Obi Toppin

Pacers·Forward·#1

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Obi Toppin is in peak form, averaging 17.4 points over his last 5 games — a sharp uptick from his 15.1 L10 average. Pts+Reb is his strongest prop category tonight (90.0% L10 on Over 9.5). Assists presents more risk (10.0% L10).

Today’s Props

Over 1.5

3PM-1370

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

33%

50%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

50%

Under 1.5

3PM+1040

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

67%

50%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

50%

Over 0.5

3PM-6100

Hit Rate70%

EV-5%

67%

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

70%

Over 2.5

3PM+2090

Hit Rate40%

EV-16%

33%

50%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Over 3.5

3PM+5230

Hit Rate20%

EV-19%

33%

25%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

15%

Over 3.5

AST+5960

Hit Rate10%

EV-19%

13%

L10

10%

L15

27%

L20

20%

Over 2.5

AST+2320

Hit Rate40%

EV-17%

17%

25%

L10

40%

L15

53%

L20

45%

Over 1.5

AST-1260

Hit Rate70%

EV-12%

67%

63%

L10

70%

L15

80%

L20

65%

Over 9.5

AstReb+4500

Hit Rate20%

EV-18%

17%

25%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

15%

Over 7.5

AstReb+1800

Hit Rate30%

EV-16%

33%

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

25%

Over 6.5

AstReb+1100

Hit Rate30%

EV-14%

33%

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

30%

Over 4.5

AstReb-3000

Hit Rate80%

EV-8%

67%

75%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

85%

Under 12.5

PTS-1040

Pinnacle no-vig 49.6% vs DraftKings implied 51.0% at -104 → -2.7% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%

EV-3%

17%

25%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

50%

Over 12.5

PTS-1220

Pinnacle no-vig 50.4% vs DraftKings implied 55.0% at -122 → -8.3% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%

EV-8%

83%

75%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

50%

Over 7.5

PTS-5260

Hit Rate80%

EV-5%

83%

88%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

80%

Over 9.5

PTS-2770

Hit Rate80%

EV-8%

83%

88%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

70%

Over 11.5

PTS-1590

Hit Rate70%

EV-11%

83%

75%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

55%

Over 19.5

PTS+4190

Hit Rate40%

EV-18%

50%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

25%

Over 17.5

PTS+2650

Hit Rate40%

EV-17%

50%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

25%

Over 14.5

PTS+1320

Hit Rate40%

EV-15%

50%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

40%

Over 9.5

PtsAst-4700

Hit Rate80%

EV-6%

83%

88%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

80%

Over 14.5

PtsAst-1190

Hit Rate60%

EV-12%

67%

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

55%

Over 19.5

PtsAst+2640

Hit Rate40%

EV-17%

50%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

25%

Over 9.5

PtsReb-9800

Hit Rate90%

EV-3%

100%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

85%

Under 17.5

PtsReb-1170

Hit Rate50%

EV-7%

33%

38%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

55%

Over 24.5

PtsReb+3680

Hit Rate20%

EV-18%

17%

25%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

15%

Over 19.5

PtsReb+1350

Hit Rate40%

EV-15%

50%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

30%

Over 17.5

PtsReb-1130

Hit Rate50%

EV-7%

67%

63%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

45%

Over 14.5

PtsReb-2250

Hit Rate70%

EV-9%

83%

88%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

65%

Over 14.5

PtsRebAst-3360

Hit Rate90%

EV-7%

100%

L10

90%

L15

87%

L20

75%

Over 19.5

PtsRebAst-1080

Hit Rate40%

EV-13%

50%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

40%

Over 24.5

PtsRebAst+2470

Hit Rate30%

EV-17%

33%

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

20%

Over 4.5

REB-1020

Pinnacle no-vig 46.2% vs DraftKings implied 50.5% at -102 → -8.5% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%

EV-8%

50%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

30%

Over 7.5

REB+5930

Hit Rate20%

EV-19%

17%

25%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

15%

Over 6.5

REB+3330

Hit Rate30%

EV-18%

33%

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

20%

Over 5.5

REB+1840

Hit Rate30%

EV-16%

33%

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

20%

Over 3.5

REB-2100

Hit Rate50%

EV-9%

50%

63%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

55%

Over 2.5

REB-4940

Hit Rate80%

EV-5%

83%

88%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

80%

Under 4.5

REB-1290

Pinnacle no-vig 53.8% vs DraftKings implied 56.3% at -129 → -4.5% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%

