Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr.

BKNNets·Forward·#17

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Michael Porter Jr. is in peak form, averaging 26.0 points over his last 5 games — a sharp uptick from his 23.4 L10 average. Points is his strongest prop category tonight (90.0% L10 on Over 14.5). Assists presents more risk (0.0% L10).

Today’s Props

Over 3.5

3PM+1130

Pinnacle no-vig 45.3% vs DraftKings implied 46.9% at +113 → -3.4% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%
EV-3%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

40%

L15

27%

L20

35%

2

Under 3.5

3PM-1490

Pinnacle no-vig 54.7% vs DraftKings implied 59.8% at -149 → -8.7% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%
EV-9%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

60%

L15

73%

L20

65%

2

Over 1.5

3PM-6600
Hit Rate80%
EV-4%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

67%

L20

65%

2

Over 2.5

3PM-2130
Hit Rate60%
EV-9%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

47%

L20

50%

2

Over 4.5

3PM+2480
Hit Rate30%
EV-17%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

25%

Over 5.5

3PM+5190
Hit Rate10%
EV-19%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

7%

L20

15%

4

Over 3.5

AST+3120
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

13%

L20

20%

10

Under 2.5

AST-1610
Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

45%

4

Over 2.5

AST+1220
Hit Rate30%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

55%

4

Over 11.5

AstReb+2700
Hit Rate30%
EV-17%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

40%

3

Over 9.5

AstReb+1100
Hit Rate40%
EV-14%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

45%

Over 7.5

AstReb-2250
Hit Rate50%
EV-9%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

60%

2

Under 8.5

AstReb+1060
Hit Rate60%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

50%

Over 8.5

AstReb-1390
Hit Rate40%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

50%

Over 0.5

BLK+1750
Hit Rate20%
EV-16%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

25%

3

Under 22.5

PTS-1190
Hit Rate30%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

47%

L20

45%

2

Over 22.5

PTS-1070
Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

53%

L20

55%

2

Over 14.5

PTS-6500
Hit Rate90%
EV-4%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

80%

5

Over 17.5

PTS-3090
Hit Rate90%
EV-8%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

80%

5

Over 19.5

PTS-1960
Hit Rate70%
EV-10%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

65%

2

Over 24.5

PTS+1370
Hit Rate70%
EV-15%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

47%

L20

50%

2

Over 29.5

PTS+3520
Hit Rate10%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

7%

L20

20%

3

Over 29.5

PtsAst+2160
Hit Rate20%
EV-17%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

25%

3

Under 24.5

PtsAst-1120
Hit Rate30%
EV-7%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

40%

2

Over 34.5

PtsAst+5280
Hit Rate0%
EV-19%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

10%

16

Over 24.5

PtsAst-1180
Hit Rate70%
EV-7%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

60%

2

Over 19.5

PtsAst-3330
Hit Rate90%
EV-7%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

80%

5

Over 19.5

PtsReb-8200
Hit Rate90%
EV-4%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

80%

5

Over 24.5

PtsReb-2660
Hit Rate70%
EV-8%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

70%

2

Over 29.5

PtsReb-1070
Hit Rate60%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

47%

L20

55%

2

Over 34.5

PtsReb+2170
Hit Rate40%
EV-17%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

27%

L20

35%

Over 39.5

PtsReb+4850
Hit Rate20%
EV-18%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

20%

3

Under 29.5

PtsReb-1230
Hit Rate40%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

53%

L20

45%

2

Over 29.5

PtsRebAst-1640
Hit Rate60%
EV-11%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

65%

2

Under 31.5

PtsRebAst-1150
Hit Rate40%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

40%

2

Over 39.5

PtsRebAst+3210
Hit Rate30%
EV-18%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

30%

3

Over 34.5

PtsRebAst+1440
Hit Rate40%
EV-15%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

40%

Over 31.5

PtsRebAst-1140
Hit Rate60%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

60%

2

Over 24.5

PtsRebAst-4170
Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

70%

2

Over 4.5

REB-4130
Hit Rate60%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

70%

2

Over 6.5

REB-1170

Pinnacle no-vig 48.1% vs DraftKings implied 53.9% at -117 → -10.8% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%
EV-11%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

50%

2

Under 6.5

REB-1120

Pinnacle no-vig 51.9% vs DraftKings implied 52.8% at -112 → -1.7% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%
EV-2%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

50%

2

Over 3.5

REB-9400
Hit Rate60%
EV-3%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

70%

2

Over 9.5

REB+3940
Hit Rate30%
EV-18%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

25%

3

Over 8.5

REB+2400
Hit Rate40%
EV-17%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

35%

Over 7.5

REB+1430
Hit Rate40%
EV-15%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

40%

Over 5.5

REB-2100
Hit Rate50%
EV-9%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

55%

2

Over 0.5

STL-2300
Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

65%

5

Under 0.5

STL+1700
Hit Rate30%
EV-6%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

35%

5

Over 1.5

STL+2010
Hit Rate60%
EV-16%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

60%

L15

47%

L20

45%

2

Over 1.5

StlBlk+1100
Hit Rate60%
EV-14%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

60%

L15

47%

L20

45%

2

Over 2.5

StlBlk+3300
Hit Rate50%
EV-18%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

33%

L20

35%

2

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 19.5 Pts+Ast

16/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb

14/20 hit

O 19.5 Points

13/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 19.5 Pts+Ast

16/20 hit

O 19.5 Points

13/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb

14/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

12/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 19.5 Pts+Ast

16/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

12/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb

14/20 hit

O 19.5 Points

13/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

12/20 hit

O 19.5 Pts+Ast

16/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

12/20 hit

O 19.5 Pts+Ast

16/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 0.5 Steals

13/20 hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb

14/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

12/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

12/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 19.5 Points

13/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

Recent Game Log

DateMatchupW/LPTSREBAST3PM
Oct 24BKN @ CLEL28914
Oct 21BKN vs. CHAL26715
Mar 10BKN vs. DETL19211
Mar 7BKN @ DETW301313
Mar 5BKN @ MIAL271337
Mar 3BKN @ MIAL9330
Mar 1BKN vs. CLEL26515
Feb 27BKN @ BOSL18222
Feb 26BKN vs. SASL251413
Feb 24BKN vs. DALL26032
Feb 22BKN @ ATLL18761
Feb 20BKN @ OKCL22951
Feb 19BKN @ CLEL14521
Feb 7BKN vs. WASW23633
Feb 5BKN @ ORLL9222
Feb 3BKN vs. LALL211030
Jan 29BKN @ DENL381037
Jan 27BKN @ PHXL36536
Jan 25BKN @ LACL9240
Jan 23BKN vs. BOSL30844