Paul Reed
Pistons·Forward·#7Player Intel
Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Paul Reed is in peak form, averaging 11.2 points over his last 5 games — a sharp uptick from his 9.2 L10 average. His playing time has been volatile (13 MPG, ±6.7), adding uncertainty to all props. Ast+Reb is his strongest prop category tonight (90.0% L10 on Under 12.5).
Today’s Props
Over 14.5
PTS-1320Pinnacle no-vig 53.5% vs DraftKings implied 56.9% at -132 → -6.0% expected value on the price.
L6
50%
L8
38%
L10
40%
L15
27%
L20
25%
Over 9.5
REB-1390Pinnacle no-vig 51.3% vs DraftKings implied 58.2% at -139 → -11.8% expected value on the price.
L6
17%
L8
13%
L10
10%
L15
7%
L20
10%
Prop Correlations
How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays
O 11.5 Points
6/20 hit
30%
both hit
O 14.5 Pts+Ast
7/20 hit
O 0.5 Blocks
11/20 hit
25%
both hit
O 14.5 Pts+Ast
7/20 hit
O 2.5 Assists
4/20 hit
20%
both hit
O 14.5 Pts+Ast
7/20 hit
O 0.5 Blocks
11/20 hit
20%
both hit
O 11.5 Points
6/20 hit
O 11.5 Points
6/20 hit
20%
both hit
O 19.5 Pts+Reb
4/20 hit
O 14.5 Pts+Ast
7/20 hit
20%
both hit
O 19.5 Pts+Reb
4/20 hit
O 2.5 Assists
4/20 hit
15%
both hit
O 0.5 Blocks
11/20 hit
O 2.5 Assists
4/20 hit
15%
both hit
O 11.5 Points
6/20 hit
O 0.5 Blocks
11/20 hit
15%
both hit
O 19.5 Pts+Reb
4/20 hit
O 2.5 Assists
4/20 hit
10%
both hit
O 19.5 Pts+Reb
4/20 hit
Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.
vs PHI History
| Date | W/L | PTS | REB | AST | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4 | W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 18 |
Recent Game Log
| Date | Matchup | W/L | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | 3PM | TOV | FG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | DET @ MIA | W | 26 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8/11 |
| Oct 20 | DET vs. BOS | W | 17 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2/3 |
| May 17 | DET vs. CLE | L | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2/5 |
| May 15 | DET @ CLE | W | 16 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7/9 |
| May 13 | DET vs. CLE | L | 17 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4/7 |
| May 11 | DET @ CLE | L | 14 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7/9 |
| May 9 | DET @ CLE | L | 10 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4/4 |
| May 3 | DET vs. ORL | W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 |
| May 1 | DET @ ORL | W | 11 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Apr 25 | DET @ ORL | L | 7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2/3 |
| Apr 22 | DET vs. ORL | W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 |
| Apr 12 | DET @ IND | W | 22 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11/11 |
| Apr 10 | DET @ CHA | W | 10 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Apr 8 | DET vs. MIL | W | 10 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4/4 |
| Apr 6 | DET @ ORL | L | 19 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4/7 |
| Apr 4 | DET @ PHI | W | 18 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4/5 |
| Apr 2 | DET vs. MIN | W | 16 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Mar 31 | DET vs. TOR | W | 13 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5/6 |
| Mar 30 | DET @ OKC | L | 34 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7/13 |
| Mar 28 | DET @ MIN | W | 17 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4/7 |
| Date | Matchup | W/L | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | DET @ MIA | W | 19 | 11 | 3 | 2 |
| Oct 20 | DET vs. BOS | W | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| May 17 | DET vs. CLE | L | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| May 15 | DET @ CLE | W | 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| May 13 | DET vs. CLE | L | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| May 11 | DET @ CLE | L | 15 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| May 9 | DET @ CLE | L | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| May 3 | DET vs. ORL | W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 1 | DET @ ORL | W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 25 | DET @ ORL | L | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 22 | DET vs. ORL | W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 12 | DET @ IND | W | 26 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| Apr 10 | DET @ CHA | W | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 8 | DET vs. MIL | W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Apr 6 | DET @ ORL | L | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| Apr 4 | DET @ PHI | W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 2 | DET vs. MIN | W | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Mar 31 | DET vs. TOR | W | 10 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Mar 30 | DET @ OKC | L | 21 | 10 | 2 | 1 |
| Mar 28 | DET @ MIN | W | 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 |