 hit

O 5.5 Rebounds

12/20 hit

50%

both hit

O 0.5 Steals

15/20 hit

O 8.5 Points

11/20 hit

45%

both hit

O 0.5 Steals

15/20 hit

O 15.5 Pts+Reb

11/20 hit

45%

both hit

O 0.5 Steals

15/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

8/20 hit

40%

both hit

O 5.5 Rebounds

12/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

8/20 hit

35%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

14/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

Recent Game Log

DateMatchupW/LPTSREBAST3PM
Oct 23TOR @ WASW6920
Oct 21TOR vs. CHIW3600
May 3TOR @ CLEL9700
May 1TOR vs. CLEW2410
Apr 29TOR @ CLEL14930
Apr 26TOR vs. CLEW10610
Apr 23TOR vs. CLEW8620
Apr 20TOR @ CLEL2410
Apr 18TOR @ CLEL4620
Apr 12TOR vs. BKNW11520
Apr 10TOR @ NYKL4310
Apr 9TOR vs. MIAW6210
Apr 7TOR vs. MIAW17630
Apr 5TOR @ BOSL14200
Apr 3TOR @ MEMW8740
Apr 1TOR vs. SACL18510
Mar 31TOR @ DETL13410
Mar 29TOR vs. ORLW11730
Mar 27TOR vs. NOPW181130
Mar 25TOR @ LACL10610