CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Missouri State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)27th pct.
Offensive success rate25th pct.
Explosiveness36th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)12th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed4th pct.
Havoc rate20th pct.
SMU
Offensive efficiency (PPA)68th pct.
Offensive success rate86th pct.
Explosiveness57th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)58th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed73th pct.
Havoc rate88th pct.
Missouri State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)31.3%
Passing5.3%
Rushing-3.2%
Receiving47.4%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 6-6 · O/U 5-7 · avg. margin -3.5
SMU · Returning production
Overall (PPA)56.9%
Passing96.6%
Rushing0.9%
Receiving37.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-11 · O/U 10-14 · avg. margin +11.5
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings2026Missouri State 24–34 SMU
2025SMU 28–10 Missouri State
Venue & conditions
Gerald J. Ford Stadium · University Park, TX
96°F · 8 mph wind · 10% precip. chance