

Sunday, October 18 at 1:00 PM EDT
TEN
+7
+270
Total
44.5
IND
-7
-340
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- The key number. 7 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
- Spread 7 — the 7-10 point band. In 1,279 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.1% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.4–50.8%) is taken into account.
- Total 44.5 — spread in the 7-10 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 50.6% of the time across 1,293 of them.
Last three seasons
TEN
11-27-1 ATS · 6-33 SU · 22-17 O/U
11-27-1 against the spread
IND
21-18 ATS · 18-21 SU · 22-17 O/U
13-9 ATS as an underdog
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Indianapolis Colts open a 7-point favorite over Tennessee Titans — about 77% implied to win outright. The 44.5 total prices it near 26–19.
Tennessee Titans went 3–14 in 2025 — #31 of 32 by point differential (-11.4/g).
Indianapolis Colts went 8–9 in 2025 — #11 of 32 by point differential (+3.2/g), and were 1.7 wins unlucky versus their margin.
Indianapolis Colts drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #29).
2025 team profiles
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts