Franz Wagner

Magic·Forward·#22

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Franz Wagner has been steady, averaging 17.6 points over his last 5 games (18.2 L10). Pts+Reb is his strongest prop category tonight (100.0% L10 on Under 28.5). Assists presents more risk (0.0% L10).

Today’s Props

Over 1.5

3PM-1150

Pinnacle no-vig 52.2% vs DraftKings implied 53.5% at -115 → -2.4% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate30%

EV-2%

17%

13%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

30%

Under 1.5

3PM-1150

Pinnacle no-vig 47.8% vs DraftKings implied 53.5% at -115 → -10.7% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate70%

EV-11%

83%

88%

L10

70%

L15

80%

L20

70%

Over 0.5

3PM-4790

Hit Rate70%

EV-6%

83%

63%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

65%

Over 2.5

3PM+2650

Hit Rate10%

EV-17%

L10

10%

L15

L20

15%

Under 5.5

AST-1510

Pinnacle no-vig 58.1% vs DraftKings implied 60.2% at -151 → -3.5% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate80%

EV-3%

83%

75%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

90%

Over 5.5

AST+1140

Pinnacle no-vig 41.9% vs DraftKings implied 46.7% at +114 → -10.3% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate20%

EV-10%

17%

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

10%

Over 2.5

AST-7000

Hit Rate80%

EV-4%

83%

88%

L10

80%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 3.5

AST-3050

Hit Rate60%

EV-8%

67%

63%

L10

60%

L15

40%

L20

35%

Over 4.5

AST-1570

Hit Rate40%

EV-11%

50%

L10

40%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Over 6.5

AST+2070

Hit Rate0%

EV-16%

L10

L15

L20

Over 7.5

AST+3560

Hit Rate0%

EV-18%

L10

L15

L20

Over 8.5

AST+5860

Hit Rate0%

EV-19%

L10

L15

L20

Over 10.5

AstReb-1320

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

50%

L10

40%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Under 10.5

AstReb+1010

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

50%

L10

60%

L15

73%

L20

75%

Over 7.5

AstReb-5500

Hit Rate70%

EV-5%

100%

88%

L10

70%

L15

47%

L20

45%

Over 9.5

AstReb-2100

Hit Rate40%

EV-9%

50%

L10

40%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Over 11.5

AstReb+1100

Hit Rate10%

EV-14%

13%

L10

10%

L15

L20

Over 14.5

AstReb+3400

Hit Rate0%

EV-18%

L10

L15

L20

Over 0.5

BLK+2030

Hit Rate10%

EV-16%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

20%

L20

15%

Under 22.5

PTS-1070

Hit Rate90%

EV-6%

100%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

90%

Over 22.5

PTS-1190

Hit Rate10%

EV-6%

L10

10%

L15

L20

10%

Over 14.5

PTS-6800

Hit Rate80%

EV-4%

83%

75%

L10

80%

L15

67%

L20

60%

Over 17.5

PTS-3320

Hit Rate70%

EV-7%

67%

63%

L10

70%

L15

53%

L20

50%

Over 19.5

PTS-2130

Hit Rate30%

EV-9%

17%

13%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

20%

Over 24.5

PTS+1260

Hit Rate10%

EV-14%

L10

10%

L15

L20

10%

Over 29.5

PTS+3220

Hit Rate0%

EV-18%

L10

L15

L20

Over 34.5

PtsAst+2790

Hit Rate0%

EV-17%

L10

L15

L20

Under 28.5

PtsAst-1260

Hit Rate90%

EV-7%

100%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

90%

Over 29.5

PtsAst+1140

Hit Rate0%

EV-14%

L10

L15

L20

Over 28.5

PtsAst-1050

Hit Rate10%

EV-7%

L10

10%

L15

L20

10%

Over 24.5

PtsAst-2240

Hit Rate20%

EV-9%

17%

13%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

15%

Over 19.5

PtsAst-6600

Hit Rate80%

EV-4%

83%

75%

L10

80%

L15

53%

L20

50%

Over 19.5

PtsReb-7200

Hit Rate80%

EV-4%

83%

75%

L10

80%

L15

60%

L20

55%

Over 24.5

PtsReb-2460

Hit Rate30%

EV-9%

17%

25%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

25%

Over 28.5

PtsReb-1180

Hit Rate0%

EV-6%

L10

L15

L20

Over 29.5

PtsReb-1010

Hit Rate0%

EV-13%

L10

L15

L20

Over 34.5

PtsReb+2390

Hit Rate0%

EV-17%

L10

L15

L20

Over 39.5

PtsReb+5450

Hit Rate0%

EV-19%

L10

L15

L20

Under 28.5

PtsReb-1110

Hit Rate100%

EV-6%

100%

L10

100%

L15

100%

L20

95%

Over 29.5

PtsRebAst-2470

Hit Rate30%

EV-9%

17%

25%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

20%

Under 34.5

PtsRebAst-1200

Hit Rate100%

EV-6%

100%

L10

100%

L15

100%

L20

95%

Over 44.5

PtsRebAst+4790

Hit Rate0%

EV-18%

L10

L15

L20

Over 39.5

PtsRebAst+2130

Hit Rate0%

EV-17%

L10

L15

L20

Over 34.5

PtsRebAst-1090

Hit Rate0%

EV-6%

L10

L15

L20

Over 24.5

PtsRebAst-6500

Hit Rate80%

EV-4%

83%

75%

L10

80%

L15

53%

L20

50%

Over 5.5

REB-1260

Pinnacle no-vig 49.2% vs DraftKings implied 55.8% at -126 → -11.8% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%

