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All facts →Sunday’s board takes shape on an NFL off day
No games are scheduled today, but injuries and early prices are already defining Sunday’s watch list.
Read the full briefing →Close briefing
There are no NFL games on today’s schedule. Sunday opens with HOU Texans @ JAX Jaguars at Sun Oct 18, 9:30 AM ET, where JAX Jaguars -2.5 is posted with a 42.5 total. The later board includes DAL Cowboys @ GB Packers at Sun Oct 18, 8:20 PM ET, with GB Packers -1.5 and a 53.5 total.
Injury reporting matters before those numbers settle. Houston’s Jalen Pitre is ruled out for Sunday against Jacksonville. Dallas linebacker DeMarvion Overshown was limited Thursday with a hamstring issue, while Green Bay’s Keisean Nixon was limited with a groin issue.
On our model board, Kyren Williams Receptions Over 3.5 is priced at 170, a 6.0% edge versus Pinnacle’s no-vig fair price. Cade Otton Receptions Over 3.5 at 125 carries a 5.5% price edge by the same measure.
Pitre ruled outHouston’s Jalen Pitre is out with a shoulder injury for Sunday’s game against Jacksonville.
Kyren price edgeOur model board flags Kyren Williams Receptions Over 3.5 at 170, with a 6.0% edge versus Pinnacle’s no-vig fair price.
Dallas-Green Bay injuriesDeMarvion Overshown and Keisean Nixon were both limited participants in Thursday practice.Number of the day6.0% — Kyren Williams’ DraftKings price edge versus Pinnacle’s no-vig fair price.
Sources: ESPN (scoreboard, injuries, news), DraftKings (posted lines), nflverse (production), our model picks. Written only from these facts — nothing free-recalled.
💬 Discuss today's slate in DiscordFrom the playbookPlayoff Schedule Strength4 min
Written by AI from our data. Analysis, not a guarantee · 21+ · Problem gambling? 1-800-GAMBLER
Worth your attention
All games
CAR@
PHI
-6.5 → 3 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 23.9% of games since 1999.
LAC@
KC
-2.5 → -7.5 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 20.3% of games since 1999.
PIT@
TB
-1.5 → 2.5 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 6.3% of games since 1999.
TEN@
IND
-3.5 → -7 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 7.4% of games since 1999.
BAL@
CLE
6.5 → 3 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 7.1% of games since 1999.
HOU@
JAX
-1.5 → -2.5 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 2.1% of games since 1999.
12 straight games of 50+ receiving yards for Nico Collins (HOU) — nobody's gone longer right now.
Nico Collins (HOU) carries the longest active streak we can measure of 50-plus receiving-yard games, at 12. Computed by walking backward through every regular-season game we hold for him.
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