Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Thunder·Guard·#2

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been steady, averaging 26.2 points over his last 5 games (26.5 L10). His playing time has been volatile (38 MPG, ±6.3), adding uncertainty to all props. Assists is his strongest prop category tonight (90.0% L10 on Over 3.5).

Today’s Props

Over 1.5

3PM-1390

Pinnacle no-vig 53.5% vs DraftKings implied 58.2% at -139 → -8.0% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%

EV-8%

67%

63%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

60%

Under 1.5

3PM+1050

Pinnacle no-vig 46.5% vs DraftKings implied 48.8% at +105 → -4.7% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%

EV-5%

33%

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

40%

Over 0.5

3PM-6800

Hit Rate70%

EV-4%

67%

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

75%

Over 2.5

3PM+2110

Hit Rate20%

EV-16%

33%

25%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

15%

Over 3.5

3PM+5550

Hit Rate0%

EV-19%

L10

L15

L20

Over 4.5

AST-3120

Hit Rate70%

EV-7%

50%

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

80%

Over 3.5

AST-7400

Hit Rate90%

EV-4%

83%

88%

L10

90%

L15

87%

L20

90%

Under 5.5

AST+1170

Pinnacle no-vig 45.3% vs DraftKings implied 46.1% at +117 → -1.6% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate30%

EV-2%

50%

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

20%

Over 5.5

AST-1540

Pinnacle no-vig 54.7% vs DraftKings implied 60.6% at -154 → -9.8% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate70%

EV-10%

50%

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

80%

Over 6.5

AST+1230

Hit Rate70%

EV-14%

50%

63%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

75%

Over 7.5

AST+2290

Hit Rate60%

EV-17%

33%

50%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 8.5

AST+4090

Hit Rate50%

EV-18%

33%

50%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Over 9.5

AstReb-1280

Hit Rate70%

EV-6%

67%

75%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

70%

Under 9.5

AstReb-1030

Hit Rate30%

EV-6%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

30%

Over 7.5

AstReb-3800

Hit Rate80%

EV-7%

67%

75%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

85%

Over 11.5

AstReb+1950

Hit Rate40%

EV-16%

17%

38%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Over 0.5

BLK-1660

Hit Rate70%

EV-6%

67%

75%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

60%

Under 0.5

BLK+1250

Hit Rate30%

EV-6%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

40%

Over 1.5

BLK+2870

Hit Rate20%

EV-17%

17%

25%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Under 28.5

PTS-1240

Pinnacle no-vig 51.9% vs DraftKings implied 55.4% at -124 → -6.2% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%

EV-6%

50%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

60%

Over 28.5

PTS-1030

Pinnacle no-vig 48.1% vs DraftKings implied 50.7% at -103 → -5.2% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%

EV-5%

50%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

40%

Over 19.5

PTS-8800

Hit Rate70%

EV-4%

50%

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

80%

Over 34.5

PTS+3130

Hit Rate20%

EV-18%

17%

13%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

20%

Over 29.5

PTS+1180

Hit Rate50%

EV-14%

50%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

40%

Over 24.5

PTS-2440

Hit Rate60%

EV-9%

50%

63%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

55%

Under 34.5

PtsAst-1200

Hit Rate30%

EV-6%

50%

38%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

50%

Over 44.5

PtsAst+5750

Hit Rate0%

EV-19%

L10

L15

L20

10%

Over 39.5

PtsAst+2300

Hit Rate30%

EV-17%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Over 34.5

PtsAst-1100

Hit Rate70%

EV-6%

50%

63%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

50%

Over 29.5

PtsAst-3080

Hit Rate70%

EV-8%

50%

63%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

70%

Over 24.5

PtsReb-5680

Hit Rate70%

EV-5%

50%

63%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

65%

Over 29.5

PtsReb-1860

Hit Rate50%

EV-10%

50%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

40%

Over 32.5

PtsReb-1040

Hit Rate50%

EV-6%

50%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

40%

Over 34.5

PtsReb+1420

Hit Rate30%

EV-15%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Over 39.5

PtsReb+3560

Hit Rate0%

EV-18%

L10

L15

L20

10%

Under 32.5

PtsReb-1260

Hit Rate50%

EV-6%

50%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

60%

Under 38.5

PtsRebAst-1260

Pinnacle no-vig 48.8% vs DraftKings implied 55.8% at -126 → -12.5% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate30%

EV-12%

50%

38%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

50%

Over 44.5

PtsRebAst+2700

Hit Rate10%

EV-17%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

15%

Over 39.5

PtsRebAst+1110

Hit Rate60%

EV-14%

50%

63%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

45%

Over 29.5

PtsRebAst-6700

Hit Rate80%

EV-4%

67%

75%

L10

80%

L15

73%

L20

80%

Over 34.5

PtsRebAst-2290

Hit Rate70%

EV-9%

50%

63%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

60%

Over 38.5

PtsRebAst-1050

Pinnacle no-vig 51.2% vs DraftKings implied 51.2% at -105 → -0.0% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate70%

