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Passing TDs Over 1.5

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Pick of the dayA+Sun 1:00 PM ET

60%

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+7.2%

price edge vs Pinnacle

+156

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+156
+173
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A+124DK

Bobby's AI DeskFriday, October 16Useful?

Sunday’s board takes shape on an NFL off day

No games are scheduled today, but injuries and early prices are already defining Sunday’s watch list.

Read the full briefing →

There are no NFL games on today’s schedule. Sunday opens with HOU Texans @ JAX Jaguars at Sun Oct 18, 9:30 AM ET, where JAX Jaguars -2.5 is posted with a 42.5 total. The later board includes DAL Cowboys @ GB Packers at Sun Oct 18, 8:20 PM ET, with GB Packers -1.5 and a 53.5 total.

Injury reporting matters before those numbers settle. Houston’s Jalen Pitre is ruled out for Sunday against Jacksonville. Dallas linebacker DeMarvion Overshown was limited Thursday with a hamstring issue, while Green Bay’s Keisean Nixon was limited with a groin issue.

On our model board, Kyren Williams Receptions Over 3.5 is priced at 170, a 6.0% edge versus Pinnacle’s no-vig fair price. Cade Otton Receptions Over 3.5 at 125 carries a 5.5% price edge by the same measure.

Pitre ruled outHouston’s Jalen Pitre is out with a shoulder injury for Sunday’s game against Jacksonville.

Kyren price edgeOur model board flags Kyren Williams Receptions Over 3.5 at 170, with a 6.0% edge versus Pinnacle’s no-vig fair price.

Dallas-Green Bay injuriesDeMarvion Overshown and Keisean Nixon were both limited participants in Thursday practice.

Number of the day6.0% — Kyren Williams’ DraftKings price edge versus Pinnacle’s no-vig fair price.

Sources: ESPN (scoreboard, injuries, news), DraftKings (posted lines), nflverse (production), our model picks. Written only from these facts — nothing free-recalled.

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Written by AI from our data. Analysis, not a guarantee · 21+ · Problem gambling? 1-800-GAMBLER