CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
NC State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)65th pct.
Offensive success rate58th pct.
Explosiveness65th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)17th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed23th pct.
Havoc rate52th pct.
Virginia
Offensive efficiency (PPA)75th pct.
Offensive success rate72th pct.
Explosiveness6th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)49th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed59th pct.
Havoc rate59th pct.
NC State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)59.9%
Passing93.1%
Rushing101.5%
Receiving26.0%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 10-13-1 · O/U 13-11 · avg. margin -0.1
Virginia · Returning production
Overall (PPA)9.5%
Passing1.1%
Rushing21.0%
Receiving8.7%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 15-9 · O/U 7-17 · avg. margin +2.8
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings2026NC State 8–34 Virginia
2025Virginia 31–35 NC State
2023NC State 24–21 Virginia
2020NC State 38–21 Virginia
2018Virginia 21–35 NC State
Venue & conditions
Scott Stadium · Charlottesville, VA
83°F · 8.6 mph wind · 3% precip. chance