Ajay Mitchell

Ajay Mitchell

OKCThunder·Guard·#25

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Ajay Mitchell has cooled off, averaging 6.4 points over his last 5 games, down from a 14.4 L10 average. Ast+Reb is his strongest prop category tonight (80.0% L10 on Over 5.5). 3-Pointers presents more risk (10.0% L10).

Today’s Props

Over 0.5

3PM-2350

Pinnacle no-vig 65.0% vs DraftKings implied 70.1% at -235 → -7.4% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%
EV-7%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

40%

L15

53%

L20

60%

5

Under 0.5

3PM+1760

Pinnacle no-vig 35.0% vs DraftKings implied 36.2% at +176 → -3.4% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%
EV-3%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

60%

L15

47%

L20

40%

5

Over 1.5

3PM+1840
Hit Rate20%
EV-16%

L6

0%

L8

13%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

25%

6

Over 2.5

3PM+5810
Hit Rate10%
EV-19%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

10%

9

Over 4.5

AST+3330
Hit Rate50%
EV-18%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

45%

Over 3.5

AST+1510
Hit Rate70%
EV-15%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

53%

L20

55%

Under 2.5

AST+1190
Hit Rate30%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

30%

Over 2.5

AST-1570
Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

70%

Under 5.5

AstReb-1060
Hit Rate20%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

25%

Over 5.5

AstReb-1240
Hit Rate80%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

75%

Under 11.5

PTS-1280
Hit Rate40%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

50%

Over 11.5

PTS+1000
Hit Rate60%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

50%

Over 5.5

PTS-8300
Hit Rate70%
EV-4%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

80%

L20

85%

Over 17.5

PTS+4750
Hit Rate50%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

33%

L20

25%

5

Over 14.5

PTS+2250
Hit Rate50%
EV-17%

L6

17%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

35%

5

Over 9.5

PTS-1810
Hit Rate70%
EV-10%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 7.5

PTS-3570
Hit Rate70%
EV-7%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

75%

Over 9.5

PtsAst-4780
Hit Rate80%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

90%

2

Over 14.5

PtsAst-1050
Hit Rate50%
EV-7%

L6

17%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

45%

5

Over 19.5

PtsAst+3330
Hit Rate50%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

33%

L20

30%

5

Under 14.5

PtsAst-1260
Hit Rate50%
EV-7%

L6

83%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

55%

5

Over 13.5

PtsReb-1290
Hit Rate50%
EV-6%

L6

17%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

50%

5

Under 13.5

PtsReb-1020
Hit Rate50%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

50%

5

Over 19.5

PtsReb+3340
Hit Rate50%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

30%

5

Over 14.5

PtsReb+1020
Hit Rate50%
EV-13%

L6

17%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

45%

5

Over 9.5

PtsReb-4240
Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

75%

Over 14.5

PtsRebAst-2250
Hit Rate60%
EV-9%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

70%

Over 17.5

PtsRebAst-1020
Hit Rate50%
EV-6%

L6

17%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

45%

5

Over 19.5

PtsRebAst+1570
Hit Rate50%
EV-15%

L6

17%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

40%

5

Over 24.5

PtsRebAst+4700
Hit Rate40%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

27%

L20

20%

5

Under 17.5

PtsRebAst-1290
Hit Rate50%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

55%

5

Over 2.5

REB-1260
Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

70%

Over 4.5

REB+3990
Hit Rate20%
EV-18%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

33%

L20

25%

Over 3.5

REB+1840
Hit Rate50%
EV-16%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

45%

Under 2.5

REB-1040
Hit Rate30%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

30%

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 5.5 Ast+Reb

15/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

14/20 hit

O 5.5 Ast+Reb

15/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 2.5 Rebounds

14/20 hit

O 2.5 Assists

14/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 5.5 Ast+Reb

15/20 hit

O 2.5 Assists

14/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

14/20 hit

O 7.5 Points

15/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

14/20 hit

O 0.5 3-Pointers

12/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 5.5 Ast+Reb

15/20 hit

O 0.5 3-Pointers

12/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 7.5 Points

15/20 hit

O 0.5 3-Pointers

12/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

14/20 hit

O 5.5 Ast+Reb

15/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 7.5 Points

15/20 hit

O 7.5 Points

15/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 2.5 Rebounds

14/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

vs LAC History

7.0Avg PTS
1.0Avg REB
3.0Avg AST
DateW/LPTSREBASTMIN
Apr 8W71324

Recent Game Log

DateMatchupW/LPTSREBAST3PM
Oct 22OKC vs. DENW12000
Oct 20OKC @ SASW4560
May 22OKC @ SASW2510
May 20OKC vs. SASW10020
May 18OKC vs. SASL4450
May 11OKC @ LALW28341
May 9OKC @ LALW244102
May 7OKC vs. LALW20360
May 5OKC vs. LALW18241
Apr 27OKC @ PHXW22464
Apr 25OKC @ PHXW15621
Apr 22OKC vs. PHXW14551
Apr 19OKC vs. PHXW9523
Apr 8OKC @ LACW7130
Apr 7OKC @ LALW9331
Apr 5OKC vs. UTAW7171
Apr 2OKC vs. LALW10312
Mar 30OKC vs. DETW14230
Mar 29OKC vs. NYKW8452
Mar 27OKC vs. CHIW15351