LeBron James

LeBron James

PHI76ers·Forward·#23

Player Intel

Note: 3 of his last 5 games are from 2025-26. LeBron James has cooled off, averaging 19.4 points over his last 5 games, down from a 21.6 L10 average. Assists is his strongest prop category tonight (90.0% L10 on Over 4.5).

Today’s Props

Over 1.5

3PM+123MODEL

Pinnacle no-vig 46.5% vs DraftKings implied 44.8% at +123 → +3.7% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%
EV+4%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

40%

2

Under 1.5

3PM-1630

Pinnacle no-vig 53.5% vs DraftKings implied 62.0% at -163 → -13.7% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%
EV-14%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

60%

2

Over 0.5

3PM-3340
Hit Rate70%
EV-7%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

75%

Over 2.5

3PM+3770
Hit Rate20%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

15%

5

Under 6.5

AST+1020

Pinnacle no-vig 44.5% vs DraftKings implied 49.5% at +102 → -10.1% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%
EV-10%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

40%

Over 6.5

AST-1340

Pinnacle no-vig 55.5% vs DraftKings implied 57.3% at -134 → -3.1% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%
EV-3%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

60%

Over 4.5

AST-4450
Hit Rate90%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

90%

2

Over 5.5

AST-2330
Hit Rate80%
EV-9%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

85%

Over 7.5

AST+1240
Hit Rate30%
EV-14%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

45%

3

Over 8.5

AST+2080
Hit Rate10%
EV-16%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

10%

L15

27%

L20

30%

8

Over 9.5

AST+3370
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

20%

L20

25%

11

Over 10.5

AST+5340
Hit Rate0%
EV-19%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

20%

L20

25%

11

Over 19.5

AstReb+4250
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

7%

L20

15%

11

Over 14.5

AstReb-1060
Hit Rate50%
EV-7%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

55%

3

Under 14.5

AstReb-1250
Hit Rate50%
EV-7%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

45%

3

Over 9.5

AstReb-6500
Hit Rate90%
EV-4%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

90%

4

Over 11.5

AstReb-2850
Hit Rate70%
EV-8%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

70%

4

Over 17.5

AstReb+2400
Hit Rate10%
EV-17%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

10%

L15

27%

L20

30%

9

Over 0.5

BLK-1180
Hit Rate40%
EV-12%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

45%

3

Over 1.5

BLK+4060
Hit Rate0%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

0%

20

Under 19.5

PTS-1180
Hit Rate40%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

45%

2

Over 19.5

PTS-1080
Hit Rate60%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

55%

2

Over 11.5

PTS-8300
Hit Rate90%
EV-4%

L6

100%

L8

100%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

95%

8

Over 14.5

PTS-3340
Hit Rate80%
EV-7%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

80%

L15

87%

L20

75%

Over 17.5

PTS-1660
Hit Rate70%
EV-11%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

80%

L20

70%

2

Over 24.5

PTS+2510
Hit Rate40%
EV-17%

L6

17%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

40%

5

Over 34.5

PtsAst+3970
Hit Rate20%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

13%

L10

20%

L15

33%

L20

30%

6

Under 26.5

PtsAst-1230
Hit Rate30%
EV-6%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

35%

2

Over 29.5

PtsAst+1630
Hit Rate40%
EV-16%

L6

17%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

53%

L20

50%

5

Over 26.5

PtsAst-1070
Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

65%

2

Over 24.5

PtsAst-1560
Hit Rate70%
EV-11%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

65%

2

Over 19.5

PtsAst-4590
Hit Rate90%
EV-6%

L6

100%

L8

100%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

90%

8

Over 19.5

PtsReb-4570
Hit Rate90%
EV-6%

L6

100%

L8

100%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

85%

8

Over 24.5

PtsReb-1630
Hit Rate80%
EV-11%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

80%

L15

80%

L20

70%

Over 26.5

PtsReb-1130
Hit Rate60%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

60%

Over 29.5

PtsReb+1460
Hit Rate40%
EV-15%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

45%

2

Over 34.5

PtsReb+3390
Hit Rate30%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

25%

2

Under 26.5

PtsReb-1160
Hit Rate40%
EV-6%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

40%

Over 34.5

PtsRebAst+1010
Hit Rate50%
EV-13%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

