Ayo Dosunmu

Timberwolves·Guard·#13

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Ayo Dosunmu has cooled off, averaging 13.2 points over his last 5 games, down from a 16.3 L10 average. His playing time has been volatile (30 MPG, ±8.6), adding uncertainty to all props. Ast+Reb is his strongest prop category tonight (90.0% L10 on Over 4.5).

Today’s Props

Over 1.5

3PM+1370

Pinnacle no-vig 39.5% vs DraftKings implied 42.2% at +137 → -6.4% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate30%

EV-6%

17%

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

40%

Under 1.5

3PM-1820

Pinnacle no-vig 60.5% vs DraftKings implied 64.5% at -182 → -6.2% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate70%

EV-6%

83%

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

60%

Over 0.5

3PM-3240

Hit Rate70%

EV-7%

83%

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

80%

Over 2.5

3PM+4140

Hit Rate30%

EV-18%

17%

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

30%

Over 5.5

AST+3370

Hit Rate30%

EV-18%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

30%

Over 4.5

AST+1730

Hit Rate40%

EV-16%

50%

38%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

40%

Over 2.5

AST-2570

Hit Rate80%

EV-8%

100%

88%

L10

80%

L15

67%

L20

75%

Under 3.5

AST-1150

Hit Rate40%

EV-7%

33%

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

40%

Over 3.5

AST-1150

Hit Rate60%

EV-7%

67%

63%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

60%

Over 9.5

AstReb+2700

Hit Rate50%

EV-17%

67%

50%

L10

50%

L15

33%

L20

40%

Over 4.5

AstReb-5750

Hit Rate90%

EV-5%

100%

88%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

85%

Under 7.5

AstReb-1380

Hit Rate30%

EV-6%

25%

L10

30%

L15

47%

L20

35%

Over 7.5

AstReb+1050

Hit Rate70%

EV-6%

100%

75%

L10

70%

L15

53%

L20

65%

Over 12.5

PTS-1040

Pinnacle no-vig 45.5% vs DraftKings implied 51.0% at -104 → -10.7% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%

EV-11%

50%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

70%

Under 12.5

PTS-1230

Pinnacle no-vig 54.5% vs DraftKings implied 55.2% at -123 → -1.3% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%

