Lauri Markkanen

Jazz·Forward-Center·#23

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Lauri Markkanen has been steady, averaging 19.8 points over his last 5 games (21.6 L10). His playing time has been volatile (30 MPG, ±6.0), adding uncertainty to all props. Points is his strongest prop category tonight (100.0% L10 on Over 14.5).

Today’s Props

Over 2.5

3PM+118MODEL

Pinnacle no-vig 47.0% vs DraftKings implied 45.9% at +118 → +2.4% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%

EV+2%

50%

L10

40%

L15

53%

L20

50%

Under 2.5

3PM-1560

Pinnacle no-vig 53.0% vs DraftKings implied 60.9% at -156 → -13.0% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%

EV-13%

50%

L10

60%

L15

47%

L20

50%

Over 1.5

3PM-2510

Hit Rate60%

EV-9%

50%

63%

L10

60%

L15

73%

L20

80%

Over 3.5

3PM+2830

Hit Rate10%

EV-17%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

L20

15%

Over 3.5

AST+3750

Hit Rate0%

EV-18%

L10

L15

20%

L20

20%

Under 2.5

AST-1920

Hit Rate70%

EV-6%

50%

63%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

65%

Over 2.5

AST+1450

Hit Rate30%

EV-6%

50%

38%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

35%

Over 11.5

AstReb+2900

Hit Rate20%

EV-17%

17%

13%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

20%

Over 9.5

AstReb+1150

Hit Rate30%

EV-14%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

35%

Over 7.5

AstReb-2300

Hit Rate60%

EV-9%

83%

63%

L10

60%

L15

73%

L20

70%

Under 8.5

AstReb+1050

Hit Rate50%

EV-6%

33%

50%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

45%

Over 8.5

AstReb-1380

Hit Rate50%

EV-6%

67%

50%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

55%

Under 0.5

BLK-2200

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

67%

75%

L10

60%

L15

47%

L20

50%

Over 0.5

BLK+1640

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

33%

25%

L10

40%

L15

53%

L20

50%

Under 21.5

PTS-1170

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

67%

63%

L10

60%

L15

47%

L20

35%

Over 21.5

PTS-1090

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

33%

38%

L10

40%

L15

53%

L20

65%

Over 14.5

PTS-5780

Hit Rate100%

EV-5%

100%

L10

100%

L15

100%

L20

100%

Over 17.5

PTS-2620

Hit Rate80%

EV-8%

67%

75%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

90%

Over 19.5

PTS-1660

Hit Rate40%

EV-11%

33%

38%

L10

40%

L15

53%

L20

65%

Over 24.5

PTS+1660

Hit Rate40%

EV-16%

33%

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

55%

Over 29.5

PTS+4330

Hit Rate0%

EV-18%

L10

L15

L20

15%

Over 19.5

PtsAst-2750

Hit Rate70%

EV-8%

67%

63%

L10

70%

L15

80%

L20

85%

Over 23.5

PtsAst-1190

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

33%

38%

L10

40%

L15

53%

L20

65%

Over 24.5

PtsAst+1020

Hit Rate40%

EV-13%

33%

38%

L10

40%

L15

53%

L20

60%

Over 29.5

PtsAst+2730

Hit Rate10%

EV-17%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

27%

L20

35%

Under 23.5

PtsAst-1100

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

67%

63%

L10

60%

L15

47%

L20

35%

Over 19.5

PtsReb-7500

Hit Rate100%

EV-4%

100%

L10

100%

L15

100%

L20

100%

Under 28.5

PtsReb-1180

Hit Rate60%

EV-7%

67%

63%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

40%

Over 39.5

PtsReb+5930

Hit Rate0%

EV-19%

L10

L15

20%

L20

20%

Over 34.5

PtsReb+2570

Hit Rate10%

EV-17%

L10

10%

L15

27%

L20

30%

Over 29.5

PtsReb+1070

Hit Rate40%

EV-14%

33%

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

60%

Over 28.5

PtsReb-1120

Hit Rate40%

EV-7%

33%

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

60%

Over 24.5

PtsReb-2420

Hit Rate70%

EV-9%

83%

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

80%

Over 30.5

PtsRebAst-1200

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

33%

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

60%

Under 30.5

PtsRebAst-1100

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

67%

63%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

40%

Over 34.5

PtsRebAst+1730

Hit Rate20%

EV-16%

17%

13%

L10

20%

L15

33%

L20

45%

Over 39.5

PtsRebAst+3990

Hit Rate10%

EV-18%

L10

10%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Over 29.5

PtsRebAst-1410

Hit Rate50%

EV-12%

50%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

70%

Over 24.5

PtsRebAst-3750

Hit Rate80%

EV-7%

100%

88%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

90%

Over 8.5

REB+2310

Hit Rate20%

EV-17%

17%

13%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Over 9.5

REB+3890

Hit Rate10%

EV-18%

L10

10%

L15

20%

L20

15%

Over 5.5

REB-2320

Hit Rate60%

EV-9%

83%

63%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 4.5

REB-4590

Hit Rate70%

EV-6%

83%

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

75%

Under 6.5

REB-1030

Pinnacle no-vig 49.8% vs DraftKings implied 50.7% at -103 → -1.9% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%

