Jalen Suggs

Jalen Suggs

ORLMagic·Guard·#4

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Jalen Suggs has cooled off, averaging 8.6 points over his last 5 games, down from a 11.0 L10 average. Assists is his strongest prop category tonight (90.0% L10 on Over 2.5). 3-Pointers presents more risk (0.0% L10).

Today’s Props

Over 3.5

3PM+4050
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

13%

L20

10%

11

Over 2.5

3PM+1640

Pinnacle no-vig 37.5% vs DraftKings implied 37.9% at +164 → -1.0% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate30%
EV-1%

L6

0%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

40%

6

Over 1.5

3PM-1710
Hit Rate50%
EV-6%

L6

17%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

65%

4

Under 1.5

3PM+1290
Hit Rate50%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

35%

4

Over 0.5

3PM-7600
Hit Rate80%
EV-4%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

85%

Over 5.5

AST+1100

Pinnacle no-vig 47.9% vs DraftKings implied 47.6% at +110 → +0.6% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate30%
EV+1%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

40%

Under 5.5

AST-1450

Pinnacle no-vig 52.1% vs DraftKings implied 59.2% at -145 → -11.9% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate70%
EV-12%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

60%

Over 2.5

AST-8700
Hit Rate90%
EV-4%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

95%

5

Over 3.5

AST-3590
Hit Rate80%
EV-7%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

85%

5

Over 4.5

AST-1700
Hit Rate50%
EV-11%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

55%

2

Over 6.5

AST+2050
Hit Rate10%
EV-16%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

30%

3

Over 7.5

AST+3660
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

7%

L20

20%

14

Over 9.5

AstReb-1210
Hit Rate40%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

50%

Under 9.5

AstReb-1090
Hit Rate60%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

50%

Over 7.5

AstReb-3000
Hit Rate70%
EV-8%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

75%

4

Over 11.5

AstReb+1950
Hit Rate20%
EV-16%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

35%

Over 0.5

BLK-1180
Hit Rate50%
EV-12%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

45%

Over 1.5

BLK+4250
Hit Rate10%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

7%

L20

5%

2

Under 13.5

PTS-1020
Hit Rate60%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

65%

Over 13.5

PTS-1250
Hit Rate40%
EV-6%

L6

17%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

35%

Over 7.5

PTS-7000
Hit Rate60%
EV-4%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

70%

Over 9.5

PTS-3600
Hit Rate60%
EV-7%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

70%

Over 11.5

PTS-2070
Hit Rate50%
EV-10%

L6

17%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

55%

Over 19.5

PTS+3150
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

7%

L20

10%

11

Over 17.5

PTS+2030
Hit Rate10%
EV-16%

L6

0%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

20%

7

Over 14.5

PTS+1020

Pinnacle no-vig 47.0% vs DraftKings implied 49.5% at +102 → -5.1% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate30%
EV-5%

L6

0%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

30%

6

Over 24.5

PtsAst+2560
Hit Rate0%
EV-17%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

7%

L20

15%

11

Under 19.5

PtsAst-1200
Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

65%

Over 19.5

PtsAst-1100
Hit Rate30%
EV-6%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

35%

Over 14.5

PtsAst-3550
Hit Rate60%
EV-7%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

75%

Over 14.5

PtsReb-2830
Hit Rate50%
EV-8%

L6

17%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

55%

Over 18.5

PtsReb-1130
Hit Rate30%
EV-7%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

30%

Over 19.5

PtsReb+1090
Hit Rate30%
EV-14%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

30%

Over 24.5

PtsReb+3010
Hit Rate10%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

15%

7

Under 18.5

PtsReb-1170
Hit Rate70%
EV-7%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

70%

Over 24.5

PtsRebAst-1010

Pinnacle no-vig 49.4% vs DraftKings implied 50.2% at -101 → -1.7% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate20%
EV-2%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

30%

Under 23.5

PtsRebAst-1070
Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

65%

Over 23.5

PtsRebAst-1230
Hit Rate30%
EV-6%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

35%

Over 19.5

PtsRebAst-2800
Hit Rate60%
EV-8%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

65%

Over 14.5

PtsRebAst-9600
Hit Rate70%
EV-3%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

80%

Over 29.5

PtsRebAst+2560
Hit Rate0%
EV-17%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

13%

L20

20%

11

Under 4.5

REB-136MODEL

Pinnacle no-vig 59.9% vs DraftKings implied 57.6% at -136 → +3.9% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%
EV+4%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

55%

Over 5.5

REB+2010
Hit Rate30%
EV-16%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

35%

Over 3.5

REB-1960
Hit Rate60%
EV-10%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

70%

Over 2.5

REB-4530
Hit Rate80%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

73%

L20

80%

4

Over 4.5

REB+1030

Pinnacle no-vig 40.1% vs DraftKings implied 49.3% at +103 → -18.5% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%
EV-19%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

45%

Over 6.5

REB+3780
Hit Rate10%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

7%

L20

10%

3

Under 1.5

STL-1410
Hit Rate50%
EV-7%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

45%

Over 1.5

STL+1060
Hit Rate50%
EV-7%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

55%

Over 0.5

STL-4120
Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

100%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

80%

6

Over 2.5

STL+3240
Hit Rate30%
EV-18%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

40%

2

Over 1.5

StlBlk-2150
Hit Rate60%
EV-9%

L6

83%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

70%

3

Over 2.5

StlBlk+1300
Hit Rate40%
EV-15%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

45%

2

Over 3.5

StlBlk+3300
Hit Rate20%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

25%

2

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

15/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 3.5 Rebounds

14/20 hit

O 1.5 3-Pointers

13/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Ast

15/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

15/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

13/20 hit

O 14.5 Pts+Ast

15/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

13/20 hit

O 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

13/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 3.5 Rebounds

14/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

15/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Ast

15/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

15/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 1.5 StlBlk

14/20 hit

O 11.5 Points

11/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Ast

15/20 hit

O 14.5 Pts+Ast

15/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb

11/20 hit

O 14.5 Pts+Ast

15/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 3.5 Rebounds

14/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

Recent Game Log

DateMatchupW/LPTSREBAST3PM
Oct 23ORL vs. MINL14661
Oct 21ORL vs. ATLL6350
May 3ORL @ DETL6440
May 1ORL vs. DETL7771
Apr 29ORL @ DETL10252
Apr 27ORL vs. DETW5221
Apr 25ORL vs. DETW15333
Apr 22ORL @ DETL19643
Apr 19ORL @ DETW16443
Apr 17ORL vs. CHAW12562
Apr 15ORL @ PHIL4641
Apr 12ORL @ BOSL23637
Apr 10ORL @ CHIW12144
Apr 8ORL vs. MINW11043
Apr 6ORL vs. DETW126122
Apr 5ORL @ NOPW11483
Apr 3ORL @ DALW19493
Apr 1ORL vs. ATLL7590
Mar 31ORL vs. PHXW20872
Mar 29ORL @ TORL13452