Jamal Shead

Raptors·Guard·#1

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Jamal Shead is in peak form, averaging 9.2 points over his last 5 games — a sharp uptick from his 7.6 L10 average. His playing time has been volatile (28 MPG, ±7.0), adding uncertainty to all props. Assists is his strongest prop category tonight (90.0% L10 on Over 3.5).

Today’s Props

Over 7.5

AST+5880

Hit Rate0%

EV-19%

L10

L15

L20

20%

Over 6.5

AST+3240

Hit Rate20%

EV-18%

33%

25%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

35%

Over 5.5

AST+1780

Hit Rate30%

EV-16%

50%

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

45%

Over 3.5

AST-2180

Hit Rate90%

EV-9%

100%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

85%

Over 4.5

AST-1080

Pinnacle no-vig 42.7% vs DraftKings implied 51.9% at -108 → -17.7% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%

EV-18%

83%

75%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

65%

Under 4.5

AST-122MODEL

Pinnacle no-vig 57.3% vs DraftKings implied 55.0% at -122 → +4.2% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%

EV+4%

17%

25%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

35%

Over 2.5

AST-5210

Hit Rate90%

EV-5%

100%

L10

90%

L15

87%

L20

90%

Over 9.5

AstReb+3800

Hit Rate10%

EV-18%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

20%

Over 7.5

AstReb+1450

Hit Rate30%

EV-15%

50%

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

40%

Over 6.5

AstReb-1100

Hit Rate70%

EV-13%

100%

88%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

65%

Over 4.5

AstReb-3600

Hit Rate90%

EV-7%

100%

L10

90%

L15

80%

L20

80%

Under 6.5

PTS-1140

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

50%

63%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

50%

Over 6.5

PTS-1120

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

50%

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

50%

Over 5.5

PTS-1590

Pinnacle no-vig 52.1% vs DraftKings implied 61.4% at -159 → -15.1% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%

EV-15%

50%

38%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

60%

Over 11.5

PTS+4320

Hit Rate30%

EV-18%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

25%

Over 7.5

PTS+1230

Hit Rate30%

EV-14%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

40%

Over 9.5

PTS+2330

Hit Rate30%

EV-17%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

30%

Over 9.5

PtsAst-1930

Hit Rate60%

EV-10%

67%

50%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

70%

Over 11.5

PtsAst-1050

Hit Rate40%

EV-7%

50%

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

55%

Over 14.5

PtsAst+2180

Hit Rate30%

EV-17%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

35%

Under 11.5

PtsAst-1260

Hit Rate60%

EV-7%

50%

63%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

45%

Over 14.5

PtsReb+4680

Hit Rate30%

EV-18%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

20%

Over 9.5

PtsReb+1180

Hit Rate30%

EV-14%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

30%

Over 8.5

PtsReb-1170

Hit Rate30%

EV-13%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

35%

Over 4.5

PtsReb-5640

Hit Rate80%

EV-5%

83%

75%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

80%

Over 9.5

PtsRebAst-3540

Hit Rate80%

EV-7%

83%

75%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

80%

Over 13.5

PtsRebAst-1070

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

50%

38%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

45%

Over 14.5

PtsRebAst+1200

Hit Rate30%

EV-14%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

40%

Over 19.5

PtsRebAst+3990

Hit Rate30%

EV-18%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

25%

Under 13.5

PtsRebAst-1230

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

50%

63%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

55%

Over 3.5

REB+4210

Hit Rate10%

EV-18%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

L20

Over 1.5

REB-1690

Hit Rate50%

EV-11%

67%

63%

L10

50%

L15

33%

L20

30%

Over 2.5

REB+1670

Hit Rate30%

EV-16%

33%

38%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

15%

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 3.5 Assists

17/20 hit

80%

both hit

O 4.5 Ast+Reb

16/20 hit

O 4.5 Pts+Reb

16/20 hit

75%

both hit

O 9.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

16/20 hit

O 3.5 Assists

17/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 9.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

16/20 hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

14/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 9.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

16/20 hit

O 3.5 Assists

17/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 4.5 Pts+Reb

16/20 hit

O 4.5 Ast+Reb

16/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 9.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

16/20 hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

14/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 4.5 Pts+Reb

16/20 hit

O 3.5 Assists

17/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

14/20 hit

O 4.5 Ast+Reb

16/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 4.5 Pts+Reb

16/20 hit

O 4.5 Ast+Reb

16/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

14/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

Recent Game Log

Date	Matchup	W/L	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	3PM	TOV	FG
Oct 23	TOR @ WAS	W	24	5	2	5	0	0	0	1	1/3
Oct 21	TOR vs. CHI	W	16	2	2	5	1	0	0	4	0/2
May 3	TOR @ CLE	L	36	14	3	7	0	0	2	1	5/16
May 1	TOR vs. CLE	W	33	7	1	6	1	0	2	2	2/9
Apr 29	TOR @ CLE	L	34	18	1	7	2	0	4	3	7/15
Apr 26	TOR vs. CLE	W	26	2	4	4	0	0	0	0	1/6
Apr 23	TOR vs. CLE	W	30	2	1	5	5	0	0	3	1/3
Apr 20	TOR @ CLE	L	38	3	3	4	2	1	1	3	1/5
Apr 18	TOR @ CLE	L	28	17	1	2	0	0	5	2	6/11
Apr 12	TOR vs. BKN	W	20	6	1	4	1	1	0	2	3/6
Apr 10	TOR @ NYK	L	27	5	0	2	0	0	1	2	2/7
Apr 9	TOR vs. MIA	W	22	8	1	3	0	0	2	0	3/6
Apr 7	TOR vs. MIA	W	24	3	1	11	0	0	1	3	1/4
Apr 5	TOR @ BOS	L	26	7	1	5	0	0	1	2	2/8
Apr 3	TOR @ MEM	W	23	11	1	6	2	0	1	2	2/3
Apr 1	TOR vs. SAC	L	37	16	1	7	2	1	3	2	5/9
Mar 31	TOR @ DET	L	29	6	0	12	1	0	1	1	2/7
Mar 29	TOR vs. ORL	W	23	12	2	10	3	0	0	0	4/5
Mar 27	TOR vs. NOP	W	25	0	0	8	2	0	0	1	0/4
Mar 25	TOR @ LAC	L	31	8	0	4	2	1	2	2	3/9

Date	Matchup	W/L	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Oct 23	TOR @ WAS	W	5	2	5	0
Oct 21	TOR vs. CHI	W	2	2	5	0
May 3	TOR @ CLE	L	14	3	7	2
May 1	TOR vs. CLE	W	7	1	6	2
Apr 29	TOR @ CLE	L	18	1	7	4
Apr 26	TOR vs. CLE	W	2	4	4	0
Apr 23	TOR vs. CLE	W	2	1	5	0
Apr 20	TOR @ CLE	L	3	3	4	1
Apr 18	TOR @ CLE	L	17	1	2	5
Apr 12	TOR vs. BKN	W	6	1	4	0
Apr 10	TOR @ NYK	L	5	0	2	1
Apr 9	TOR vs. MIA	W	8	1	3	2
Apr 7	TOR vs. MIA	W	3	1	11	1
Apr 5	TOR @ BOS	L	7	1	5	1
Apr 3	TOR @ MEM	W	11	1	6	1
Apr 1	TOR vs. SAC	L	16	1	7	3
Mar 31	TOR @ DET	L	6	0	12	1
Mar 29	TOR vs. ORL	W	12	2	10	0
Mar 27	TOR vs. NOP	W	0	0	8	0
Mar 25	TOR @ LAC	L	8	0	4	2