Austin Reaves

Austin Reaves

LALLakers·Guard·#15

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Austin Reaves is in peak form, averaging 25.2 points over his last 5 games — a sharp uptick from his 20.5 L10 average. Points is his strongest prop category tonight (90.0% L10 on Over 14.5). 3-Pointers presents more risk (0.0% L10).

Today’s Props

Over 2.5

3PM+1240

Pinnacle no-vig 43.7% vs DraftKings implied 44.6% at +124 → -2.2% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate30%
EV-2%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

30%

Under 2.5

3PM-1640

Pinnacle no-vig 56.3% vs DraftKings implied 62.1% at -164 → -9.3% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate70%
EV-9%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

70%

Over 1.5

3PM-2350
Hit Rate60%
EV-9%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

65%

Over 3.5

3PM+3100
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

7%

L20

10%

11

Over 5.5

AST-1480

Pinnacle no-vig 55.9% vs DraftKings implied 59.7% at -148 → -6.3% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

100%

L8

88%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

60%

6

Under 5.5

AST+1120

Pinnacle no-vig 44.1% vs DraftKings implied 47.2% at +112 → -6.5% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate30%
EV-7%

L6

0%

L8

13%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

40%

6

Over 3.5

AST-7500
Hit Rate80%
EV-4%

L6

100%

L8

88%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

90%

6

Over 4.5

AST-3060
Hit Rate70%
EV-8%

L6

100%

L8

88%

L10

70%

L15

80%

L20

80%

6

Over 6.5

AST+1250
Hit Rate20%
EV-14%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

30%

Over 7.5

AST+2330
Hit Rate20%
EV-17%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Over 8.5

AST+4120
Hit Rate20%
EV-18%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

15%

Over 10.5

AstReb-1200
Hit Rate40%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

50%

Under 10.5

AstReb-1100
Hit Rate60%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

50%

Over 7.5

AstReb-6000
Hit Rate80%
EV-5%

L6

100%

L8

88%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

85%

6

Over 9.5

AstReb-1950
Hit Rate70%
EV-10%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

65%

4

Over 11.5

AstReb+1250
Hit Rate20%
EV-14%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

33%

L20

35%

2

Over 14.5

AstReb+4250
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

0%

20

Over 0.5

BLK+1700
Hit Rate60%
EV-16%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

55%

Under 22.5

PTS-1080
Hit Rate60%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

60%

L15

47%

L20

50%

3

Over 22.5

PTS-1180
Hit Rate40%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

40%

L15

53%

L20

50%

3

Over 14.5

PTS-8200
Hit Rate90%
EV-4%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

90%

5

Over 17.5

PTS-3590
Hit Rate60%
EV-7%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

73%

L20

70%

3

Over 19.5

PTS-2270
Hit Rate50%
EV-9%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

55%

3

Over 24.5

PTS+1210
Hit Rate30%
EV-14%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Over 29.5

PTS+3090
Hit Rate10%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

7%

L20

15%

4

Over 39.5

PtsAst+5420
Hit Rate0%
EV-19%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

0%

20

Under 28.5

PtsAst-1050
Hit Rate60%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

60%

L15

47%

L20

50%

3

Over 34.5

PtsAst+2320
Hit Rate20%
EV-17%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

20%

Over 29.5

PtsAst-1040
Hit Rate30%
EV-13%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Over 28.5

PtsAst-1250
Hit Rate40%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

40%

L15

53%

L20

50%

3

Over 24.5

PtsAst-2850
Hit Rate60%
EV-8%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

60%

L15

73%

L20

65%

5

Over 19.5

PtsAst-9900
Hit Rate70%
EV-3%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

80%

L20

85%

5

Over 19.5

PtsReb-6600
Hit Rate70%
EV-4%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

80%

L20

75%

5

Over 24.5

PtsReb-2110
Hit Rate60%
EV-9%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

