CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Fresno State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)36th pct.
Offensive success rate33th pct.
Explosiveness59th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)66th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed43th pct.
Havoc rate41th pct.
USC
Offensive efficiency (PPA)93th pct.
Offensive success rate95th pct.
Explosiveness38th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)34th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed61th pct.
Havoc rate8th pct.
Fresno State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)38.3%
Passing7.3%
Rushing16.6%
Receiving69.5%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 12-11-1 · O/U 8-16 · avg. margin +3.4
USC · Returning production
Overall (PPA)59.2%
Passing90.9%
Rushing78.0%
Receiving26.9%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 11-13 · O/U 12-12 · avg. margin +7.7
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings2026Fresno State 0–39 USC
2022Fresno State 17–45 USC
2019Fresno State 23–31 USC
Venue & conditions
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum · Los Angeles, CA
84°F · 9.4 mph wind · 4% precip. chance