Sunday, October 25 at 4:05 PM EDT
DEN
-5.5
-245
Total
45.5
ARI
+5.5
+200
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- The key number. 5.5 sits half a point short of 6, one of the margins games actually land on. That hook is most of what you are paying for or getting here.
- Spread 5.5 — the 4-6 point band. In 1,063 games since 1999 the favorite covered 49.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.2–52.2%) is taken into account.
- Total 45.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,584 of them.
Last three seasons
DEN
24-18 ATS · 28-14 SU · 20-22 O/U
15-6 ATS home
ARI
19-20 ATS · 12-27 SU · 21-17 O/U
12-8 ATS away
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
Denver Broncos open a 5.5-point favorite over Arizona Cardinals — about 71% implied to win outright. The 45.5 total prices it near 26–20.
Denver Broncos went 14–3 in 2025 — #7 of 32 by point differential (+5.3/g), but +3.0 of those wins outran their scoring margin, a regression flag.
Arizona Cardinals went 3–14 in 2025 — #29 of 32 by point differential (-7.8/g), and were 2.4 wins unlucky versus their margin.
Arizona Cardinals face one of the NFL's toughest 2026 schedules (strength of schedule #3).
2025 team profiles
Denver Broncos
Arizona Cardinals