Jaxson Hayes

Jazz·Center-Forward·#11

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Jaxson Hayes is in peak form, averaging 9.4 points over his last 5 games — a sharp uptick from his 6.9 L10 average. His playing time has been volatile (18 MPG, ±6.6), adding uncertainty to all props. Rebounds is his strongest prop category tonight (90.0% L10 on Under 5.5).

Today’s Props

Over 1.5

BLK+2600

Hit Rate20%

EV-17%

17%

13%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

40%

Under 0.5

BLK+1330

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

50%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

35%

Over 0.5

BLK-1770

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

50%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

65%

Under 6.5

PTS+1000

Pinnacle no-vig 45.8% vs DraftKings implied 50.0% at +100 → -8.4% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate70%

EV-8%

67%

75%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

50%

Over 5.5

PTS-2190

Hit Rate40%

EV-9%

50%

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

60%

Over 7.5

PTS+1020

Hit Rate30%

EV-13%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

50%

Over 9.5

PTS+2060

Hit Rate30%

EV-16%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

45%

Over 11.5

PTS+4010

Hit Rate30%

EV-18%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

35%

Over 6.5

PTS-1270

Pinnacle no-vig 54.2% vs DraftKings implied 55.9% at -127 → -3.1% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate30%

EV-3%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

50%

Over 9.5

PtsReb-2850

Hit Rate40%

EV-8%

50%

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

60%

Under 12.5

PtsReb-1170

Hit Rate70%

EV-7%

67%

75%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

50%

Over 19.5

PtsReb+5380

Hit Rate20%

EV-19%

33%

25%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

25%

Over 14.5

PtsReb+1490

Hit Rate30%

EV-15%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

40%

Over 12.5

PtsReb-1130

Hit Rate30%

EV-7%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

50%

Over 9.5

PtsRebAst-4780

Hit Rate70%

EV-6%

83%

75%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

75%

Over 14.5

PtsRebAst-1080

Hit Rate30%

EV-13%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

45%

Over 19.5

PtsRebAst+3180

Hit Rate20%

EV-18%

33%

25%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

25%

Over 8.5

REB+5030

Hit Rate0%

EV-18%

L10

L15

L20

Over 7.5

REB+2990

Hit Rate0%

EV-18%

L10

L15

L20

10%

Over 6.5

REB+1780

Hit Rate0%

EV-16%

L10

L15

L20

20%

Over 4.5

REB-1780

Hit Rate40%

EV-10%

67%

50%

L10

40%

L15

27%

L20

40%

Over 3.5

REB-3510

Hit Rate60%

EV-7%

67%

63%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

60%

Over 2.5

REB-8300

Hit Rate70%

EV-4%

83%

75%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

75%

Under 5.5

REB-1370

Pinnacle no-vig 50.4% vs DraftKings implied 57.8% at -137 → -12.8% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate90%

EV-13%

83%

88%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

75%

Over 5.5

REB+104MODEL

Pinnacle no-vig 49.6% vs DraftKings implied 49.0% at +104 → +1.2% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate10%

EV+1%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

L20

25%

Over 1.5

StlBlk-1200

Hit Rate20%

EV-12%

17%

13%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

45%

Over 2.5

StlBlk+2350

Hit Rate20%

EV-17%

17%

13%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

35%

Over 3.5

StlBlk+5500

Hit Rate10%

EV-19%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

L20

20%

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 5.5 Points

12/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 9.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

15/20 hit

O 9.5 Pts+Reb

12/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 9.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

15/20 hit

O 0.5 Blocks

13/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 9.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

15/20 hit

O 5.5 Points

12/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 9.5 Pts+Reb

12/20 hit

O 0.5 Blocks

13/20 hit

50%

both hit

O 9.5 Pts+Reb

12/20 hit

O 0.5 Blocks

13/20 hit

45%

both hit

O 5.5 Points

12/20 hit

O 9.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

15/20 hit

25%

both hit

O 5.5 Rebounds

5/20 hit

O 0.5 Blocks

13/20 hit

20%

both hit

O 5.5 Rebounds

5/20 hit

O 0.5 Blocks

13/20 hit

20%

both hit

O 3.5 StlBlk

4/20 hit

O 5.5 Points

12/20 hit

20%

both hit

O 5.5 Rebounds

5/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

vs LAL History

9.2Avg PTS

4.2Avg REB

0.8Avg AST

Date	W/L	PTS	REB	AST	MIN
May 11	L	18	5	1	27
May 9	L	1	2	0	9
May 7	L	6	3	2	15
May 5	L	3	6	1	16
May 1	W	5	4	1	17

Recent Game Log

Date	Matchup	W/L	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	3PM	TOV	FG
Oct 23	UTA vs. NOP	W	26	17	5	2	0	1	0	0	7/8
Oct 21	UTA @ MEM	L	26	5	5	3	2	6	0	1	2/3
May 11	LAL vs. OKC	L	27	18	5	1	0	1	0	1	6/8
May 9	LAL vs. OKC	L	9	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0/0
May 7	LAL @ OKC	L	15	6	3	2	1	0	0	2	3/3
May 5	LAL @ OKC	L	16	3	6	1	0	0	0	3	1/3
May 1	LAL @ HOU	W	17	5	4	1	0	1	0	1	1/1
Apr 29	LAL vs. HOU	L	10	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0/0
Apr 26	LAL @ HOU	L	15	2	2	0	0	1	0	0	1/2
Apr 24	LAL @ HOU	W	20	12	4	0	1	2	0	1	5/8
Apr 21	LAL vs. HOU	W	21	6	4	1	1	2	0	0	1/2
Apr 18	LAL vs. HOU	W	13	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	1/1
Apr 5	LAL @ DAL	L	27	23	4	2	0	0	0	3	8/10
Apr 2	LAL @ OKC	L	21	12	1	1	0	0	0	1	3/3
Mar 31	LAL vs. CLE	W	19	4	3	1	2	0	0	0	2/4
Mar 30	LAL vs. WAS	W	20	19	7	0	0	2	1	0	8/8
Mar 27	LAL vs. BKN	W	26	10	8	1	0	5	0	1	2/3
Mar 25	LAL @ IND	W	36	21	10	1	2	2	0	0	9/11
Mar 23	LAL @ DET	L	21	11	3	1	2	4	0	1	5/5
Mar 21	LAL @ ORL	W	19	8	7	0	0	3	0	0	3/3

Date	Matchup	W/L	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Oct 23	UTA vs. NOP	W	17	5	2	0
Oct 21	UTA @ MEM	L	5	5	3	0
May 11	LAL vs. OKC	L	18	5	1	0
May 9	LAL vs. OKC	L	1	2	0	0
May 7	LAL @ OKC	L	6	3	2	0
May 5	LAL @ OKC	L	3	6	1	0
May 1	LAL @ HOU	W	5	4	1	0
Apr 29	LAL vs. HOU	L	0	1	1	0
Apr 26	LAL @ HOU	L	2	2	0	0
Apr 24	LAL @ HOU	W	12	4	0	0
Apr 21	LAL vs. HOU	W	6	4	1	0
Apr 18	LAL vs. HOU	W	4	1	0	0
Apr 5	LAL @ DAL	L	23	4	2	0
Apr 2	LAL @ OKC	L	12	1	1	0
Mar 31	LAL vs. CLE	W	4	3	1	0
Mar 30	LAL vs. WAS	W	19	7	0	1
Mar 27	LAL vs. BKN	W	10	8	1	0
Mar 25	LAL @ IND	W	21	10	1	0
Mar 23	LAL @ DET	L	11	3	1	0
Mar 21	LAL @ ORL	W	8	7	0	0