CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Nevada
Offensive efficiency (PPA)28th pct.
Offensive success rate26th pct.
Explosiveness75th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)38th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed68th pct.
Havoc rate8th pct.
Middle Tennessee
Offensive efficiency (PPA)49th pct.
Offensive success rate27th pct.
Explosiveness46th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)20th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed9th pct.
Havoc rate2th pct.
Nevada · Returning production
Overall (PPA)35.5%
Passing-130.0%
Rushing-11.8%
Receiving41.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 11-11-2 · O/U 10-14 · avg. margin -8.2
Middle Tennessee · Returning production
Overall (PPA)32.5%
Passing39.2%
Rushing60.1%
Receiving26.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 9-12 · O/U 10-11 · avg. margin -11.9
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings2026Nevada 20–27 Middle Tennessee
2025Middle Tennessee 14–13 Nevada
Venue & conditions
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium · Murfreesboro, TN
97°F · 14.2 mph wind · 16% precip. chance