EV0%

50%

63%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

50%

Over 4.5

REB+1730

Hit Rate10%

EV-16%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

L20

10%

Over 5.5

REB+3530

Hit Rate10%

EV-18%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

L20

Over 2.5

REB-3040

Hit Rate50%

EV-8%

50%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

50%

Over 3.5

REB-1260

Pinnacle no-vig 55.9% vs DraftKings implied 55.8% at -126 → +0.2% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%

EV+0%

50%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

45%

Under 3.5

REB-1040

Pinnacle no-vig 44.1% vs DraftKings implied 51.0% at -104 → -13.4% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%

EV-13%

50%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

55%

Under 1.5

STL-1520

Hit Rate50%

EV-7%

33%

50%

L10

50%

L15

67%

L20

70%

Over 1.5

STL+1140

Hit Rate50%

EV-7%

67%

50%

L10

50%

L15

33%

L20

30%

Over 0.5

STL-3970

Hit Rate70%

EV-6%

67%

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

75%

Over 2.5

STL+3690

Hit Rate30%

EV-18%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

15%

Over 2.5

StlBlk+1200

Hit Rate50%

EV-7%

50%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

35%

Under 2.5

StlBlk-1600

Hit Rate50%

EV-7%

50%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

65%

Over 1.5

StlBlk-2450

Hit Rate60%

EV-9%

67%

63%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

55%

Over 3.5

StlBlk+3000

Hit Rate30%

EV-18%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

15%

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 5.5 Assists

16/20 hit

80%

both hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

17/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

17/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 29.5 Pts+Ast

14/20 hit

O 5.5 Assists

16/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 29.5 Pts+Ast

14/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

17/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 34.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

12/20 hit

O 29.5 Pts+Ast

14/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 34.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

12/20 hit

O 1.5 3-Pointers

12/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

17/20 hit

O 5.5 Assists

16/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 34.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

12/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

17/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 0.5 Blocks

12/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

17/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 24.5 Points

11/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

17/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 1.5 StlBlk

11/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

vs LAC History

20.0Avg PTS

1.0Avg REB

11.0Avg AST

Date	W/L	PTS	REB	AST	MIN
Apr 8	W	20	1	11	30

Recent Game Log

Date	Matchup	W/L	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	3PM	TOV	FG
Oct 22	OKC vs. DEN	W	35	17	2	3	0	1	3	0	6/19
Oct 20	OKC @ SAS	W	36	32	6	4	3	3	3	2	13/27
May 30	OKC vs. SAS	L	43	35	4	9	3	1	2	3	12/21
May 28	OKC @ SAS	L	28	15	1	4	0	0	0	2	6/18
May 26	OKC vs. SAS	W	37	32	2	9	2	1	2	6	7/19
May 24	OKC @ SAS	L	31	19	4	7	2	0	0	4	6/15
May 22	OKC @ SAS	W	36	26	2	12	0	1	2	2	6/17
May 20	OKC vs. SAS	W	38	30	4	9	1	2	0	1	12/24
May 18	OKC vs. SAS	L	51	24	3	12	5	1	2	4	7/23
May 11	OKC @ LAL	W	39	35	1	8	1	0	1	3	11/22
May 9	OKC @ LAL	W	33	23	4	9	1	2	3	2	7/20
May 7	OKC vs. LAL	W	28	22	2	2	1	0	1	3	7/13
May 5	OKC vs. LAL	W	35	18	2	6	1	2	0	7	8/15
Apr 27	OKC @ PHX	W	38	31	2	8	0	1	2	3	10/17
Apr 25	OKC @ PHX	W	38	42	4	8	1	0	1	3	15/18
Apr 22	OKC vs. PHX	W	38	37	5	9	1	0	2	3	13/25
Apr 19	OKC vs. PHX	W	29	25	4	7	0	2	0	0	5/18
Apr 8	OKC @ LAC	W	30	20	1	11	1	1	2	3	9/17
Apr 7	OKC @ LAL	W	28	25	1	8	2	0	2	3	10/15
Apr 5	OKC vs. UTA	W	24	20	4	7	1	0	2	3	7/10

Date	Matchup	W/L	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Oct 22	OKC vs. DEN	W	17	2	3	3
Oct 20	OKC @ SAS	W	32	6	4	3
May 30	OKC vs. SAS	L	35	4	9	2
May 28	OKC @ SAS	L	15	1	4	0
May 26	OKC vs. SAS	W	32	2	9	2
May 24	OKC @ SAS	L	19	4	7	0
May 22	OKC @ SAS	W	26	2	12	2
May 20	OKC vs. SAS	W	30	4	9	0
May 18	OKC vs. SAS	L	24	3	12	2
May 11	OKC @ LAL	W	35	1	8	1
May 9	OKC @ LAL	W	23	4	9	3
May 7	OKC vs. LAL	W	22	2	2	1
May 5	OKC vs. LAL	W	18	2	6	0
Apr 27	OKC @ PHX	W	31	2	8	2
Apr 25	OKC @ PHX	W	42	4	8	1
Apr 22	OKC vs. PHX	W	37	5	9	2
Apr 19	OKC vs. PHX	W	25	4	7	0
Apr 8	OKC @ LAC	W	20	1	11	2
Apr 7	OKC @ LAL	W	25	1	8	2
Apr 5	OKC vs. UTA	W	20	4	7	2