Ace Bailey

Jazz·Forward·#19

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. Ace Bailey has been steady, averaging 14.0 points over his last 5 games (15.1 L10). 3-Pointers is his strongest prop category tonight (100.0% L10 on Over 0.5). Assists presents more risk (10.0% L10).

Today’s Props

Over 1.5

3PM-1140

Pinnacle no-vig 49.6% vs DraftKings implied 53.3% at -114 → -6.9% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%

EV-7%

67%

63%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

65%

Under 1.5

3PM-1150

Pinnacle no-vig 50.4% vs DraftKings implied 53.5% at -115 → -5.8% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%

EV-6%

33%

38%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

35%

Over 0.5

3PM-5000

Hit Rate100%

EV-5%

100%

L10

100%

L15

100%

L20

100%

Over 2.5

3PM+2550

Hit Rate20%

EV-17%

17%

25%

L10

20%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Over 4.5

AST+4390

Hit Rate10%

EV-18%

13%

L10

10%

L15

L20

Over 3.5

AST+1960

Hit Rate10%

EV-16%

13%

L10

10%

L15

20%

L20

15%

Under 2.5

AST-1100

Hit Rate80%

EV-6%

83%

75%

L10

80%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 2.5

AST-1190

Hit Rate20%

EV-6%

17%

25%

L10

20%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Over 9.5

AstReb+2900

Hit Rate10%

EV-17%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

20%

L20

15%

Over 7.5

AstReb+1150

Hit Rate50%

EV-14%

50%

38%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

50%

Over 4.5

AstReb-5000

Hit Rate80%

EV-5%

83%

75%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

75%

Under 6.5

AstReb+1100

Hit Rate30%

EV-6%

33%

38%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

40%

Over 6.5

AstReb-1450

Hit Rate70%

EV-6%

67%

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

60%

Over 10.5

PTS-1220

Pinnacle no-vig 54.5% vs DraftKings implied 55.0% at -122 → -0.9% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate90%

EV-1%

83%

88%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

85%

Under 10.5

PTS-1050

Pinnacle no-vig 45.5% vs DraftKings implied 51.2% at -105 → -11.1% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate10%