EV-4%

50%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

70%

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 4.5 Ast+Reb

17/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

16/20 hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

16/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

15/20 hit

O 4.5 Ast+Reb

17/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

15/20 hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

16/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb

13/20 hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb

13/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

15/20 hit

O 4.5 Ast+Reb

17/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb

13/20 hit

O 4.5 Ast+Reb

17/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 3.5 Rebounds

11/20 hit

O 1.5 3-Pointers

10/20 hit

50%

both hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

16/20 hit

O 12.5 Points

10/20 hit

50%

both hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

16/20 hit

O 12.5 Points

10/20 hit

50%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb

13/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

vs BKN History

26.0Avg PTS

9.0Avg REB

3.0Avg AST

Date	W/L	PTS	REB	AST	MIN
Apr 9	W	26	9	3	19

Recent Game Log

Date	Matchup	W/L	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	3PM	TOV	FG
Oct 23	IND vs. DAL	L	25	13	5	1	0	1	0	1	5/10
Oct 21	IND @ NOP	W	25	20	3	1	2	0	4	0	7/12
Apr 12	IND vs. DET	L	18	21	2	2	0	0	7	2	7/12
Apr 10	IND vs. PHI	L	19	7	7	2	0	0	1	2	3/8
Apr 9	IND @ BKN	W	19	26	9	3	0	0	0	0	11/14
Apr 7	IND vs. MIN	L	22	14	3	2	1	0	1	2	4/13
Apr 5	IND @ CLE	L	23	21	8	4	1	0	3	1	4/10
Apr 3	IND @ CHA	L	20	11	4	1	0	0	3	1	4/9
Apr 1	IND @ CHI	W	11	6	3	3	1	0	0	0	3/6
Mar 29	IND vs. MIA	W	15	12	2	3	0	0	1	0	5/8
Mar 27	IND vs. LAC	L	23	20	8	4	0	0	4	1	8/11
Mar 25	IND vs. LAL	L	20	15	3	2	3	0	1	3	7/10
Mar 23	IND @ ORL	W	17	8	2	4	0	1	2	1	3/5
Mar 21	IND @ SAS	L	19	11	4	4	0	0	0	4	5/10
Mar 17	IND @ NYK	L	18	15	3	3	0	0	3	1	6/8
Mar 15	IND @ MIL	L	16	11	4	3	0	0	3	2	3/7
Mar 13	IND vs. NYK	L	16	9	4	1	0	0	3	1	3/6
Mar 10	IND @ SAC	L	15	17	5	1	0	0	2	0	4/9
Mar 8	IND @ POR	L	11	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	2/5
Mar 6	IND @ LAL	L	11	2	4	1	0	0	0	0	1/4

Date	Matchup	W/L	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Oct 23	IND vs. DAL	L	13	5	1	0
Oct 21	IND @ NOP	W	20	3	1	4
Apr 12	IND vs. DET	L	21	2	2	7
Apr 10	IND vs. PHI	L	7	7	2	1
Apr 9	IND @ BKN	W	26	9	3	0
Apr 7	IND vs. MIN	L	14	3	2	1
Apr 5	IND @ CLE	L	21	8	4	3
Apr 3	IND @ CHA	L	11	4	1	3
Apr 1	IND @ CHI	W	6	3	3	0
Mar 29	IND vs. MIA	W	12	2	3	1
Mar 27	IND vs. LAC	L	20	8	4	4
Mar 25	IND vs. LAL	L	15	3	2	1
Mar 23	IND @ ORL	W	8	2	4	2
Mar 21	IND @ SAS	L	11	4	4	0
Mar 17	IND @ NYK	L	15	3	3	3
Mar 15	IND @ MIL	L	11	4	3	3
Mar 13	IND vs. NYK	L	9	4	1	3
Mar 10	IND @ SAC	L	17	5	1	2
Mar 8	IND @ POR	L	4	2	0	0
Mar 6	IND @ LAL	L	2	4	1	0