Anthony Edwards

Anthony Edwards

MINTimberwolves·Guard·#5

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Anthony Edwards is in peak form, averaging 28.0 points over his last 5 games — a sharp uptick from his 22.4 L10 average. His playing time has been volatile (31 MPG, ±8.1), adding uncertainty to all props. 3-Pointers is his strongest prop category tonight (90.0% L10 on Under 3.5).

Today’s Props

Over 5.5

3PM+4310
Hit Rate10%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

7%

L20

5%

Over 4.5

3PM+2090
Hit Rate10%
EV-16%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

7%

L20

10%

Over 3.5

3PM-1020

Pinnacle no-vig 47.9% vs DraftKings implied 50.5% at -102 → -5.2% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate10%
EV-5%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

7%

L20

15%

Under 3.5

3PM-1290

Pinnacle no-vig 52.1% vs DraftKings implied 56.3% at -129 → -7.5% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate90%
EV-7%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

85%

Over 1.5

3PM-7300
Hit Rate70%
EV-4%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

75%

3

Over 2.5

3PM-2430
Hit Rate30%
EV-9%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

40%

Over 3.5

AST+1300

Pinnacle no-vig 41.6% vs DraftKings implied 43.5% at +130 → -4.3% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate20%
EV-4%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

40%

Under 3.5

AST-1710

Pinnacle no-vig 58.4% vs DraftKings implied 63.1% at -171 → -7.4% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate80%
EV-7%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

73%

L20

60%

Over 2.5

AST-1880
Hit Rate50%
EV-10%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

65%

2

Over 4.5

AST+2810
Hit Rate10%
EV-17%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

25%

5

Over 5.5

AST+5920
Hit Rate10%
EV-19%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

10%

5

Under 7.5

AstReb+1120
Hit Rate50%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

55%

2

Over 7.5

AstReb-1480
Hit Rate50%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

45%

2

Over 4.5

AstReb-10000
Hit Rate60%
EV-3%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

73%

L20

80%

2

Over 9.5

AstReb+1850
Hit Rate20%
EV-16%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

30%

Over 11.5

AstReb+4750
Hit Rate20%
EV-18%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Over 0.5

BLK-1490
Hit Rate30%
EV-11%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

50%

Over 1.5

BLK+3130
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

13%

L20

15%

10

Under 27.5

PTS-116MODEL

Pinnacle no-vig 54.6% vs DraftKings implied 53.7% at -116 → +1.6% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate70%
EV+2%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

65%

Over 27.5

PTS-1100

Pinnacle no-vig 45.4% vs DraftKings implied 52.4% at -110 → -13.3% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate30%
EV-13%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

35%

Over 17.5

PTS-8800
Hit Rate60%
EV-4%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

65%

Over 19.5

PTS-5290
Hit Rate50%
EV-5%

L6

83%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

55%

Over 24.5

PTS-1870
Hit Rate30%
EV-10%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

35%

Over 29.5

PTS+1340
Hit Rate30%
EV-15%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

35%

Over 34.5

PTS+3220
Hit Rate20%
EV-18%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

20%

Over 39.5

PtsAst+3980
Hit Rate10%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

7%

L20

15%

Under 30.5

PtsAst-1110
Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

65%

Over 34.5

PtsAst+1750
Hit Rate30%
EV-16%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

30%

Over 30.5

PtsAst-1190
Hit Rate30%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

35%

Over 29.5

PtsAst-1380
Hit Rate30%
EV-12%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

35%

Over 24.5

PtsAst-3600
Hit Rate40%
EV-7%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

50%

Over 24.5

PtsReb-4790
Hit Rate40%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

50%

Over 29.5

PtsReb-1820
Hit Rate30%
EV-10%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

40%

Over 32.5

PtsReb-1090
Hit Rate30%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

35%

Over 34.5

PtsReb+1300
Hit Rate30%
EV-15%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

