Jalen Williams

Jalen Williams

OKCThunder·Guard-Forward·#8

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Jalen Williams has cooled off, averaging 12.8 points over his last 5 games, down from a 14.8 L10 average. His playing time has been volatile (25 MPG, ±9.7), adding uncertainty to all props. Pts+Reb is his strongest prop category tonight (80.0% L10 on Over 14.5).

Today’s Props

Over 1.5

3PM+1560

Pinnacle no-vig 35.2% vs DraftKings implied 39.1% at +156 → -10.0% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate30%
EV-10%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Under 1.5

3PM-2080

Pinnacle no-vig 64.8% vs DraftKings implied 67.5% at -208 → -4.0% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate70%
EV-4%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

75%

Over 0.5

3PM-2880
Hit Rate60%
EV-8%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

50%

2

Over 2.5

3PM+5070
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

0%

20

Over 6.5

AST+4480
Hit Rate20%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

20%

8

Over 5.5

AST+2270
Hit Rate40%
EV-17%

L6

0%

L8

25%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

35%

6

Over 3.5

AST-1930
Hit Rate50%
EV-10%

L6

17%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

50%

5

Over 2.5

AST-4960
Hit Rate70%
EV-5%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

75%

Under 4.5

AST-1490

Pinnacle no-vig 56.7% vs DraftKings implied 59.8% at -149 → -5.2% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%
EV-5%

L6

100%

L8

75%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

60%

6

Over 4.5

AST+1130

Pinnacle no-vig 43.3% vs DraftKings implied 46.9% at +113 → -7.8% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%
EV-8%

L6

0%

L8

25%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

40%

6

Over 11.5

AstReb+2600
Hit Rate30%
EV-17%

L6

0%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

25%

6

Over 7.5

AstReb-2500
Hit Rate70%
EV-9%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

60%

2

Under 9.5

AstReb-1440
Hit Rate60%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

65%

4

Over 9.5

AstReb+1100
Hit Rate40%
EV-6%

L6

17%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

35%

4

Under 17.5

PTS-1040

Pinnacle no-vig 48.3% vs DraftKings implied 51.0% at -104 → -5.3% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%
EV-5%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Over 17.5

PTS-1230

Pinnacle no-vig 51.7% vs DraftKings implied 55.2% at -123 → -6.2% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 11.5

PTS-6300
Hit Rate70%
EV-5%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

70%

2

Over 14.5

PTS-2590
Hit Rate60%
EV-8%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

65%

Over 19.5

PTS+1310
Hit Rate30%
EV-15%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

35%

Over 24.5

PTS+3900
Hit Rate10%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

10%

4

Over 22.5

PtsAst-1060
Hit Rate50%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

55%

Over 29.5

PtsAst+3920
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

7%

L20

5%

14

Over 24.5

PtsAst+1410
Hit Rate20%
EV-15%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

20%

4

Over 19.5

PtsAst-2170
Hit Rate60%
EV-9%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

65%

Over 14.5

PtsAst-9200
Hit Rate70%
EV-3%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

75%

Under 22.5

PtsAst-1240
Hit Rate50%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

45%

Under 22.5

PtsReb-1090
Hit Rate60%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

60%

Over 14.5

PtsReb-9900
Hit Rate80%
EV-3%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

75%

2

Over 19.5

PtsReb-2410
Hit Rate50%
EV-9%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 22.5

PtsReb-1210
Hit Rate40%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

40%

Over 24.5

PtsReb+1230
Hit Rate30%
EV-14%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Over 29.5

PtsReb+3350
Hit Rate10%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

10%

4

Over 19.5

PtsRebAst-6700
Hit Rate80%
EV-4%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

80%

2

Under 27.5

PtsRebAst-1230

Pinnacle no-vig 51.5% vs DraftKings implied 55.2% at -123 → -6.6% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%
EV-7%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

65%

Over 34.5

PtsRebAst+3540
Hit Rate20%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

15%

4

Over 29.5

PtsRebAst+1390
Hit Rate30%
EV-15%

L6

17%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

25%

4

Over 27.5

PtsRebAst-1070

Pinnacle no-vig 48.5% vs DraftKings implied 51.7% at -107 → -6.2% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

35%

Over 24.5

PtsRebAst-1970
Hit Rate50%
EV-10%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

55%

Over 6.5

REB+2750
Hit Rate40%
EV-17%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

27%

L20

20%

Over 4.5

REB-1310

Pinnacle no-vig 52.6% vs DraftKings implied 56.7% at -131 → -7.2% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%
EV-7%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

47%

L20

40%

2

Under 4.5

REB-1010

Pinnacle no-vig 47.4% vs DraftKings implied 50.2% at -101 → -5.7% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

53%

L20

60%

2

Over 2.5

REB-7000
Hit Rate60%
EV-4%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

70%

2

Over 3.5

REB-2780
Hit Rate60%
EV-8%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

55%

2

Over 5.5

REB+1470
Hit Rate50%
EV-15%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

30%

Over 7.5

REB+5030
Hit Rate10%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

10%

L15

7%

L20

5%

9

Over 1.5

STL+1630
Hit Rate30%
EV-6%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

25%

3

Under 1.5

STL-2190
Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

80%

L20

75%

3

Over 0.5

STL-2740
Hit Rate70%
EV-8%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 2.5

STL+5340
Hit Rate0%
EV-19%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

0%

20

Over 1.5

StlBlk-1200
Hit Rate60%
EV-12%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Over 2.5

StlBlk+2500
Hit Rate0%
EV-17%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

0%

20

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 14.5 Points

13/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 19.5 Pts+Ast

13/20 hit

O 14.5 Points

13/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 19.5 Pts+Reb

12/20 hit

O 19.5 Pts+Ast

13/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 19.5 Pts+Reb

12/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

12/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 3.5 Rebounds

11/20 hit

O 14.5 Points

13/20 hit

50%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

11/20 hit

O 19.5 Pts+Ast

13/20 hit

50%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

11/20 hit

O 19.5 Pts+Reb

12/20 hit

50%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

11/20 hit

O 3.5 Assists

10/20 hit

45%

both hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

12/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

12/20 hit

45%

both hit

O 14.5 Points

13/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

12/20 hit

45%

both hit

O 19.5 Pts+Ast

13/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

vs LAC History

18.0Avg PTS
6.0Avg REB
6.0Avg AST
DateW/LPTSREBASTMIN
Apr 8W186632

Recent Game Log

DateMatchupW/LPTSREBAST3PM
Oct 22OKC vs. DENW21532
Oct 20OKC @ SASW12721
May 28OKC @ SASL1010
May 20OKC vs. SASW4100
May 18OKC vs. SASL26731
Apr 22OKC vs. PHXW19142
Apr 19OKC vs. PHXW22762
Apr 8OKC @ LACW18660
Apr 5OKC vs. UTAW15271
Apr 2OKC vs. LALW10980
Mar 29OKC vs. NYKW22121
Mar 27OKC vs. CHIW18680
Mar 25OKC @ BOSL7330
Mar 23OKC @ PHIW18461
Feb 11OKC @ PHXW28452
Feb 9OKC @ LALW23310
Jan 17OKC @ MIAL8332
Jan 15OKC @ HOUW65100
Jan 13OKC vs. SASW20030
Jan 11OKC vs. MIAW18440