Tristan da Silva

Tristan da Silva

ORLMagic·Forward·#23

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Tristan da Silva is in peak form, averaging 6.4 points over his last 5 games — a sharp uptick from his 5.3 L10 average. His playing time has been volatile (18 MPG, ±7.2), adding uncertainty to all props. Ast+Reb is his strongest prop category tonight (90.0% L10 on Under 5.5).

Today’s Props

Over 3.5

3PM+4140
Hit Rate10%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

7%

L20

5%

Over 1.5

3PM-1800
Hit Rate20%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

20%

Under 1.5

3PM+1360
Hit Rate80%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

80%

Over 0.5

3PM-8400
Hit Rate70%
EV-4%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

55%

2

Over 2.5

3PM+166MODEL

Pinnacle no-vig 38.5% vs DraftKings implied 37.6% at +166 → +2.4% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate10%
EV+2%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

7%

L20

10%

Over 3.5

AST+5380
Hit Rate0%
EV-19%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

7%

L20

10%

12

Over 2.5

AST+2070
Hit Rate10%
EV-16%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

15%

Over 1.5

AST-1440
Hit Rate10%
EV-11%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

27%

L20

30%

Under 5.5

AstReb-1070
Hit Rate90%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

75%

3

Over 5.5

AstReb-1230
Hit Rate10%
EV-6%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

20%

L20

25%

3

Over 0.5

BLK+2180
Hit Rate10%
EV-17%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

15%

Under 10.5

PTS-1150
Hit Rate90%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

75%

Over 17.5

PTS+5580
Hit Rate0%
EV-19%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

5%

16

Over 10.5

PTS-1110
Hit Rate10%
EV-6%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

20%

L20

25%

Over 5.5

PTS-5960
Hit Rate40%
EV-5%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

55%

Over 7.5

PTS-2780
Hit Rate20%
EV-8%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

33%

L20

45%

Over 14.5

PTS+2650
Hit Rate0%
EV-17%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

5%

16

Over 11.5

PTS+124MODEL

Pinnacle no-vig 48.5% vs DraftKings implied 44.6% at +124 → +8.6% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate10%
EV+9%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

20%

L20

25%

Over 9.5

PTS-1410
Hit Rate20%
EV-12%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

30%

Over 12.5

PtsAst-1080
Hit Rate10%
EV-6%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

20%

L20

25%

Over 19.5

PtsAst+5130
Hit Rate0%
EV-19%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

5%

16

Over 14.5

PtsAst+1560
Hit Rate10%
EV-15%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

7%

L20

15%

Over 9.5

PtsAst-2540
Hit Rate20%
EV-8%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

33%

L20

40%

Under 12.5

PtsAst-1220
Hit Rate90%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

75%

Under 14.5

PtsReb-1190
Hit Rate80%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

75%

Over 9.5

PtsReb-4860
Hit Rate40%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

55%

Over 14.5

PtsReb-1110
Hit Rate20%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

25%

Over 19.5

PtsReb+2910
Hit Rate0%
EV-17%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

5%

16

Over 9.5

PtsRebAst-8800
Hit Rate40%
EV-4%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

53%

L20

60%

Over 14.5

PtsRebAst-1750
Hit Rate20%
EV-10%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

33%

L20

40%

Over 16.5

PtsRebAst-1070
Hit Rate10%
EV-6%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

20%

Over 19.5

PtsRebAst+1860
Hit Rate0%
EV-16%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

5%

16

Over 24.5

PtsRebAst+5520
Hit Rate0%
EV-19%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

5%

16

Under 16.5

PtsRebAst-1230
Hit Rate90%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

87%

L20

80%

Over 3.5

REB-1370
Hit Rate30%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

30%

3

Over 6.5

REB+5720
Hit Rate0%
EV-19%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

0%

20

Over 5.5

REB+3000
Hit Rate10%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

10%

3

Over 4.5

REB+1510

Pinnacle no-vig 39.9% vs DraftKings implied 39.8% at +151 → +0.2% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate10%
EV+0%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

15%

3

Over 2.5

REB-3210
Hit Rate70%
EV-7%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

70%

Under 3.5

REB+1040
Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

70%

3

Over 0.5

STL-1150
Hit Rate30%
EV-13%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

45%

2

Over 1.5

STL+4260
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

0%

20

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 11.5 Points

5/20 hit

25%

both hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

8/20 hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

8/20 hit

25%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb

5/20 hit

O 5.5 Ast+Reb

5/20 hit

20%

both hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

8/20 hit

O 11.5 Points

5/20 hit

20%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb

5/20 hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

8/20 hit

20%

both hit

O 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

4/20 hit

O 11.5 Points

5/20 hit

15%

both hit

O 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

4/20 hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb

5/20 hit

15%

both hit

O 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

4/20 hit

O 5.5 Ast+Reb

5/20 hit

10%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb

5/20 hit

O 5.5 Ast+Reb

5/20 hit

10%

both hit

O 16.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

4/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

Recent Game Log

DateMatchupW/LPTSREBAST3PM
Oct 23ORL vs. MINL5311
Oct 21ORL vs. ATLL14234
May 3ORL @ DETL0000
May 1ORL vs. DETL10602
Apr 29ORL @ DETL3300
Apr 27ORL vs. DETW6411
Apr 25ORL vs. DETW0000
Apr 22ORL @ DETL3301
Apr 19ORL @ DETW7401
Apr 17ORL vs. CHAW5311
Apr 15ORL @ PHIL4200
Apr 12ORL @ BOSL8620
Apr 10ORL @ CHIW2360
Apr 8ORL vs. MINW12222
Apr 6ORL vs. DETW12411
Apr 5ORL @ NOPW2320
Apr 3ORL @ DALW19513
Apr 1ORL vs. ATLL9260
Mar 31ORL vs. PHXW9300
Mar 29ORL @ TORL12301