Jaylen Wells

Grizzlies·Forward·#0

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Jaylen Wells has cooled off, averaging 9.6 points over his last 5 games, down from a 12.6 L10 average. Points is his strongest prop category tonight (90.0% L10 on Over 5.5). 3-Pointers presents more risk (10.0% L10).

Today’s Props

Over 3.5

3PM+5540

Hit Rate10%

EV-19%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

20%

L20

15%

Over 2.5

3PM+2160

Hit Rate50%

EV-17%

33%

38%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

45%

Over 1.5

3PM-1380

Pinnacle no-vig 56.9% vs DraftKings implied 58.0% at -138 → -1.8% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate70%

EV-2%

50%

63%

L10

70%

L15

80%

L20

80%

Under 1.5

3PM+1050

Pinnacle no-vig 43.1% vs DraftKings implied 48.8% at +105 → -11.7% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate30%

EV-12%

50%

38%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

20%

Over 0.5

3PM-6200

Hit Rate80%

EV-5%

67%

75%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

85%

Over 2.5

AST+3580

Hit Rate10%

EV-18%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

13%

L20

20%

Under 1.5

AST-1530

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

67%

63%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

50%

Over 1.5

AST+1160

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

33%

38%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

50%

Under 4.5

AstReb-1320

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

50%

63%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

55%

Over 4.5

AstReb+1010

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

50%

38%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

45%

Under 10.5

PTS-1030

Hit Rate30%

EV-6%

50%

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Over 14.5

PTS+2280

Hit Rate40%

EV-17%

17%

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

45%

Over 10.5

PTS-1230

Hit Rate70%

EV-6%

50%

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

75%

Over 5.5

PTS-7100

Hit Rate90%

EV-4%

83%

88%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

95%

Over 11.5

PTS+108MODEL

Pinnacle no-vig 50.8% vs DraftKings implied 48.1% at +108 → +5.7% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%

EV+6%

33%

50%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

65%

Over 9.5

PTS-1660

Hit Rate70%

EV-11%

50%

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

75%

Over 7.5

PTS-3210

Hit Rate80%

EV-7%

67%

75%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

90%

Over 17.5

PTS+4850

Hit Rate10%

EV-18%

13%

L10

10%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Under 12.5

PtsAst-1200

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

83%

63%

L10

60%

L15

47%

L20

40%

Over 9.5

PtsAst-2660

Hit Rate80%

EV-8%

67%

75%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

85%

Over 12.5

PtsAst-1100

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

17%

38%

L10

40%

L15

53%

L20

60%

Over 14.5

PtsAst+1510

Hit Rate40%

EV-15%

17%

38%

L10

40%

L15

53%

L20

55%

Over 19.5

PtsAst+5050

Hit Rate20%

EV-18%

17%

25%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

20%

Over 13.5

PtsReb-1280

Hit Rate70%

EV-6%

50%

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

75%

Under 13.5

PtsReb-1030

Hit Rate30%

EV-6%

50%

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

25%

Over 19.5

PtsReb+3250

Hit Rate30%

EV-18%

17%

25%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

35%

Over 14.5

PtsReb+1010

Hit Rate60%

EV-13%

50%

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

70%

Over 9.5

PtsReb-4120

Hit Rate70%

EV-6%

50%

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

80%

Over 9.5

PtsRebAst-6600

Hit Rate80%

EV-4%

67%

75%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

90%

Over 14.5

PtsRebAst-1470

Hit Rate60%

EV-11%

50%

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

70%

Over 15.5

PtsRebAst-1140

Hit Rate60%

EV-7%

50%

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

70%

Over 19.5

PtsRebAst+2280

Hit Rate40%

EV-17%

17%

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

40%

Under 15.5

PtsRebAst-1160

Hit Rate40%

EV-7%

50%

38%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

30%

Over 4.5

REB+3220

Hit Rate30%

EV-18%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

15%

Over 3.5

REB+1500

Hit Rate40%

EV-15%

50%

38%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

25%

Under 2.5

REB+1150

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

50%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

45%

Over 2.5

REB-1520

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

50%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

55%

Over 0.5

STL-2340

Hit Rate60%

EV-9%

50%

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

70%

Over 1.5

STL+1940

Hit Rate40%

EV-16%

33%

38%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 0.5 3-Pointers

17/20 hit

80%

both hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

17/20 hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

17/20 hit

75%

both hit

O 13.5 Pts+Reb

15/20 hit

O 0.5 3-Pointers

17/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 13.5 Pts+Reb

15/20 hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

17/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 15.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

