Jaden McDaniels

Timberwolves·Forward·#3

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Jaden McDaniels has been steady, averaging 15.2 points over his last 5 games (16.6 L10). His playing time has been volatile (32 MPG, ±8.1), adding uncertainty to all props. Points is his strongest prop category tonight (100.0% L10 on Over 7.5).

Today’s Props

Over 1.5

3PM+1240

Pinnacle no-vig 42.5% vs DraftKings implied 44.6% at +124 → -4.7% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%

EV-5%

67%

50%

L10

40%

L15

27%

L20

35%

Under 1.5

3PM-1630

Pinnacle no-vig 57.5% vs DraftKings implied 62.0% at -163 → -7.3% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%

EV-7%

33%

50%

L10

60%

L15

73%

L20

65%

Over 0.5

3PM-3540

Hit Rate60%

EV-7%

83%

63%

L10

60%

L15

47%

L20

55%

Over 2.5

3PM+3660

Hit Rate20%

EV-18%

33%

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

25%

Over 3.5

AST+2940

Hit Rate10%

EV-17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

L20

Under 2.5

AST-1620

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

67%

63%

L10

60%

L15

47%

L20

45%

Over 2.5

AST+1230

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

33%

38%

L10

40%

L15

53%

L20

55%

Over 9.5

AstReb+2900

Hit Rate10%

EV-17%

L10

10%

L15

27%

L20

20%

Over 4.5

AstReb-5000

Hit Rate80%

EV-5%

83%

88%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

80%

Under 7.5

AstReb-1460

Hit Rate50%

EV-6%

33%

50%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

45%

Over 7.5

AstReb+1110

Hit Rate50%

EV-6%

67%

50%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

55%

Over 1.5

BLK+2920

Hit Rate10%

EV-17%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

15%

Under 0.5

BLK+1190

Hit Rate30%

EV-7%

50%

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

35%

Over 0.5

BLK-1590

Hit Rate70%

EV-7%

50%

63%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

65%

Under 14.5

PTS-1260

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

33%

38%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

30%

Over 14.5

PTS-1010

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

67%

63%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

70%

Over 7.5

PTS-7300

Hit Rate100%

EV-4%

100%

L10

100%

L15

100%

L20

100%

Over 9.5

PTS-3790

Hit Rate100%

EV-7%

100%

L10

100%

L15

100%

L20

100%

Over 11.5

PTS-2180

Hit Rate100%

EV-9%

100%

L10

100%

L15

100%

L20

100%

Over 17.5

PTS+1970

Hit Rate10%

EV-16%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

25%

Over 19.5

PTS+3000

Hit Rate10%

EV-18%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

15%

Over 19.5

PtsAst+1690

Hit Rate10%

EV-16%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

30%

Under 16.5

PtsAst-1110

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

33%

38%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

25%

Over 24.5

PtsAst+4900

Hit Rate10%

EV-18%

L10

10%

L15

L20

10%

Over 16.5

PtsAst-1180

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

67%

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

75%

Over 14.5

PtsAst-1850

Hit Rate80%

EV-10%

83%

88%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

90%

Over 9.5

PtsAst-7700

Hit Rate100%

EV-4%

100%

L10

100%

L15

100%

L20

100%

Over 14.5

PtsReb-3280

Hit Rate90%

EV-7%

83%

88%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

95%

Over 19.5

PtsReb-1040

Hit Rate70%

EV-6%

83%

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

75%

Over 24.5

PtsReb+2600

Hit Rate20%

EV-17%

17%

13%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

25%

Under 19.5

PtsReb-1270

Hit Rate30%

EV-6%

17%

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Over 29.5

PtsRebAst+4110

Hit Rate10%

EV-18%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

10%

Under 21.5

PtsRebAst-1130

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

33%

38%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

25%

Over 24.5

PtsRebAst+1580

Hit Rate40%

EV-15%

50%

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

50%

Over 21.5

PtsRebAst-1160

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

67%

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

75%

Over 19.5

PtsRebAst-1720

Hit Rate70%

EV-11%

83%

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

80%

Over 14.5

PtsRebAst-5630

Hit Rate100%

EV-5%

100%

L10

100%

L15

100%

L20

100%

Over 6.5

REB+2660

Hit Rate30%

EV-17%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

47%

L20

35%

Over 5.5

REB+1480

Hit Rate60%

EV-15%

83%

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

60%

Over 7.5

REB+4960

Hit Rate20%

EV-18%

17%

13%

L10

20%

L15

33%

L20

25%

Over 3.5

REB-2560

Hit Rate70%

EV-8%

83%

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

65%

Over 2.5

REB-6100

Hit Rate90%

EV-5%

83%

88%

L10

90%

L15

87%

L20

75%

Under 4.5

REB-1050

Pinnacle no-vig 48.8% vs DraftKings implied 51.2% at -105 → -4.8% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate30%