EV-2%

33%

50%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

50%

Over 6.5

REB-1280

Pinnacle no-vig 50.2% vs DraftKings implied 56.1% at -128 → -10.6% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%

EV-11%

67%

50%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

50%

Over 7.5

REB+1370

Hit Rate30%

EV-15%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

35%

Under 0.5

STL+1430

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

50%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Over 1.5

STL+2380

Hit Rate30%

EV-17%

17%

13%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

30%

Over 0.5

STL-1920

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

50%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 1.5

StlBlk+1230

Hit Rate30%

EV-6%

17%

13%

L10

30%

L15

47%

L20

45%

Under 1.5

StlBlk-1630

Hit Rate70%

EV-6%

83%

88%

L10

70%

L15

53%

L20

55%

Over 2.5

StlBlk+3800

Hit Rate20%

EV-18%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

25%

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 17.5 Points

18/20 hit

85%

both hit

O 19.5 Pts+Ast

17/20 hit

O 17.5 Points

18/20 hit

80%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

18/20 hit

O 19.5 Pts+Ast

17/20 hit

80%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

18/20 hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb

16/20 hit

80%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

18/20 hit

O 17.5 Points

18/20 hit

75%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb

16/20 hit

O 19.5 Pts+Ast

17/20 hit

75%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb

16/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

14/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

18/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

14/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 17.5 Points

18/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

14/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 19.5 Pts+Ast

17/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

14/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb

16/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

Recent Game Log

Date	Matchup	W/L	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	3PM	TOV	FG
Oct 23	UTA vs. NOP	W	34	16	6	3	1	0	4	1	6/13
Oct 21	UTA @ MEM	L	36	18	9	3	0	1	1	3	4/13
Feb 23	UTA @ HOU	L	32	29	3	2	2	0	1	2	10/23
Feb 11	UTA vs. SAC	W	21	19	7	3	1	0	1	0	7/14
Feb 9	UTA @ MIA	W	25	17	8	1	0	0	3	1	5/14
Feb 7	UTA @ ORL	L	27	27	7	1	0	1	3	3	12/21
Feb 5	UTA @ ATL	L	23	18	5	1	1	0	3	1	6/12
Feb 3	UTA @ IND	W	27	27	3	2	0	0	2	1	10/19
Feb 1	UTA @ TOR	L	39	27	11	2	2	1	2	0	9/23
Jan 28	UTA vs. GSW	L	33	18	3	2	2	1	1	1	6/14
Jan 27	UTA vs. LAC	L	29	19	5	4	0	2	3	2	5/15
Jan 12	UTA @ CLE	W	36	28	12	2	1	1	3	1	8/16
Jan 8	UTA vs. DAL	W	40	33	7	4	0	2	2	3	14/26
Jan 7	UTA @ OKC	L	44	29	13	1	1	0	3	4	11/19
Jan 5	UTA @ POR	L	32	22	4	4	3	1	3	5	8/17
Jan 3	UTA @ GSW	L	41	35	6	1	0	0	2	1	15/27
Dec 30	UTA vs. BOS	L	38	22	9	2	2	1	2	0	6/16
Dec 27	UTA @ SAS	W	34	29	5	1	3	1	5	1	11/16
Dec 26	UTA vs. DET	W	38	30	4	4	1	0	4	2	8/18
Dec 22	UTA @ DEN	L	36	27	8	1	0	0	2	3	10/20

Date	Matchup	W/L	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Oct 23	UTA vs. NOP	W	16	6	3	4
Oct 21	UTA @ MEM	L	18	9	3	1
Feb 23	UTA @ HOU	L	29	3	2	1
Feb 11	UTA vs. SAC	W	19	7	3	1
Feb 9	UTA @ MIA	W	17	8	1	3
Feb 7	UTA @ ORL	L	27	7	1	3
Feb 5	UTA @ ATL	L	18	5	1	3
Feb 3	UTA @ IND	W	27	3	2	2
Feb 1	UTA @ TOR	L	27	11	2	2
Jan 28	UTA vs. GSW	L	18	3	2	1
Jan 27	UTA vs. LAC	L	19	5	4	3
Jan 12	UTA @ CLE	W	28	12	2	3
Jan 8	UTA vs. DAL	W	33	7	4	2
Jan 7	UTA @ OKC	L	29	13	1	3
Jan 5	UTA @ POR	L	22	4	4	3
Jan 3	UTA @ GSW	L	35	6	1	2
Dec 30	UTA vs. BOS	L	22	9	2	2
Dec 27	UTA @ SAS	W	29	5	1	5
Dec 26	UTA vs. DET	W	30	4	4	4
Dec 22	UTA @ DEN	L	27	8	1	2