CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Missouri State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)27th pct.
Offensive success rate25th pct.
Explosiveness36th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)12th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed4th pct.
Havoc rate20th pct.
Western Kentucky
Offensive efficiency (PPA)14th pct.
Offensive success rate6th pct.
Explosiveness52th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)38th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed62th pct.
Havoc rate47th pct.
Missouri State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)31.3%
Passing5.3%
Rushing-3.2%
Receiving47.4%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 6-6 · O/U 5-7 · avg. margin -3.5
Western Kentucky · Returning production
Overall (PPA)83.7%
Passing95.1%
Rushing54.7%
Receiving84.8%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 15-9 · O/U 10-14 · avg. margin +1.5
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings2026Missouri State 13–34 Western Kentucky
2025Western Kentucky 27–22 Missouri State
Venue & conditions
Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium · Bowling Green, KY
85°F · 8.1 mph wind · 1% precip. chance