35%

Over 39.5

PtsReb+2880
Hit Rate30%
EV-17%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Under 32.5

PtsReb-1210
Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

65%

Over 35.5

PtsRebAst-1180
Hit Rate30%
EV-7%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

40%

Under 35.5

PtsRebAst-1120
Hit Rate70%
EV-7%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

60%

Over 44.5

PtsRebAst+3670
Hit Rate20%
EV-18%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

15%

Over 34.5

PtsRebAst-1360
Hit Rate30%
EV-12%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

40%

Over 29.5

PtsRebAst-3210
Hit Rate30%
EV-7%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

45%

Over 24.5

PtsRebAst-9500
Hit Rate50%
EV-3%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

60%

Over 39.5

PtsRebAst+1680
Hit Rate30%
EV-16%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

30%

Over 2.5

REB-7300
Hit Rate80%
EV-4%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

67%

L20

65%

2

Over 6.5

REB+2810
Hit Rate20%
EV-17%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Over 5.5

REB+1510
Hit Rate30%
EV-15%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

35%

Over 3.5

REB-2770
Hit Rate50%
EV-8%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

45%

2

Under 4.5

REB+1020

Pinnacle no-vig 43.3% vs DraftKings implied 49.5% at +102 → -12.5% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%
EV-13%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 4.5

REB-1340

Pinnacle no-vig 56.7% vs DraftKings implied 57.3% at -134 → -1.0% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%
EV-1%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Over 7.5

REB+5150
Hit Rate20%
EV-19%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Under 1.5

STL-2090
Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

75%

3

Over 0.5

STL-2910
Hit Rate40%
EV-8%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

55%

3

Over 2.5

STL+5050
Hit Rate20%
EV-18%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

10%

Over 1.5

STL+1560
Hit Rate30%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

25%

3

Over 1.5

StlBlk-1850
Hit Rate30%
EV-10%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

50%

3

Over 2.5

StlBlk+1600
Hit Rate30%
EV-15%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

35%

3

Over 3.5

StlBlk+4000
Hit Rate10%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

7%

L20

10%

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 19.5 Points

11/20 hit

50%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Ast

10/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

9/20 hit

45%

both hit

O 3.5 Rebounds

9/20 hit

O 2.5 3-Pointers

8/20 hit

40%

both hit

O 19.5 Points

11/20 hit

O 2.5 3-Pointers

8/20 hit

40%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Ast

10/20 hit

O 19.5 Points

11/20 hit

40%

both hit

O 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

9/20 hit

O 24.5 Pts+Ast

10/20 hit

40%

both hit

O 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

9/20 hit

O 2.5 3-Pointers

8/20 hit

35%

both hit

O 32.5 Pts+Reb

7/20 hit

O 2.5 3-Pointers

8/20 hit

35%

both hit

O 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

9/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

9/20 hit

35%

both hit

O 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

9/20 hit

O 19.5 Points

11/20 hit

35%

both hit

O 32.5 Pts+Reb

7/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

Recent Game Log

DateMatchupW/LPTSREBAST3PM
Oct 23MIN @ ORLW15442
Oct 21MIN @ MIAW451039
May 15MIN vs. SASL24222
May 12MIN @ SASL20221
May 10MIN vs. SASW36623
May 8MIN vs. SASL321463
May 6MIN @ SASL12301
May 4MIN @ SASW18332
Apr 25MIN vs. DENW5301
Apr 23MIN vs. DENW17532
Apr 20MIN @ DENW301023
Apr 18MIN @ DENL22972
Apr 10MIN @ HOUW22233
Apr 3MIN @ PHIL8230
Mar 30MIN @ DALW17242
Mar 15MIN @ OKCL19652
Mar 13MIN @ GSWW42854
Mar 11MIN @ LACL36253
Mar 10MIN @ LALL14241
Mar 7MIN vs. ORLL34325

Facts about Anthony Edwards

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