EV-11%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

L20

15%

Over 5.5

PTS-6500

Hit Rate100%

EV-4%

100%

L10

100%

L15

100%

L20

100%

Over 7.5

PTS-3040

Hit Rate90%

EV-8%

83%

88%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

95%

Over 17.5

PTS+4650

Hit Rate30%

EV-18%

33%

38%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Over 14.5

PTS+2260

Hit Rate50%

EV-17%

50%

L10

50%

L15

67%

L20

60%

Over 11.5

PTS+1070

Hit Rate90%

EV-14%

83%

88%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

85%

Over 9.5

PTS-1630

Hit Rate90%

EV-11%

83%

88%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

85%

Over 9.5

PtsAst-3730

Hit Rate90%

EV-7%

83%

88%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

90%

Over 13.5

PtsAst-1170

Hit Rate90%

EV-7%

83%

88%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

85%

Over 14.5

PtsAst+1080

Hit Rate80%

EV-14%

83%

75%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

80%

Over 19.5

PtsAst+3450

Hit Rate30%

EV-18%

33%

38%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Under 13.5

PtsAst-1130

Hit Rate10%

EV-7%

17%

13%

L10

10%

L15

L20

15%

Over 14.5

PtsReb-1390

Hit Rate80%

EV-12%

83%

75%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

80%

Under 15.5

PtsReb-1230

Hit Rate20%

EV-6%

17%

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

25%

Over 19.5

PtsReb+2190

Hit Rate40%

EV-17%

33%

38%

L10

40%

L15

53%

L20

50%

Over 15.5

PtsReb-1070

Hit Rate80%

EV-6%

83%

75%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

75%

Over 9.5

PtsReb-5680

Hit Rate100%

EV-5%

100%

L10

100%

L15

100%

L20

95%

Over 14.5

PtsRebAst-2690

Hit Rate100%

EV-8%

100%

L10

100%

L15

100%

L20

95%

Over 18.5

PtsRebAst-1040

Hit Rate80%

EV-6%

83%

75%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

75%

Over 19.5

PtsRebAst+1190

Hit Rate70%

EV-14%

67%

63%

L10

70%

L15

80%

L20

70%

Over 24.5

PtsRebAst+3230

Hit Rate30%

EV-18%

33%

38%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Under 18.5

PtsRebAst-1270

Hit Rate20%

EV-6%

17%

25%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

25%

Under 4.5

REB-1410

Hit Rate40%

EV-6%

33%

50%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

45%

Over 4.5

REB+1070

Hit Rate60%

EV-6%

67%

50%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

55%

Over 6.5

REB+3680

Hit Rate30%

EV-18%

33%

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

25%

Over 5.5

REB+2010

Hit Rate50%

EV-16%

50%

38%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

45%

Over 3.5

REB-1930

Hit Rate70%

EV-10%

83%

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

65%

Over 2.5

REB-4380

Hit Rate80%

EV-6%

100%

75%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

70%

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 7.5 Points

19/20 hit

90%

both hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

18/20 hit

O 7.5 Points

19/20 hit

90%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

19/20 hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

18/20 hit

90%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

19/20 hit

O 7.5 Points

19/20 hit

75%

both hit

O 15.5 Pts+Reb

15/20 hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

18/20 hit

75%

both hit

O 15.5 Pts+Reb

15/20 hit

O 15.5 Pts+Reb

15/20 hit

75%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

19/20 hit

O 1.5 3-Pointers

13/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 7.5 Points

19/20 hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

19/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 3.5 Rebounds

13/20 hit

O 1.5 3-Pointers

13/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 9.5 Pts+Ast

18/20 hit

O 1.5 3-Pointers

13/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

19/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

vs LAL History

15.0Avg PTS

3.0Avg REB

1.0Avg AST

Date	W/L	PTS	REB	AST	MIN
Apr 12	L	15	3	1	29

Recent Game Log

Date	Matchup	W/L	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	3PM	TOV	FG
Oct 23	UTA vs. NOP	W	22	6	7	2	0	0	1	1	2/8
Oct 21	UTA @ MEM	L	24	12	5	3	0	3	2	1	5/11
Apr 12	UTA @ LAL	L	29	15	3	1	0	1	1	3	7/21
Apr 10	UTA vs. MEM	W	29	23	10	2	3	1	3	3	10/19
Apr 5	UTA @ OKC	L	33	14	4	2	1	2	2	3	6/14
Apr 3	UTA @ HOU	L	33	22	6	1	0	1	2	2	9/17
Apr 1	UTA vs. DEN	L	33	12	1	2	0	0	1	2	5/17
Mar 30	UTA vs. CLE	L	35	19	2	5	0	0	3	1	8/15
Mar 28	UTA @ PHX	L	34	13	6	2	0	3	1	4	5/15
Mar 27	UTA @ DEN	L	27	15	7	1	0	0	1	2	7/14
Mar 25	UTA vs. WAS	L	29	15	5	3	2	2	1	1	7/19
Mar 23	UTA vs. TOR	L	35	37	6	3	0	2	7	0	11/21
Mar 21	UTA vs. PHI	L	33	25	7	4	0	5	4	2	7/20
Mar 19	UTA vs. MIL	W	34	33	9	4	3	1	7	3	13/27
Mar 18	UTA @ MIN	L	25	17	2	2	0	1	5	3	6/13
Mar 13	UTA @ POR	L	7	8	1	1	1	1	2	0	3/3
Mar 11	UTA vs. NYK	L	36	21	4	2	1	0	5	1	8/16
Mar 7	UTA @ MIL	L	29	9	6	3	2	0	1	5	4/13
Mar 5	UTA @ WAS	W	33	32	2	0	2	1	7	0	12/19
Mar 4	UTA @ PHI	L	31	12	2	3	1	0	2	3	5/16

Date	Matchup	W/L	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Oct 23	UTA vs. NOP	W	6	7	2	1
Oct 21	UTA @ MEM	L	12	5	3	2
Apr 12	UTA @ LAL	L	15	3	1	1
Apr 10	UTA vs. MEM	W	23	10	2	3
Apr 5	UTA @ OKC	L	14	4	2	2
Apr 3	UTA @ HOU	L	22	6	1	2
Apr 1	UTA vs. DEN	L	12	1	2	1
Mar 30	UTA vs. CLE	L	19	2	5	3
Mar 28	UTA @ PHX	L	13	6	2	1
Mar 27	UTA @ DEN	L	15	7	1	1
Mar 25	UTA vs. WAS	L	15	5	3	1
Mar 23	UTA vs. TOR	L	37	6	3	7
Mar 21	UTA vs. PHI	L	25	7	4	4
Mar 19	UTA vs. MIL	W	33	9	4	7
Mar 18	UTA @ MIN	L	17	2	2	5
Mar 13	UTA @ POR	L	8	1	1	2
Mar 11	UTA vs. NYK	L	21	4	2	5
Mar 7	UTA @ MIL	L	9	6	3	1
Mar 5	UTA @ WAS	W	32	2	0	7
Mar 4	UTA @ PHI	L	12	2	3	2