Pascal Siakam

Pacers·Forward·#43

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Pascal Siakam is in peak form, averaging 27.6 points over his last 5 games — a sharp uptick from his 24.2 L10 average. Ast+Reb is his strongest prop category tonight (80.0% L10 on Under 9.5). Assists presents more risk (10.0% L10).

Today’s Props

Over 1.5

3PM+1260

Pinnacle no-vig 42.3% vs DraftKings implied 44.2% at +126 → -4.4% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%

EV-4%

50%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Under 1.5

3PM-1670

Pinnacle no-vig 57.7% vs DraftKings implied 62.5% at -167 → -7.8% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%

EV-8%

50%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 0.5

3PM-3450

Hit Rate70%

EV-7%

83%

88%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

80%

Over 2.5

3PM+4060

Hit Rate20%

EV-18%

33%

25%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

15%

Over 5.5

AST+6000

Hit Rate10%

EV-19%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

L20

Over 4.5

AST+2800

Hit Rate40%

EV-17%

33%

25%

L10

40%

L15

27%

L20

30%

Over 2.5

AST-1860

Hit Rate60%

EV-10%

67%

50%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

65%

Under 3.5

AST-1700

Pinnacle no-vig 61.0% vs DraftKings implied 63.0% at -170 → -3.1% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%

EV-3%

67%

75%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

55%

Over 3.5

AST+1280

Pinnacle no-vig 39.0% vs DraftKings implied 43.9% at +128 → -11.2% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%

EV-11%

33%

25%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

45%

Over 11.5

AstReb+1900

Hit Rate10%

EV-16%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

L20

10%

Over 7.5

AstReb-3200

Hit Rate70%

EV-7%

83%

75%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

70%

Under 9.5

AstReb-1100

Hit Rate80%

EV-6%

83%

88%

L10

80%

L15

73%

L20

70%

Over 9.5

AstReb-1190

Hit Rate20%

EV-6%

17%

13%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

30%

Over 0.5

BLK+1690

Hit Rate10%

EV-16%

13%

L10

10%

L15

L20

20%

Under 23.5

PTS-1150

Pinnacle no-vig 50.8% vs DraftKings implied 53.5% at -115 → -5.0% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%

EV-5%

33%

38%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Over 23.5

PTS-1110

Pinnacle no-vig 49.2% vs DraftKings implied 52.6% at -111 → -6.5% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%

EV-6%

67%

63%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 14.5

PTS-9300

Hit Rate80%

EV-3%

83%

88%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

90%

Over 17.5

PTS-4190

Hit Rate80%

EV-6%

83%

88%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

90%

Over 19.5

PTS-2580

Hit Rate80%

EV-8%

83%

88%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

80%

Over 24.5

PTS+1090

Hit Rate50%

EV-14%

67%

63%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 29.5

PTS+2860

Hit Rate40%

EV-17%

50%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

30%

Over 26.5

PtsAst-1190

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

67%

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

60%

Over 34.5

PtsAst+3740

Hit Rate20%

EV-18%

17%

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

10%

Over 29.5

PtsAst+1480

Hit Rate50%

EV-15%

67%

63%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

50%

Over 24.5

PtsAst-1780

Hit Rate70%

EV-10%

83%

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

75%

Over 19.5

PtsAst-5360

Hit Rate80%

EV-5%

83%

88%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

90%

Under 26.5

PtsAst-1100

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

33%

38%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

40%

Under 30.5

PtsReb-1220

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

50%

L10

60%

L15

47%

L20

45%

Over 24.5

PtsReb-3350

Hit Rate80%

EV-7%

83%

88%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

80%

Over 29.5

PtsReb-1280

Hit Rate40%

EV-12%

50%

L10

40%

L15

53%

L20

55%

Over 30.5

PtsReb-1080

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

50%

L10

40%

L15

53%

L20

55%

Over 34.5

PtsReb+1840

Hit Rate40%

EV-16%

50%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

35%

Over 39.5

PtsReb+4320

Hit Rate20%

EV-18%

17%

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

10%

Over 24.5

PtsRebAst-6300

Hit Rate80%

EV-5%

83%

88%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

85%

Under 33.5

PtsRebAst-1180

Pinnacle no-vig 51.3% vs DraftKings implied 54.1% at -118 → -5.2% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%

EV-5%

33%

38%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

45%

Over 44.5

PtsRebAst+5430

Hit Rate10%

EV-19%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

L20

Over 39.5

PtsRebAst+2390

Hit Rate20%

EV-17%

17%

25%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

20%

Over 34.5

PtsRebAst+1040

Hit Rate40%

EV-14%

50%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

45%

Over 33.5

PtsRebAst-1120

Pinnacle no-vig 48.7% vs DraftKings implied 52.8% at -112 → -7.8% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%

EV-8%

67%

63%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

55%

Over 29.5

PtsRebAst-2340

Hit Rate60%

EV-9%

67%

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

65%

Over 5.5

REB-1940

Hit Rate70%

EV-10%

67%

75%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 6.5

REB-1090

Pinnacle no-vig 49.4% vs DraftKings implied 52.2% at -109 → -5.3% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%

