CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Penn State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)42th pct.
Offensive success rate30th pct.
Explosiveness50th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)43th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed60th pct.
Havoc rate69th pct.
Michigan
Offensive efficiency (PPA)31th pct.
Offensive success rate42th pct.
Explosiveness30th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)96th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed90th pct.
Havoc rate59th pct.
Penn State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)7.6%
Passing3.3%
Rushing-1.6%
Receiving14.5%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-15 · O/U 15-13 · avg. margin +13.1
Michigan · Returning production
Overall (PPA)69.2%
Passing103.7%
Rushing58.9%
Receiving60.1%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 10-16 · O/U 14-12 · avg. margin +4.6
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026Penn State 18–21 Michigan
2023Michigan 24–15 Penn State
2022Penn State 17–41 Michigan
2021Michigan 21–17 Penn State
2020Penn State 27–17 Michigan
2019Michigan 21–28 Penn State
Venue & conditions
Michigan Stadium · Ann Arbor, MI
52°F · 12.3 mph wind · 0% precip. chance