RJ Barrett

RJ Barrett

TORRaptors·Forward-Guard·#9

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. RJ Barrett has been steady, averaging 23.0 points over his last 5 games (23.8 L10). Points is his strongest prop category tonight (100.0% L10 on Over 17.5). Assists presents more risk (10.0% L10).

Today’s Props

Over 1.5

3PM-1200

Pinnacle no-vig 47.9% vs DraftKings implied 54.5% at -120 → -12.2% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%
EV-12%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

45%

3

Under 1.5

3PM-1090

Pinnacle no-vig 52.1% vs DraftKings implied 52.2% at -109 → -0.1% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%
EV0%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

55%

3

Over 0.5

3PM-5370
Hit Rate80%
EV-5%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

75%

Over 2.5

3PM+2410
Hit Rate30%
EV-17%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

25%

3

Over 5.5

AST+4570
Hit Rate10%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

15%

2

Over 4.5

AST+2230
Hit Rate40%
EV-17%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

30%

2

Over 2.5

AST-2260
Hit Rate80%
EV-9%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

80%

5

Under 3.5

AST-1370
Hit Rate50%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

45%

Over 3.5

AST+1040
Hit Rate50%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

55%

Over 11.5

AstReb+2500
Hit Rate40%
EV-17%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

40%

L15

27%

L20

20%

Over 7.5

AstReb-2450
Hit Rate70%
EV-9%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

75%

Under 9.5

AstReb-1390
Hit Rate40%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

50%

Over 9.5

AstReb+1050
Hit Rate60%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

50%

Under 20.5

PTS-1230
Hit Rate20%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

33%

L20

35%

Over 20.5

PTS-1040
Hit Rate80%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

67%

L20

65%

Over 19.5

PTS-1270
Hit Rate90%
EV-12%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

75%

5

Over 24.5

PTS+2060
Hit Rate30%
EV-16%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

25%

4

Over 29.5

PTS+5360
Hit Rate10%
EV-19%

L6

0%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

7%

L20

5%

6

Over 17.5

PTS-1920
Hit Rate100%
EV-10%

L6

100%

L8

100%

L10

100%

L15

87%

L20

85%

11

Over 14.5

PTS-3860
Hit Rate100%
EV-6%

L6

100%

L8

100%

L10

100%

L15

100%

L20

95%

18

Over 11.5

PTS-8800
Hit Rate100%
EV-4%

L6

100%

L8

100%

L10

100%

L15

100%

L20

100%

20

Under 23.5

PtsAst-1110
Hit Rate20%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

30%

Over 14.5

PtsAst-8900
Hit Rate100%
EV-3%

L6

100%

L8

100%

L10

100%

L15

100%

L20

100%

20

Over 19.5

PtsAst-2710
Hit Rate90%
EV-8%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

80%

5

Over 23.5

PtsAst-1180
Hit Rate80%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

73%

L20

70%

Over 24.5

PtsAst+1000
Hit Rate80%
EV-13%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

73%

L20

70%

Over 29.5

PtsAst+2490
Hit Rate20%
EV-17%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

15%

4

Under 25.5

PtsReb-1050
Hit Rate10%
EV-6%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

27%

L20

30%

Over 25.5

PtsReb-1250
Hit Rate90%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

73%

L20

70%

Over 34.5

PtsReb+3790
Hit Rate20%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

10%

4

Over 29.5

PtsReb+1610
Hit Rate50%
EV-15%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

33%

L20

30%

Over 24.5

PtsReb-1500
Hit Rate90%
EV-11%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

75%

Over 19.5

PtsReb-4040
Hit Rate100%
EV-6%

L6

100%

L8

100%

L10

100%

L15

100%

L20

95%

18

Under 29.5

PtsRebAst-1110
Hit Rate30%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

35%

Over 39.5

PtsRebAst+4460
Hit Rate20%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

10%

4

Over 34.5

PtsRebAst+1940
Hit Rate50%
EV-16%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

33%

L20

30%

Over 29.5

PtsRebAst-1190
Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

65%

Over 24.5

PtsRebAst-2860
Hit Rate100%
EV-8%

L6

100%

L8

100%

L10

100%

L15

93%

L20

90%

12

Over 19.5

PtsRebAst-7900
Hit Rate100%
EV-4%

L6

100%

L8

100%

L10

100%

L15

100%

L20

100%

20

Over 3.5

REB-4720
Hit Rate80%
EV-6%

L6

100%

L8

100%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

75%

8

Over 5.5

REB-1190

Pinnacle no-vig 45.3% vs DraftKings implied 54.3% at -119 → -16.6% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%
EV-17%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

50%

Under 5.5

REB-110MODEL

Pinnacle no-vig 54.7% vs DraftKings implied 52.4% at -110 → +4.3% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%
EV+4%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

50%

Over 8.5

REB+4560
Hit Rate40%
EV-18%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

40%

L15

27%

L20

20%

Over 7.5

REB+2620
Hit Rate50%
EV-17%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

30%

Over 6.5

REB+1510
Hit Rate50%
EV-15%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

30%

Over 4.5

REB-2260
Hit Rate60%
EV-9%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

65%

Over 0.5

STL-1690
Hit Rate50%
EV-11%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

45%

2

Over 1.5

STL+2730
Hit Rate30%
EV-17%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

25%

2

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 17.5 Points

17/20 hit

85%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

18/20 hit

O 17.5 Points

17/20 hit

80%

both hit

O 19.5 Pts+Ast

16/20 hit

O 19.5 Pts+Ast

16/20 hit

80%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

18/20 hit

O 0.5 3-Pointers

15/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 17.5 Points

17/20 hit

O 0.5 3-Pointers

15/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

18/20 hit

O 2.5 Assists

16/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 17.5 Points

17/20 hit

O 2.5 Assists

16/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 19.5 Pts+Ast

16/20 hit

O 2.5 Assists

16/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

18/20 hit

O 17.5 Points

17/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 25.5 Pts+Reb

14/20 hit

O 25.5 Pts+Reb

14/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

18/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

Recent Game Log

DateMatchupW/LPTSREBAST3PM
Oct 23TOR @ WASW23941
Oct 21TOR vs. CHIW20430
May 3TOR @ CLEL23461
May 1TOR vs. CLEW24934
Apr 29TOR @ CLEL251252
Apr 26TOR vs. CLEW18811
Apr 23TOR vs. CLEW33556
Apr 20TOR @ CLEL22950
Apr 18TOR @ CLEL24233
Apr 12TOR vs. BKNW26322
Apr 9TOR vs. MIAW22631
Apr 7TOR vs. MIAW16820
Apr 5TOR @ BOSL15541
Apr 3TOR @ MEMW25344
Apr 1TOR vs. SACL20561
Mar 31TOR @ DETL24622
Mar 29TOR vs. ORLW24330
Mar 27TOR vs. NOPW18642
Mar 25TOR @ LACL12640
Mar 23TOR @ UTAW27264