EV-5%

50%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

30%

Under 6.5

REB-1210

Pinnacle no-vig 50.6% vs DraftKings implied 54.8% at -121 → -7.6% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%

EV-8%

50%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

70%

Over 3.5

REB-8300

Hit Rate80%

EV-4%

83%

88%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

85%

Over 4.5

REB-3680

Hit Rate70%

EV-7%

67%

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

70%

Over 9.5

REB+4490

Hit Rate10%

EV-18%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

L20

Over 8.5

REB+2710

Hit Rate10%

EV-17%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

L20

10%

Over 7.5

REB+1620

Hit Rate30%

EV-15%

33%

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Over 0.5

STL-2130

Hit Rate80%

EV-6%

67%

75%

L10

80%

L15

67%

L20

65%

Under 0.5

STL+1590

Hit Rate20%

EV-6%

33%

25%

L10

20%

L15

33%

L20

35%

Over 1.5

STL+2110

Hit Rate30%

EV-16%

17%

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

30%

Over 1.5

StlBlk+1150

Hit Rate30%

EV-14%

17%

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

40%

Over 2.5

StlBlk+3500

Hit Rate10%

EV-18%

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

20%

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 19.5 Points

16/20 hit

75%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb

16/20 hit

O 0.5 3-Pointers

16/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 19.5 Points

16/20 hit

O 0.5 3-Pointers

16/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb

16/20 hit

O 19.5 Points

16/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

13/20 hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb

16/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

13/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

14/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 19.5 Points

16/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

14/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb

16/20 hit

O 19.5 Points

16/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 26.5 Pts+Ast

12/20 hit

O 26.5 Pts+Ast

12/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb

16/20 hit

O 26.5 Pts+Ast

12/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

13/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

Recent Game Log

Date	Matchup	W/L	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	3PM	TOV	FG
Oct 23	IND vs. DAL	L	29	23	3	3	0	0	3	5	8/13
Oct 21	IND @ NOP	W	35	30	8	1	1	0	1	2	13/23
Apr 3	IND @ CHA	L	34	30	7	2	2	0	2	2	13/24
Apr 1	IND @ CHI	W	22	25	4	5	0	0	1	0	11/16
Mar 29	IND vs. MIA	W	31	30	11	6	1	0	3	4	11/24
Mar 27	IND vs. LAC	L	33	11	6	3	1	0	0	5	4/16
Mar 25	IND vs. LAL	L	30	20	8	1	1	0	1	4	7/15
Mar 23	IND @ ORL	W	34	37	6	1	2	2	2	2	13/26
Mar 21	IND @ SAS	L	29	14	2	5	1	0	0	1	6/14
Mar 8	IND @ POR	L	32	22	6	5	2	0	0	2	9/20
Mar 6	IND @ LAL	L	29	26	5	3	2	0	0	2	10/20
Mar 4	IND @ LAC	L	30	29	5	1	0	0	1	0	8/14
Feb 22	IND vs. DAL	L	29	30	8	3	0	0	2	5	12/19
Feb 10	IND @ NYK	W	37	30	6	4	3	0	3	1	11/26
Feb 8	IND @ TOR	L	24	18	4	2	0	0	1	2	7/15
Feb 6	IND @ MIL	L	33	19	6	4	1	1	1	2	7/19
Feb 2	IND vs. HOU	L	33	27	4	5	1	0	2	3	12/21
Jan 31	IND vs. ATL	W	33	25	6	1	2	1	1	4	11/15
Jan 28	IND vs. CHI	W	36	20	3	5	0	0	1	2	6/16
Jan 26	IND @ ATL	L	35	26	9	4	0	3	2	0	8/21

Date	Matchup	W/L	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Oct 23	IND vs. DAL	L	23	3	3	3
Oct 21	IND @ NOP	W	30	8	1	1
Apr 3	IND @ CHA	L	30	7	2	2
Apr 1	IND @ CHI	W	25	4	5	1
Mar 29	IND vs. MIA	W	30	11	6	3
Mar 27	IND vs. LAC	L	11	6	3	0
Mar 25	IND vs. LAL	L	20	8	1	1
Mar 23	IND @ ORL	W	37	6	1	2
Mar 21	IND @ SAS	L	14	2	5	0
Mar 8	IND @ POR	L	22	6	5	0
Mar 6	IND @ LAL	L	26	5	3	0
Mar 4	IND @ LAC	L	29	5	1	1
Feb 22	IND vs. DAL	L	30	8	3	2
Feb 10	IND @ NYK	W	30	6	4	3
Feb 8	IND @ TOR	L	18	4	2	1
Feb 6	IND @ MIL	L	19	6	4	1
Feb 2	IND vs. HOU	L	27	4	5	2
Jan 31	IND vs. ATL	W	25	6	1	1
Jan 28	IND vs. CHI	W	20	3	5	1
Jan 26	IND @ ATL	L	26	9	4	2