John Collins

Pistons·Forward-Center·#20

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. John Collins has cooled off, averaging 11.6 points over his last 5 games, down from a 13.9 L10 average. Rebounds is his strongest prop category tonight (90.0% L10 on Over 3.5). His shooting has dipped — 46% FG over the last 5 games, down from 53% L10.

Today’s Props

Over 2.5

3PM+4300

Hit Rate30%

EV-18%

17%

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

20%

Over 0.5

3PM-3260

Hit Rate60%

EV-7%

50%

63%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Under 1.5

3PM-1770

Hit Rate70%

EV-6%

83%

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

80%

Over 1.5

3PM+1340

Hit Rate30%

EV-6%

17%

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

20%

Under 14.5

PTS-1080

Pinnacle no-vig 50.9% vs DraftKings implied 51.9% at -108 → -2.0% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%

EV-2%

67%

63%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

55%

Over 14.5

PTS-1180

Pinnacle no-vig 49.1% vs DraftKings implied 54.1% at -118 → -9.3% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%

EV-9%

33%

38%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

45%

Over 19.5

PTS+2680

Hit Rate20%

EV-17%

17%

25%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

15%

Over 17.5

PTS+1730

Hit Rate30%

EV-16%

33%

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

30%

Over 11.5

PTS-2590

Hit Rate70%

EV-8%

50%

63%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 9.5

PTS-4690

Hit Rate80%

EV-6%

67%

75%

L10

80%

L15

67%

L20

75%

Over 7.5

PTS-9700

Hit Rate80%

EV-3%

67%

75%

L10

80%

L15

73%

L20

80%

Under 21.5

PtsReb-1180

Hit Rate60%

EV-7%

67%

63%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 29.5

PtsReb+4050

Hit Rate10%

EV-18%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

L20

Over 24.5

PtsReb+1580

Hit Rate30%

EV-15%

33%

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

30%

Over 21.5

PtsReb-1120

Hit Rate40%

EV-7%

33%

38%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Over 19.5

PtsReb-1720

Hit Rate70%

EV-11%

67%

63%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 14.5

PtsReb-5550

Hit Rate80%

EV-5%

67%

75%

L10

80%

L15

67%

L20

65%

Over 8.5

REB+2490

Hit Rate30%

EV-17%

50%

38%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

20%

Over 9.5

REB+4000

Hit Rate0%

EV-18%

L10

L15

L20

Over 7.5

REB+1500

Hit Rate30%

EV-15%

50%

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Over 5.5

REB-1940

Hit Rate70%

EV-10%

67%

63%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 4.5

REB-3660

Hit Rate80%

EV-7%

83%

75%

L10

80%

L15

73%

L20

70%

Over 3.5

REB-8000

Hit Rate90%

EV-4%

83%

88%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

75%

Under 6.5

REB-1160

Pinnacle no-vig 50.8% vs DraftKings implied 53.7% at -116 → -5.4% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%

EV-5%

33%

38%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

55%

Over 6.5

REB-1130

Pinnacle no-vig 49.2% vs DraftKings implied 53.1% at -113 → -7.3% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%

EV-7%

67%

63%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

45%

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 0.5 3-Pointers

12/20 hit

40%

both hit

O 5.5 Rebounds

12/20 hit

O 14.5 Points

9/20 hit

40%

both hit

O 21.5 Pts+Reb

8/20 hit

O 14.5 Points

9/20 hit

35%

both hit

O 5.5 Rebounds

12/20 hit

O 21.5 Pts+Reb

8/20 hit

30%

both hit

O 5.5 Rebounds

12/20 hit

O 0.5 3-Pointers

12/20 hit

25%

both hit

O 14.5 Points

9/20 hit

O 0.5 3-Pointers

12/20 hit

25%

both hit

O 21.5 Pts+Reb

8/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

Recent Game Log

Date	Matchup	W/L	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	3PM	TOV	FG
Oct 23	DET @ MIA	W	29	23	7	1	0	0	5	1	9/15
Oct 20	DET vs. BOS	W	25	6	5	1	1	1	0	0	3/7
Apr 15	LAC vs. GSW	L	21	11	9	0	2	1	1	3	5/8
Apr 12	LAC vs. GSW	W	21	18	9	0	0	0	0	1	8/12
Apr 10	LAC @ POR	L	13	0	2	0	0	1	0	2	0/3
Apr 8	LAC vs. OKC	L	27	12	9	3	3	0	1	3	5/11
Apr 7	LAC vs. DAL	W	28	12	7	1	0	2	1	3	5/11
Apr 5	LAC @ SAC	W	24	25	4	2	2	0	4	2	9/20
Apr 2	LAC vs. SAS	L	25	15	6	0	0	0	0	1	6/8
Mar 31	LAC vs. POR	L	31	17	6	1	2	0	3	0	7/8
Mar 29	LAC @ MIL	W	35	22	3	3	0	1	0	1	9/13
Mar 27	LAC @ IND	W	20	5	6	1	2	0	1	0	2/6
Mar 25	LAC vs. TOR	W	22	0	5	0	1	0	0	1	0/2
Mar 21	LAC @ DAL	W	29	8	3	0	1	2	1	1	3/7
Mar 19	LAC @ NOP	L	28	18	8	1	1	0	3	3	7/14
Mar 18	LAC @ NOP	L	24	18	7	2	0	1	0	1	6/11
Mar 16	LAC vs. SAS	L	26	11	9	4	1	0	0	1	4/8
Mar 14	LAC vs. SAC	L	20	10	3	0	2	1	1	1	2/5
Mar 1	LAC vs. NOP	W	25	15	7	1	2	0	1	2	5/14
Feb 20	LAC @ LAL	L	16	12	1	0	1	0	1	2	5/8

Date	Matchup	W/L	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Oct 23	DET @ MIA	W	23	7	1	5
Oct 20	DET vs. BOS	W	6	5	1	0
Apr 15	LAC vs. GSW	L	11	9	0	1
Apr 12	LAC vs. GSW	W	18	9	0	0
Apr 10	LAC @ POR	L	0	2	0	0
Apr 8	LAC vs. OKC	L	12	9	3	1
Apr 7	LAC vs. DAL	W	12	7	1	1
Apr 5	LAC @ SAC	W	25	4	2	4
Apr 2	LAC vs. SAS	L	15	6	0	0
Mar 31	LAC vs. POR	L	17	6	1	3
Mar 29	LAC @ MIL	W	22	3	3	0
Mar 27	LAC @ IND	W	5	6	1	1
Mar 25	LAC vs. TOR	W	0	5	0	0
Mar 21	LAC @ DAL	W	8	3	0	1
Mar 19	LAC @ NOP	L	18	8	1	3
Mar 18	LAC @ NOP	L	18	7	2	0
Mar 16	LAC vs. SAS	L	11	9	4	0
Mar 14	LAC vs. SAC	L	10	3	0	1
Mar 1	LAC vs. NOP	W	15	7	1	1
Feb 20	LAC @ LAL	L	12	1	0	1