EV-1%

50%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

30%

Over 7.5

PTS-4800

Hit Rate90%

EV-6%

100%

88%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

95%

Over 19.5

PTS+5530

Hit Rate20%

EV-19%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

15%

Over 17.5

PTS+3390

Hit Rate30%

EV-18%

13%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

35%

Over 14.5

PTS+1620

Hit Rate50%

EV-15%

33%

38%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

60%

Over 11.5

PTS-1370

Hit Rate60%

EV-12%

50%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

75%

Over 9.5

PTS-2460

Hit Rate90%

EV-9%

100%

88%

L10

90%

L15

87%

L20

90%

Over 9.5

PtsAst-8400

Hit Rate90%

EV-4%

100%

88%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

95%

Over 14.5

PtsAst-1700

Hit Rate80%

EV-11%

83%

75%

L10

80%

L15

73%

L20

80%

Over 16.5

PtsAst-1030

Hit Rate70%

EV-6%

67%

63%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

70%

Over 19.5

PtsAst+2000

Hit Rate50%

EV-16%

33%

38%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

55%

Under 16.5

PtsAst-1280

Hit Rate30%

EV-6%

33%

38%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

30%

Over 14.5

PtsReb-1630

Hit Rate80%

EV-11%

83%

75%

L10

80%

L15

73%

L20

80%

Under 15.5

PtsReb-1060

Hit Rate30%

EV-6%

33%

38%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

30%

Over 19.5

PtsReb+2050

Hit Rate60%

EV-16%

50%

L10

60%

L15

47%

L20

60%

Over 15.5

PtsReb-1240

Hit Rate70%

EV-6%

67%

63%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

70%

Over 9.5

PtsReb-7600

Hit Rate90%

EV-4%

100%

88%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

95%

Over 14.5

PtsRebAst-4270

Hit Rate90%

EV-6%

100%

88%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

95%

Over 19.5

PtsRebAst-1170

Hit Rate80%

EV-6%

83%

75%

L10

80%

L15

60%

L20

70%

Over 24.5

PtsRebAst+2450

Hit Rate50%

EV-17%

33%

38%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

55%

Under 19.5

PtsRebAst-1120

Hit Rate20%

EV-6%

17%

25%

L10

20%

L15

40%

L20

30%

Under 3.5

REB-1210

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

17%

38%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

30%

Over 3.5

REB-1090

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

83%

63%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

70%

Over 5.5

REB+3910

Hit Rate30%

EV-18%

50%

38%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

30%

Over 4.5

REB+1930

Hit Rate50%

EV-16%

83%

63%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

55%

Over 2.5

REB-2650

Hit Rate80%

EV-8%

83%

75%

L10

80%

L15

73%

L20

80%

Over 0.5

STL-1540

Hit Rate60%

EV-11%

67%

75%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

60%

Over 1.5

STL+3020

Hit Rate20%

EV-18%

33%

25%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

25%

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 0.5 3-Pointers

16/20 hit

75%

both hit

O 9.5 Points

18/20 hit

O 9.5 Points

18/20 hit

75%

both hit

O 2.5 Rebounds

16/20 hit

O 0.5 3-Pointers

16/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 2.5 Rebounds

16/20 hit

O 2.5 Assists

15/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 9.5 Points

18/20 hit

O 9.5 Points

18/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 16.5 Pts+Ast

14/20 hit

O 9.5 Points

18/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 15.5 Pts+Reb

14/20 hit

O 9.5 Points

18/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

14/20 hit

O 15.5 Pts+Reb

14/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 2.5 Rebounds

16/20 hit

O 0.5 3-Pointers

16/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 2.5 Assists

15/20 hit

O 2.5 Assists

15/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

13/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

Recent Game Log

Date	Matchup	W/L	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	3PM	TOV	FG
Oct 23	MIN @ ORL	W	27	14	7	10	1	1	1	0	6/11
Oct 21	MIN @ MIA	W	29	16	5	3	0	0	1	1	6/13
May 15	MIN vs. SAS	L	23	10	1	9	0	0	0	0	4/8
May 12	MIN @ SAS	L	33	16	9	4	3	2	1	2	7/14
May 10	MIN vs. SAS	W	30	10	5	3	2	0	1	2	3/12
May 8	MIN vs. SAS	L	32	11	7	5	1	0	3	4	4/12
May 6	MIN @ SAS	L	10	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0/4
Apr 27	MIN @ DEN	L	38	18	3	4	1	0	3	2	7/14
Apr 25	MIN vs. DEN	W	42	43	4	1	0	1	5	1	13/17
Apr 23	MIN vs. DEN	W	32	25	3	9	0	0	0	2	10/15
Apr 20	MIN @ DEN	W	22	9	4	5	0	0	1	1	4/8
Apr 18	MIN @ DEN	L	28	14	0	1	1	0	3	1	5/10
Apr 10	MIN @ HOU	W	26	15	0	4	0	0	1	1	6/10
Apr 7	MIN @ IND	W	33	24	5	1	3	0	1	5	10/17
Apr 5	MIN vs. CHA	L	34	12	4	2	0	0	0	1	4/9
Apr 3	MIN @ PHI	L	36	19	5	3	1	1	4	1	6/16
Apr 2	MIN @ DET	L	33	19	5	4	2	1	2	4	7/15
Mar 30	MIN @ DAL	W	33	18	15	12	3	0	1	1	8/13
Mar 22	MIN @ BOS	W	32	17	8	6	1	2	2	2	7/13
Mar 20	MIN vs. POR	L	38	17	10	8	0	0	3	2	6/15

Date	Matchup	W/L	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Oct 23	MIN @ ORL	W	14	7	10	1
Oct 21	MIN @ MIA	W	16	5	3	1
May 15	MIN vs. SAS	L	10	1	9	0
May 12	MIN @ SAS	L	16	9	4	1
May 10	MIN vs. SAS	W	10	5	3	1
May 8	MIN vs. SAS	L	11	7	5	3
May 6	MIN @ SAS	L	0	0	0	0
Apr 27	MIN @ DEN	L	18	3	4	3
Apr 25	MIN vs. DEN	W	43	4	1	5
Apr 23	MIN vs. DEN	W	25	3	9	0
Apr 20	MIN @ DEN	W	9	4	5	1
Apr 18	MIN @ DEN	L	14	0	1	3
Apr 10	MIN @ HOU	W	15	0	4	1
Apr 7	MIN @ IND	W	24	5	1	1
Apr 5	MIN vs. CHA	L	12	4	2	0
Apr 3	MIN @ PHI	L	19	5	3	4
Apr 2	MIN @ DET	L	19	5	4	2
Mar 30	MIN @ DAL	W	18	15	12	1
Mar 22	MIN @ BOS	W	17	8	6	2
Mar 20	MIN vs. POR	L	17	10	8	3