14/20 hit

O 13.5 Pts+Reb

15/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 15.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

14/20 hit

O 0.5 3-Pointers

17/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 15.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

14/20 hit

O 11.5 Points

13/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

17/20 hit

O 11.5 Points

13/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 13.5 Pts+Reb

15/20 hit

O 11.5 Points

13/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 15.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

14/20 hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

17/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 0.5 Steals

14/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

vs SAC History

12.0Avg PTS

3.0Avg REB

2.0Avg AST

Date	W/L	PTS	REB	AST	MIN
Feb 23	L	12	3	2	26

Recent Game Log

Date	Matchup	W/L	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	3PM	TOV	FG
Oct 23	MEM @ GSW	W	25	17	4	3	0	0	4	1	5/9
Oct 21	MEM vs. UTA	W	28	12	5	0	4	0	1	0	5/10
Mar 23	MEM @ ATL	L	20	4	2	2	0	0	0	0	2/4
Mar 21	MEM @ CHA	L	25	9	0	1	1	0	3	2	3/12
Mar 20	MEM vs. BOS	L	20	6	0	0	2	0	0	0	3/6
Mar 18	MEM vs. DEN	W	25	11	5	0	0	0	2	0	3/6
Mar 16	MEM @ CHI	L	23	16	3	1	1	0	2	2	5/9
Mar 12	MEM vs. DAL	L	32	23	2	2	2	1	3	0	7/15
Mar 10	MEM @ PHI	L	22	11	3	0	0	0	3	0	4/11
Mar 9	MEM @ BKN	L	26	17	5	2	2	0	3	1	6/12
Mar 7	MEM vs. LAC	L	26	8	1	1	0	0	2	1	2/8
Mar 4	MEM vs. POR	L	31	24	3	2	2	0	4	1	8/15
Mar 3	MEM @ MIN	L	28	19	1	0	1	0	4	1	7/12
Mar 1	MEM @ IND	W	21	18	3	1	2	0	2	1	8/9
Feb 27	MEM @ DAL	W	20	12	4	3	1	1	2	0	4/10
Feb 25	MEM vs. GSW	L	27	8	2	3	1	0	2	2	3/8
Feb 23	MEM vs. SAC	L	26	12	3	2	1	0	0	2	5/11
Feb 21	MEM @ MIA	L	27	25	2	2	2	0	3	2	10/13
Feb 20	MEM vs. UTA	W	27	13	3	3	2	1	3	1	4/14
Feb 11	MEM @ DEN	L	24	17	1	0	0	1	2	0	7/9

Date	Matchup	W/L	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Oct 23	MEM @ GSW	W	17	4	3	4
Oct 21	MEM vs. UTA	W	12	5	0	1
Mar 23	MEM @ ATL	L	4	2	2	0
Mar 21	MEM @ CHA	L	9	0	1	3
Mar 20	MEM vs. BOS	L	6	0	0	0
Mar 18	MEM vs. DEN	W	11	5	0	2
Mar 16	MEM @ CHI	L	16	3	1	2
Mar 12	MEM vs. DAL	L	23	2	2	3
Mar 10	MEM @ PHI	L	11	3	0	3
Mar 9	MEM @ BKN	L	17	5	2	3
Mar 7	MEM vs. LAC	L	8	1	1	2
Mar 4	MEM vs. POR	L	24	3	2	4
Mar 3	MEM @ MIN	L	19	1	0	4
Mar 1	MEM @ IND	W	18	3	1	2
Feb 27	MEM @ DAL	W	12	4	3	2
Feb 25	MEM vs. GSW	L	8	2	3	2
Feb 23	MEM vs. SAC	L	12	3	2	0
Feb 21	MEM @ MIA	L	25	2	2	3
Feb 20	MEM vs. UTA	W	13	3	3	3
Feb 11	MEM @ DEN	L	17	1	0	2