EV-5%

17%

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

35%

Over 4.5

REB-1250

Pinnacle no-vig 51.2% vs DraftKings implied 55.6% at -125 → -7.8% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate70%

EV-8%

83%

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

65%

Under 0.5

STL+1770

Hit Rate50%

EV-6%

50%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

50%

Over 1.5

STL+1820

Hit Rate20%

EV-16%

17%

13%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

20%

Over 2.5

STL+5770

Hit Rate10%

EV-19%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

L20

10%

Over 0.5

STL-2400

Hit Rate50%

EV-6%

50%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

50%

Over 1.5

StlBlk-1700

Hit Rate50%

EV-6%

50%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

50%

Under 1.5

StlBlk+1280

Hit Rate50%

EV-6%

50%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

50%

Over 2.5

StlBlk+1650

Hit Rate20%

EV-16%

17%

13%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

25%

Over 3.5

StlBlk+4000

Hit Rate0%

EV-18%

L10

L15

L20

15%

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 11.5 Points

20/20 hit

95%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb

19/20 hit

O 11.5 Points

20/20 hit

75%

both hit

O 16.5 Pts+Ast

15/20 hit

O 11.5 Points

20/20 hit

75%

both hit

O 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

15/20 hit

O 16.5 Pts+Ast

15/20 hit

75%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb

19/20 hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb

19/20 hit

75%

both hit

O 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

15/20 hit

O 16.5 Pts+Ast

15/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 21.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

15/20 hit

O 0.5 Blocks

13/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 11.5 Points

20/20 hit

O 11.5 Points

20/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 3.5 Rebounds

13/20 hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb

19/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 3.5 Rebounds

13/20 hit

O 0.5 Blocks

13/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb

19/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

Recent Game Log

Date	Matchup	W/L	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	3PM	TOV	FG
Oct 23	MIN @ ORL	W	30	15	6	3	0	2	2	0	6/14
Oct 21	MIN @ MIA	W	29	17	8	1	3	0	1	2	8/11
May 15	MIN vs. SAS	L	23	13	1	3	0	1	2	0	4/13
May 12	MIN @ SAS	L	30	17	6	2	1	0	3	2	6/13
May 10	MIN vs. SAS	W	41	14	6	0	0	0	0	1	6/15
May 8	MIN vs. SAS	L	40	17	7	2	1	1	3	1	5/22
May 6	MIN @ SAS	L	20	12	3	4	0	1	0	2	6/10
May 4	MIN @ SAS	W	36	16	5	2	1	1	0	1	7/14
Apr 30	MIN vs. DEN	W	45	32	10	3	2	1	1	0	13/25
Apr 27	MIN @ DEN	L	27	13	3	1	0	1	0	4	5/11
Apr 25	MIN vs. DEN	W	33	12	8	3	0	1	0	2	4/11
Apr 23	MIN vs. DEN	W	41	20	10	3	1	1	1	0	9/13
Apr 20	MIN @ DEN	W	37	14	2	3	0	0	0	3	7/15
Apr 18	MIN @ DEN	L	33	16	8	3	0	0	0	1	6/14
Apr 10	MIN @ HOU	W	35	16	7	2	0	4	0	0	8/19
Apr 8	MIN @ ORL	L	19	18	2	2	1	0	1	2	8/16
Mar 25	MIN vs. HOU	W	37	25	2	0	2	2	3	1	10/17
Mar 22	MIN @ BOS	W	33	19	6	3	0	0	3	2	8/18
Mar 20	MIN vs. POR	L	40	16	6	3	5	1	0	1	6/11
Mar 18	MIN vs. UTA	W	26	17	2	3	1	1	3	1	7/15

Date	Matchup	W/L	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Oct 23	MIN @ ORL	W	15	6	3	2
Oct 21	MIN @ MIA	W	17	8	1	1
May 15	MIN vs. SAS	L	13	1	3	2
May 12	MIN @ SAS	L	17	6	2	3
May 10	MIN vs. SAS	W	14	6	0	0
May 8	MIN vs. SAS	L	17	7	2	3
May 6	MIN @ SAS	L	12	3	4	0
May 4	MIN @ SAS	W	16	5	2	0
Apr 30	MIN vs. DEN	W	32	10	3	1
Apr 27	MIN @ DEN	L	13	3	1	0
Apr 25	MIN vs. DEN	W	12	8	3	0
Apr 23	MIN vs. DEN	W	20	10	3	1
Apr 20	MIN @ DEN	W	14	2	3	0
Apr 18	MIN @ DEN	L	16	8	3	0
Apr 10	MIN @ HOU	W	16	7	2	0
Apr 8	MIN @ ORL	L	18	2	2	1
Mar 25	MIN vs. HOU	W	25	2	0	3
Mar 22	MIN @ BOS	W	19	6	3	3
Mar 20	MIN vs. POR	L	16	6	3	0
Mar 18	MIN vs. UTA	W	17	2	3	3