60%

3

Over 27.5

PtsReb-1170
Hit Rate30%
EV-7%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

35%

Over 29.5

PtsReb+1200
Hit Rate30%
EV-14%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

35%

Over 34.5

PtsReb+2850
Hit Rate0%
EV-17%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

10%

18

Under 27.5

PtsReb-1130
Hit Rate70%
EV-7%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

65%

Over 34.5

PtsRebAst-1020

Pinnacle no-vig 48.1% vs DraftKings implied 50.5% at -102 → -4.8% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate30%
EV-5%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

35%

Under 33.5

PtsRebAst-1110
Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 44.5

PtsRebAst+4920
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

5%

18

Over 39.5

PtsRebAst+2230
Hit Rate10%
EV-17%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

7%

L20

15%

2

Over 33.5

PtsRebAst-1190
Hit Rate30%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Over 29.5

PtsRebAst-2530
Hit Rate50%
EV-9%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

67%

L20

60%

3

Over 24.5

PtsRebAst-7700
Hit Rate70%
EV-4%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

80%

L20

80%

5

Over 7.5

REB+5690
Hit Rate0%
EV-19%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

7%

L20

5%

11

Over 6.5

REB+3040
Hit Rate10%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

20%

L20

20%

2

Over 5.5

REB+1630
Hit Rate20%
EV-16%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

25%

2

Over 3.5

REB-2580
Hit Rate60%
EV-8%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

55%

Over 2.5

REB-6800
Hit Rate80%
EV-4%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

73%

L20

80%

Under 4.5

REB-1080

Pinnacle no-vig 51.2% vs DraftKings implied 51.9% at -108 → -1.4% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate70%
EV-1%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

60%

2

Over 4.5

REB-1220

Pinnacle no-vig 48.8% vs DraftKings implied 55.0% at -122 → -11.2% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate30%
EV-11%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

40%

2

Over 0.5

STL-3310
Hit Rate30%
EV-7%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

47%

L20

50%

2

Over 2.5

STL+4340
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

5%

17

Under 1.5

STL-1770
Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

70%

2

Over 1.5

STL+1330
Hit Rate30%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

30%

2

Over 1.5

StlBlk-1250
Hit Rate50%
EV-12%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

45%

3

Over 2.5

StlBlk+2400
Hit Rate30%
EV-17%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Over 3.5

StlBlk+6000
Hit Rate0%
EV-19%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

5%

17

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 4.5 Assists

16/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Ast

13/20 hit

O 4.5 Assists

16/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 9.5 Ast+Reb

13/20 hit

O 4.5 Assists

16/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

12/20 hit

O 24.5 Pts+Ast

13/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

12/20 hit

O 1.5 3-Pointers

13/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb

12/20 hit

O 4.5 Assists

16/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 19.5 Points

11/20 hit

O 4.5 Assists

16/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb

12/20 hit

O 19.5 Points

11/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Ast

13/20 hit

O 19.5 Points

11/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb

12/20 hit

O 19.5 Points

11/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

12/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

Recent Game Log

DateMatchupW/LPTSREBAST3PM
Oct 23LAL vs. LACW28293
Oct 21LAL vs. GSWW23461
May 11LAL vs. OKCL27763
May 9LAL vs. OKCL17391
May 7LAL @ OKCL31263
May 5LAL @ OKCL8560
May 1LAL @ HOUW15320
Apr 29LAL vs. HOUL22462
Apr 2LAL @ OKCL15412
Mar 31LAL vs. CLEW19642
Mar 30LAL vs. WASW19390
Mar 27LAL vs. BKNW26854
Mar 25LAL @ INDW25182
Mar 23LAL @ DETL24252
Mar 21LAL @ ORLW26752
Mar 19LAL @ MIAW18542
Mar 18LAL @ HOUW14381
Mar 16LAL @ HOUW15350
Mar 14LAL vs. DENW32763
Mar 12LAL vs. CHIW30574