55%

2

Under 33.5

PtsRebAst-1130

Pinnacle no-vig 47.9% vs DraftKings implied 53.1% at -113 → -9.7% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%
EV-10%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

45%

2

Over 44.5

PtsRebAst+4670
Hit Rate10%
EV-18%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

10%

L15

20%

L20

20%

9

Over 39.5

PtsRebAst+2170
Hit Rate20%
EV-17%

L6

0%

L8

13%

L10

20%

L15

40%

L20

40%

6

Over 33.5

PtsRebAst-1160

Pinnacle no-vig 52.1% vs DraftKings implied 53.7% at -116 → -3.0% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate50%
EV-3%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

55%

2

Over 29.5

PtsRebAst-2250
Hit Rate90%
EV-9%

L6

100%

L8

100%

L10

90%

L15

87%

L20

75%

8

Over 24.5

PtsRebAst-5900
Hit Rate90%
EV-5%

L6

100%

L8

100%

L10

90%

L15

93%

L20

90%

8

Over 11.5

REB+5950
Hit Rate20%
EV-19%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

10%

2

Over 10.5

REB+3920
Hit Rate20%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

20%

L15

13%

L20

10%

2

Over 9.5

REB+2560
Hit Rate30%
EV-17%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

20%

Over 8.5

REB+1610
Hit Rate40%
EV-15%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

27%

L20

30%

3

Over 6.5

REB-1600
Hit Rate50%
EV-11%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

50%

3

Over 5.5

REB-2720
Hit Rate60%
EV-8%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

70%

4

Over 7.5

REB+1050

Pinnacle no-vig 44.3% vs DraftKings implied 48.8% at +105 → -9.3% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate40%
EV-9%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

45%

3

Under 7.5

REB-1380

Pinnacle no-vig 55.7% vs DraftKings implied 58.0% at -138 → -3.9% expected value on the price.

Hit Rate60%
EV-4%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

55%

3

Over 4.5

REB-5130
Hit Rate60%
EV-5%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

60%

L15

67%

L20

75%

4

Over 0.5

STL-4410
Hit Rate70%
EV-6%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

80%

L20

80%

2

Over 1.5

STL+1010
Hit Rate40%
EV-13%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

53%

L20

40%

Over 2.5

STL+3070
Hit Rate30%
EV-18%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

25%

Over 1.5

StlBlk-2200
Hit Rate50%
EV-9%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

55%

2

Over 2.5

StlBlk+1300
Hit Rate30%
EV-15%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

47%

L20

35%

Over 3.5

StlBlk+3200
Hit Rate20%
EV-18%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

20%

L15

20%

L20

15%

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 5.5 Assists

17/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 0.5 Steals

16/20 hit

O 14.5 Points

15/20 hit

70%

both hit

O 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

15/20 hit

O 5.5 Assists

17/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 14.5 Points

15/20 hit

O 5.5 Assists

17/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

15/20 hit

O 14.5 Points

15/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 26.5 Pts+Ast

13/20 hit

O 26.5 Pts+Ast

13/20 hit

65%

both hit

O 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

15/20 hit

O 5.5 Assists

17/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 11.5 Ast+Reb

14/20 hit

O 5.5 Assists

17/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 26.5 Pts+Ast

13/20 hit

O 11.5 Ast+Reb

14/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

15/20 hit

O 14.5 Points

15/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 26.5 Pts+Reb

12/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

Recent Game Log

DateMatchupW/LPTSREBAST3PM
Oct 22PHI vs. CLEW171051
Oct 20PHI @ NYKW14970
May 11LAL vs. OKCL241232
May 9LAL vs. OKCL19682
May 7LAL @ OKCL23261
May 5LAL @ OKCL27463
May 1LAL @ HOUW28782
Apr 29LAL vs. HOUL25370
Apr 26LAL @ HOUL10490
Apr 24LAL @ HOUW291364
Apr 21LAL vs. HOUW28872
Apr 18LAL vs. HOUW198131
Apr 12LAL vs. UTAW18460
Apr 10LAL vs. PHXW286122
Apr 9LAL @ GSWW268113
Apr 5LAL @ DALL309151
Apr 2LAL @ OKCL13621
Mar 31LAL vs. CLEW14561
Mar 30LAL vs. WASW2110121
Mar 27LAL vs. BKNW14680