Duncan Robinson

Pistons·Forward·#55

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Duncan Robinson has been steady, averaging 13.8 points over his last 5 games (14.4 L10). His playing time has been volatile (30 MPG, ±6.1), adding uncertainty to all props. 3-Pointers is his strongest prop category tonight (90.0% L10 on Over 1.5).

Today’s Props

Over 4.5

3PM+3790

Hit Rate40%

EV-18%

33%

50%

L10

40%

L15

27%

L20

20%

Over 3.5

3PM+1710

Hit Rate70%

EV-16%

67%

75%

L10

70%

L15

47%

L20

40%

Over 1.5

3PM-4120

Hit Rate90%

EV-6%

83%

88%

L10

90%

L15

87%

L20

85%

Under 2.5

3PM+1050

Pinnacle no-vig 47.9% vs DraftKings implied 48.8% at +105 → -1.8% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate20%

EV-2%

17%

13%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

20%

Over 2.5

3PM-1390

Pinnacle no-vig 52.1% vs DraftKings implied 58.2% at -139 → -10.4% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate80%

EV-10%

83%

88%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

80%

Under 12.5

PTS-1030

Pinnacle no-vig 48.5% vs DraftKings implied 50.7% at -103 → -4.3% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate20%

EV-4%

17%

13%

L10

20%

L15

47%

L20

45%

Over 19.5

PTS+4060

Hit Rate10%

EV-18%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

L20

10%

Over 14.5

PTS+1300

Hit Rate50%

EV-15%

50%

63%

L10

50%

L15

33%

L20

40%

Over 11.5

PTS-1600

Hit Rate80%

EV-11%

83%

88%

L10

80%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 9.5

PTS-2760

Hit Rate90%

EV-8%

83%

88%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

80%

Over 7.5

PTS-5540

Hit Rate90%

EV-5%

83%

88%

L10

90%

L15

87%

L20

90%

Over 12.5

PTS-1240

Pinnacle no-vig 51.5% vs DraftKings implied 55.4% at -124 → -7.0% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate80%

EV-7%

83%

88%

L10

80%

L15

53%

L20

55%

Over 17.5

PTS+2570

Hit Rate20%

EV-17%

17%

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

20%

Under 15.5

PtsReb-1100

Hit Rate20%

EV-6%

33%

25%

L10

20%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Over 24.5

PtsReb+5710

Hit Rate0%

EV-19%

L10

L15

L20

Over 19.5

PtsReb+1990

Hit Rate20%

EV-16%

17%

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

20%

Over 9.5

PtsReb-6400

Hit Rate90%

EV-5%

83%

88%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

85%

Over 14.5

PtsReb-1550

Hit Rate80%

EV-11%

67%

75%

L10

80%

L15

67%

L20

65%

Over 15.5

PtsReb-1190

Hit Rate80%

EV-6%

67%

75%

L10

80%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 4.5

REB+4080

Hit Rate20%

EV-18%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

15%

Over 3.5

REB+1830

Hit Rate20%

EV-16%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

20%

Under 2.5

REB-1020

Hit Rate60%

EV-7%

83%

75%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 2.5

REB-1300

Hit Rate40%

EV-7%

17%

25%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Over 0.5

STL-1690

Hit Rate70%

EV-11%

67%

75%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 1.5

STL+2730

Hit Rate50%

EV-17%

33%

50%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

30%

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 1.5 3-Pointers

17/20 hit

80%

both hit

O 9.5 Points

16/20 hit

O 1.5 3-Pointers

17/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 15.5 Pts+Reb

12/20 hit

O 9.5 Points

16/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 15.5 Pts+Reb

12/20 hit

O 1.5 3-Pointers

17/20 hit

40%

both hit

O 2.5 Rebounds

8/20 hit

O 9.5 Points

16/20 hit

40%

both hit

O 2.5 Rebounds

8/20 hit

O 15.5 Pts+Reb

12/20 hit

35%

both hit

O 2.5 Rebounds

8/20 hit

O 1.5 3-Pointers

17/20 hit

30%

both hit

O 1.5 Steals

6/20 hit

O 9.5 Points

16/20 hit

30%

both hit

O 1.5 Steals

6/20 hit

O 15.5 Pts+Reb

12/20 hit

30%

both hit

O 1.5 Steals

6/20 hit

O 2.5 Rebounds

8/20 hit

20%

both hit

O 1.5 Steals

6/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

vs PHI History

11.0Avg PTS

2.0Avg REB

2.0Avg AST

Date	W/L	PTS	REB	AST	MIN
Apr 4	W	11	2	2	23

Recent Game Log

Date	Matchup	W/L	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	3PM	TOV	FG
Oct 23	DET @ MIA	W	28	17	1	2	2	0	5	1	5/12
Oct 20	DET vs. BOS	W	28	21	2	2	1	0	5	3	5/10
May 17	DET vs. CLE	L	22	13	1	1	1	0	3	3	4/7
May 15	DET @ CLE	W	20	14	2	2	0	0	4	0	4/7
May 11	DET @ CLE	L	29	4	1	1	0	0	1	1	1/2
May 9	DET @ CLE	L	36	15	3	4	5	1	4	0	5/9
May 7	DET vs. CLE	W	37	17	3	3	3	0	5	1	6/12
May 5	DET vs. CLE	W	28	19	0	2	2	0	5	0	7/12
May 3	DET vs. ORL	W	36	10	6	3	3	0	2	1	4/13
May 1	DET @ ORL	W	36	14	5	3	0	0	4	2	5/11
Apr 29	DET vs. ORL	W	25	12	3	1	0	0	3	1	4/8
Apr 27	DET @ ORL	L	29	7	1	0	1	0	1	1	2/8
Apr 25	DET @ ORL	L	28	10	0	3	0	1	3	0	3/8
Apr 22	DET vs. ORL	W	32	10	6	3	2	1	3	2	3/9
Apr 19	DET vs. ORL	L	26	9	0	4	0	0	3	1	3/8
Apr 12	DET @ IND	W	22	9	2	2	0	0	1	1	4/5
Apr 10	DET @ CHA	W	26	19	3	1	1	0	3	1	6/11
Apr 8	DET vs. MIL	W	24	20	1	3	1	0	4	1	8/13
Apr 4	DET @ PHI	W	23	11	2	2	0	0	3	0	4/7
Apr 2	DET vs. MIN	W	29	15	4	3	1	0	3	2	5/11

Date	Matchup	W/L	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Oct 23	DET @ MIA	W	17	1	2	5
Oct 20	DET vs. BOS	W	21	2	2	5
May 17	DET vs. CLE	L	13	1	1	3
May 15	DET @ CLE	W	14	2	2	4
May 11	DET @ CLE	L	4	1	1	1
May 9	DET @ CLE	L	15	3	4	4
May 7	DET vs. CLE	W	17	3	3	5
May 5	DET vs. CLE	W	19	0	2	5
May 3	DET vs. ORL	W	10	6	3	2
May 1	DET @ ORL	W	14	5	3	4
Apr 29	DET vs. ORL	W	12	3	1	3
Apr 27	DET @ ORL	L	7	1	0	1
Apr 25	DET @ ORL	L	10	0	3	3
Apr 22	DET vs. ORL	W	10	6	3	3
Apr 19	DET vs. ORL	L	9	0	4	3
Apr 12	DET @ IND	W	9	2	2	1
Apr 10	DET @ CHA	W	19	3	1	3
Apr 8	DET vs. MIL	W	20	1	3	4
Apr 4	DET @ PHI	W	11	2	2	3
Apr 2	DET vs. MIN	W	15	4	3	3