EV-12%

50%

L10

40%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Over 8.5

REB+4260

Hit Rate0%

EV-18%

L10

L15

L20

Under 5.5

REB-1040

Pinnacle no-vig 50.8% vs DraftKings implied 51.0% at -104 → -0.3% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%

EV0%

50%

L10

60%

L15

73%

L20

75%

Over 3.5

REB-5120

Hit Rate90%

EV-5%

100%

L10

90%

L15

73%

L20

70%

Over 4.5

REB-2380

Hit Rate70%

EV-9%

100%

88%

L10

70%

L15

53%

L20

50%

Over 6.5

REB+1430

Hit Rate20%

EV-15%

17%

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

15%

Over 7.5

REB+2500

Hit Rate0%

EV-17%

L10

L15

L20

Over 0.5

STL-2270

Hit Rate80%

EV-6%

100%

88%

L10

80%

L15

67%

L20

60%

Under 0.5

STL+1690

Hit Rate20%

EV-6%

13%

L10

20%

L15

33%

L20

40%

Over 1.5

STL+2020

Hit Rate30%

EV-16%

50%

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

20%

Over 1.5

StlBlk+1200

Hit Rate40%

EV-14%

67%

50%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

25%

Over 2.5

StlBlk+3700

Hit Rate20%

EV-18%

33%

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

10%

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 0.5 3-Pointers

13/20 hit

45%

both hit

O 0.5 Steals

12/20 hit

O 4.5 Rebounds

10/20 hit

40%

both hit

O 0.5 Steals

12/20 hit

O 0.5 3-Pointers

13/20 hit

35%

both hit

O 4.5 Rebounds

10/20 hit

O 0.5 3-Pointers

13/20 hit

30%

both hit

O 3.5 Assists

7/20 hit

O 3.5 Assists

7/20 hit

25%

both hit

O 4.5 Rebounds

10/20 hit

O 3.5 Assists

7/20 hit

25%

both hit

O 0.5 Steals

12/20 hit

O 9.5 Ast+Reb

5/20 hit

25%

both hit

O 4.5 Rebounds

10/20 hit

O 0.5 3-Pointers

13/20 hit

20%

both hit

O 9.5 Ast+Reb

5/20 hit

O 0.5 3-Pointers

13/20 hit

20%

both hit

O 19.5 Points

4/20 hit

O 0.5 3-Pointers

13/20 hit

20%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb

5/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

vs NYK History

7.0Avg PTS

3.0Avg REB

1.0Avg AST

Date	W/L	PTS	REB	AST	MIN
Dec 7	L	7	3	1	7

Recent Game Log

Date	Matchup	W/L	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	3PM	TOV	FG
Oct 23	ORL vs. MIN	L	33	18	6	5	1	0	1	6	7/14
Oct 21	ORL vs. ATL	L	29	22	6	5	1	0	2	3	9/20
Apr 27	ORL vs. DET	W	24	19	5	3	4	0	1	0	7/15
Apr 25	ORL vs. DET	W	34	17	5	6	1	1	1	1	7/18
Apr 22	ORL @ DET	L	32	12	7	1	4	0	0	2	4/11
Apr 19	ORL @ DET	W	32	19	5	4	2	0	1	3	7/13
Apr 17	ORL vs. CHA	W	25	18	7	6	1	0	0	2	5/10
Apr 15	ORL @ PHI	L	29	12	4	3	0	0	0	0	5/11
Apr 12	ORL @ BOS	L	26	20	4	1	1	0	2	1	7/18
Apr 10	ORL @ CHI	W	23	25	2	4	0	0	3	3	8/13
Apr 8	ORL vs. MIN	W	22	17	0	2	0	1	1	2	7/13
Apr 5	ORL @ NOP	W	20	11	5	2	0	1	0	0	4/10
Apr 3	ORL @ DAL	W	17	18	4	1	1	0	0	3	8/12
Apr 1	ORL vs. ATL	L	20	12	1	2	0	0	0	1	5/13
Feb 11	ORL vs. MIL	L	21	5	0	3	2	0	1	0	1/7
Feb 9	ORL vs. MIL	W	17	14	2	5	0	0	2	1	6/10
Jan 18	ORL @ MEM	L	26	14	4	3	0	0	0	0	5/13
Jan 15	ORL @ MEM	W	27	18	9	2	0	0	3	4	6/16
Dec 7	ORL @ NYK	L	7	7	3	1	1	0	1	0	3/4
Dec 5	ORL vs. MIA	W	34	32	5	3	1	0	4	2	12/22

Date	Matchup	W/L	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Oct 23	ORL vs. MIN	L	18	6	5	1
Oct 21	ORL vs. ATL	L	22	6	5	2
Apr 27	ORL vs. DET	W	19	5	3	1
Apr 25	ORL vs. DET	W	17	5	6	1
Apr 22	ORL @ DET	L	12	7	1	0
Apr 19	ORL @ DET	W	19	5	4	1
Apr 17	ORL vs. CHA	W	18	7	6	0
Apr 15	ORL @ PHI	L	12	4	3	0
Apr 12	ORL @ BOS	L	20	4	1	2
Apr 10	ORL @ CHI	W	25	2	4	3
Apr 8	ORL vs. MIN	W	17	0	2	1
Apr 5	ORL @ NOP	W	11	5	2	0
Apr 3	ORL @ DAL	W	18	4	1	0
Apr 1	ORL vs. ATL	L	12	1	2	0
Feb 11	ORL vs. MIL	L	5	0	3	1
Feb 9	ORL vs. MIL	W	14	2	5	2
Jan 18	ORL @ MEM	L	14	4	3	0
Jan 15	ORL @ MEM	W	18	9	2	3
Dec 7	ORL @ NYK	L	7	3	1	1
Dec 5	ORL vs. MIA	W	32	5	3	4