Desmond Bane

Desmond Bane

ORLMagic·Guard·#3

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Desmond Bane has been steady, averaging 14.8 points over his last 5 games (16.3 L10). Steals is his strongest prop category tonight (100.0% L10 on Over 0.5). Assists presents more risk (0.0% L10).

Today’s Props

Over 2.5

3PM+1110

Pinnacle no-vig 45.0% vs DraftKings implied 47.4% at +111 → -5.1% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%
EV-5%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

50%

Under 2.5

3PM-1460

Pinnacle no-vig 55.0% vs DraftKings implied 59.3% at -146 → -7.3% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%
EV-7%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

50%

Over 1.5

3PM-2530
Hit Rate70%
EV-9%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

70%

Over 3.5

3PM+2750
Hit Rate30%
EV-17%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

25%

4

Over 5.5

AST+4420
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

7%

L20

5%

13

Over 4.5

AST+2160
Hit Rate10%
EV-17%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

20%

8

Over 2.5

AST-2340
Hit Rate20%
EV-9%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

20%

L15

33%

L20

40%

2

Under 3.5

AST-1310
Hit Rate90%
EV-7%

L6

100%

L8

100%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

70%

8

Over 3.5

AST-1010
Hit Rate10%
EV-7%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

10%

L15

20%

L20

30%

8

Over 11.5

AstReb+4750
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

5%

16

Over 9.5

AstReb+1900
Hit Rate10%
EV-16%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

25%

8

Over 4.5

AstReb-8000
Hit Rate80%
EV-4%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

73%

L20

75%

Under 7.5

AstReb+1010
Hit Rate90%
EV-6%

L6

100%

L8

100%

L10

90%

L15

87%

L20

75%

8

Over 7.5

AstReb-1330
Hit Rate10%
EV-6%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

25%

8

Over 0.5

BLK+1800
Hit Rate20%
EV-16%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

33%

L20

35%

2

Under 18.5

PTS-1030
Hit Rate80%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

73%

L20

65%

5

Over 18.5

PTS-1240
Hit Rate20%
EV-6%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

35%

5

Over 11.5

PTS-6900
Hit Rate90%
EV-4%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

85%

Over 14.5

PTS-3070
Hit Rate70%
EV-8%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

70%

Over 17.5

PTS-1540
Hit Rate40%
EV-11%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

50%

Over 24.5

PTS+2740
Hit Rate10%
EV-17%

L6

0%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

20%

L20

25%

6

Over 19.5

PTS-1010

Pinnacle no-vig 47.9% vs DraftKings implied 50.2% at -101 → -4.7% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate20%
EV-5%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

35%

5

Over 29.5

PtsAst+3260
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

7%

L20

15%

10

Under 22.5

PtsAst-1130
Hit Rate80%
EV-7%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

67%

L20

60%

5

Over 24.5

PtsAst+1260
Hit Rate10%
EV-14%

L6

0%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

20%

L20

30%

6

Over 22.5

PtsAst-1170
Hit Rate20%
EV-7%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

33%

L20

40%

5

Over 19.5

PtsAst-2190
Hit Rate40%
EV-9%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

50%

Over 14.5

PtsAst-7500
Hit Rate70%
EV-4%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

75%

Over 14.5

PtsReb-8800
Hit Rate90%
EV-4%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

85%

Over 19.5

PtsReb-2550
Hit Rate70%
EV-8%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

70%

Over 23.5

PtsReb-1150
Hit Rate20%
EV-6%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

35%

5

Over 24.5

PtsReb+1040
Hit Rate20%
EV-14%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

35%

5

Over 29.5

PtsReb+2670
Hit Rate10%
EV-17%

L6

0%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

20%

6

Under 23.5

PtsReb-1140
Hit Rate80%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

73%

L20

65%

5

Over 27.5

PtsRebAst-1070

Pinnacle no-vig 49.8% vs DraftKings implied 51.7% at -107 → -3.7% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate30%
EV-4%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

45%

5

Under 27.5

PtsRebAst-1230

Pinnacle no-vig 50.2% vs DraftKings implied 55.2% at -123 → -9.0% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate70%
EV-9%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

55%

5

Over 34.5

PtsRebAst+3170
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

7%

L20

15%

10

Over 29.5

PtsRebAst+1320
Hit Rate10%
EV-15%

L6

0%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

25%

6

Over 24.5

PtsRebAst-1890
Hit Rate40%
EV-10%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

50%

Over 19.5

PtsRebAst-5450
Hit Rate80%
EV-5%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

73%

L20

75%

Over 6.5

REB+3570
Hit Rate20%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

13%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

15%

6

Over 4.5

REB+1030

Pinnacle no-vig 41.0% vs DraftKings implied 49.3% at +103 → -16.8% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%
EV-17%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

60%

L15

40%

L20

45%

Under 4.5

REB-135MODEL

Pinnacle no-vig 59.0% vs DraftKings implied 57.4% at -135 → +2.7% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%
EV+3%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

40%

L15

60%

L20

55%

Over 2.5

REB-4710
Hit Rate90%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

80%

Over 3.5

REB-2000
Hit Rate70%
EV-10%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

53%

L20

55%

Over 5.5

REB+1920
Hit Rate30%
EV-16%

L6

0%

L8

13%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

30%

6

Over 1.5

STL+1530
Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

50%

Under 1.5

STL-2050
Hit Rate30%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

50%

Over 0.5

STL-2890
Hit Rate100%
EV-8%

L6

100%

L8

100%

L10

100%

L15

93%

L20

85%

10

Over 2.5

STL+4910
Hit Rate20%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

15%

4

Over 1.5

StlBlk-1100
Hit Rate70%
EV-13%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

65%

Over 2.5

StlBlk+2700
Hit Rate40%
EV-17%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

30%

2

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 14.5 Points

14/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

15/20 hit

O 19.5 Pts+Reb

14/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

15/20 hit

O 14.5 Points

14/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 19.5 Pts+Reb

14/20 hit

O 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

15/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 0.5 Steals

17/20 hit

O 1.5 3-Pointers

14/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 14.5 Points

14/20 hit

O 1.5 3-Pointers

14/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

15/20 hit

O 14.5 Points

14/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 0.5 Steals

17/20 hit

O 19.5 Pts+Reb

14/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 0.5 Steals

17/20 hit

O 1.5 3-Pointers

14/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 19.5 Pts+Reb

14/20 hit

O 1.5 3-Pointers

14/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 0.5 Steals

17/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

Recent Game Log

DateMatchupW/LPTSREBAST3PM
Oct 23ORL vs. MINL5201
Oct 21ORL vs. ATLL18523
May 3ORL @ DETL16333
May 1ORL vs. DETL17313
Apr 29ORL @ DETL18514
Apr 27ORL vs. DETW22515
Apr 25ORL vs. DETW25707
Apr 22ORL @ DETL12422
Apr 19ORL @ DETW17651
Apr 17ORL vs. CHAW13700
Apr 15ORL @ PHIL34334
Apr 12ORL @ BOSL8211
Apr 10ORL @ CHIW2140
Apr 8ORL vs. MINW18461
Apr 6ORL vs. DETW25314
Apr 5ORL @ NOPW27643
Apr 3ORL @ DALW27753
Apr 1ORL vs. ATLL14222
Mar 31ORL vs. PHXW21652
Mar 29ORL @ TORL17322

Facts about Desmond Bane

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